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#1
04-18-2014, 06:49 AM
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Interesting article by Stan Caris in American Turf Magazine
Just got my issue yesterday.
Caris goes through a particular breeding angle: that horses who have Buckpasser in the X passing position in their breeding, and then passing certain statistical requirements, have had an ROI of 100% in the last 25 years of the Derby. It's definitely an interesting read. 
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#2
04-18-2014, 11:22 AM
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Quote:
If I have it correct this year there are 8 horses that have the blood and 4 of those qualify under the stat requirements. I'm not sure if it was pointed out in the article but this will be the largest representation (4) in the study. California Chrome-Q Wicked Strong-Q Wildcat Red-Q Ride on Curlin-Q Chitu- Did not run in major prep (Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, Wood Memorial, Arkansas Derby or Blue Grass on dirt) Tapiture- Final 1/8 in major prep .12 shy of qualifying Uncle Sigh- Did not finish 4th or better in major prep Commanding Curve- Did not run in major prep Previous years Year Qualifiers Number Total Starters 2012 Bodemeister (2nd) 1 20 2011 Archarcharch and Comma To The Top 2 19 2010 Super Saver (WON) 1 20 2009 Summer Bird, West Side Bernie, Dunkirk 3 19 2008 -------- -- --- 2007 -------- -- --- 2006 -------- -- --- 2005 Bellamy Road 1 20 2004 Tapit 1 18 2003 Funny Cide (WON), Empire Maker (2nd) 2 16 2002 -------- -- --- 2001 -------- -- --- 2000 Aptitude (2nd) 1 19 47 1999 Vicar 1 19 1998 Real Quiet (WON) 1 15 1997 ------- -- --- 1996 Cavonnier (2nd) 1 19 1995 Tejano Run (2nd) and Talkin Man 2 19 1994 ------- -- --- 1993 Prairie Bayou (2nd) 1 19 1992 ------- -- --- 1991 ------- -- --- 1990 Unbridled (WON), Summer Squall (2nd) 2 15 1989 Easy Goer (2nd) and Triple Buck 2 15 1988 Seeking the Gold 1 17 1979-1987 --------------------- ------------------------------- 1978 Believe It 3rd 1 11
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