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Old 11-12-2010, 02:04 PM
MaTH716's Avatar
MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: Jersey
Posts: 11,438
Default Hollywood 11/12

Well now that I'm out of my mystical pick 6 wager at the Big A after one leg, let focus on some real bets for tonight at Hollywood.

RACE 1 6F 40K MDN (S) (F)
#5 WARREN'S ROSE(1st)-Just missed two back when running against 25k open claimers at todays distance. Cutting back to that distance after her running third on the lead going a mile and a sixteenth.
#4 GIVEME ONEREASON-Three year old making career start 14, only 2nd in for a tag. Gets the shades for the first time and will probably dueling on the lead with the 6 to her outside.
#3 PHI BETA HEAT-If the race melts down, this three year old will the one coming late. Just missed at the level last time going 7 1/2 furlongs. She closed into some soft fractions.

RACE 2 6F 25K CLAIMERS
Seems like a very wide open race in which every horse seems capable of ending up in the winners circle. Almost used the all button here
#5 FREQUENT FAME-Polanco filly looking for two in a row. Small step up and cuts back a panel, but she should be coming late with Raffie in the irons. She also has 4 wins in 7 starts over the track.
#6 MARINO'S PROMISE-Stalker is making her first start in the Mike Mitchell barn who is having a good meet. He is also winning with 33% off the claim.
#2 BUTCH MARINO(3rd) #3 OUR BELLINI BIKINI(1st)-I'm guessing that these are the two fillies that will trying to get the lead. The 2 does look like she has the ability to rate which could lead to the 3 getting out by herself. She does look like a bounce candidate after scoring last out at 15-1 and running a career best 77 beyer.

RACE 3 6F 25K MAIDEN
#2 OBSESS(1st)-Looks like he could be the lone speed. Ran second at the distance last out and a repeat of that race should graduate him.
#4 TALE OF THE BAT- This gelding is making his second start off a 6 month layoff. Ran well in return and is in against what seems like a pretty weak bunch.
#9 FORWARD COMMITMENT-Playing against this 6 year old making only his 14th career start. Dropping for the lowest level he's ever been in for and has a few good works for this race. Just too many layoff lines for me on what I'm guessing is going to be a short priced horse.

RACE 4 1 MILE STARTER ALW (F) TURF
#6 L'ENCHANTERESSE(SCRATCHED)-O'Neill filly does seem to be a hanger (1/21 with 7 seconds), but she might inherit the lead in this one and try to go wire to wire. Doesn't seem to be alot of speed in here and hoping that she gets brave on the lead.
#5 RUBY LANE(2nd)-This filly is 1/14 but she has been very competitive in here last 3 turf starts. She too should be near the front.

Early pick 4 .50 ticket
3,4,5
2,3,5,6
2,4
5,6

Will try to get into the late 4 a little later.
Good Luck everyone.
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"

Last edited by MaTH716 : 11-12-2010 at 11:25 PM.
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