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#1
03-06-2010, 06:28 AM
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3/6: AQU (P4's); GP (P4); OP (P4); SA (5th-11th); Magna 5
Santa Anita P6 double carryover pushed to near $1,800,000 Friday, and two major price horses narrowed winning plays down to just two of deserved $552,545. Ron Ellis started the upsets sending out Victor Espinoza on the Broads' Tiz a Knight at 29-1 to trip up the 3yo MSW in the 5th. In the nightcap, $106.80 FTS Dubai XYZ stunned for lesser known connections producing the half million dollar sextet and a $22,106 P4. That's why we play!
Panicky concerns over Big Cap Day at Santa Anita look to have been unfounded, and a great afternoon of racing is in the offing at Arcadia. Aqueduct's Gothem Day card is very playable, and Gulfstream's all turf P4 could be a producer. Oaklawn has the Azeri and Razorback as part of its' P4, and the Magna 5 is very challenging with another confusing Laurel stake as the predictably tough sequence starter. Should be a great day... AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 2nd: NY-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Game Token 7-2 WON Next Best: #7 Tocco d'Oro 4-1 7th Best Value: #1 Keltic Fighter 9-2 6th Super Add: #10 S. Z. Madison 8-1 8th 3rd: 109th Cappy Capossela, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Liston 7-2 4th Best Value: #2 Strapping Groom 12-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Golden Ghost 8-1 2nd 4th: 117th Toboggan (G3), 3+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 Custom for Carlos 9-5 2nd Next Best: #2 Elusive Warning 5-2 4th Best Value: #3 Driven by Success 6-1 3rd 5th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-70y (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 The Roundhouse 8-5 3rd Best Value: #4 Precursor 10-1 5th Next Best: #5 Goldsville 3-1 WON Super Add: #7 Sawtooth Mountain 15-1 7th <$50 P4 Play: 2: 1-3-5-7-10 3: 5 4: 1-2-3 5: 2-4-5 5x1x3x3 = $45 8th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #13 Justtakemypicture 5-2 10th Best Value: #9 Tapitdar 10-1 5th Next Best: #1 Major Star 3-1 2nd Super Add: #4 Felice Di Notte 15-1 3rd 9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #2 (POE) Temecula Creek 2-1 9th Best Value: #6 Benlayla 10-1 4th Next Best: #9 Hedge Fund 5-1 11th Super Add: #4 Wollaston Bay 10-1 WON 10th: 58th Gotham (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super) One decision to make here is how much you like or dislike the Whirlaway horses.. Best Value: #3 Nacho Friend (8-1): Clever Breen excels with comebackers, stretchouts.. 3rd Most Likely: #4 Awesome Act (7-2): Being asked a lot; OK in Cup, bred for this.. WON Next Best: #2 Yawanna Twist 5-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Turf Melody 8-1 4th $1 Exacta $19.80 $1 Trifecta $110.00 $1 Superfecta $1,020.00 11th: NY-MSW, 3yo, 1m (Super) Most Likely: #3 Tapped Out Bruno 3-1 WON Next Best: #2 Spicy Steve 5-2 3rd Best Value: #1 (POE) SCR Super Add: #12 SCR <$75 P4 Play: 8: 9-13 9: 2-4-5-6-9 10: 2-3-4 11: 2-3 2x5x3x2 = $60 GULFSTREAM PARK POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 23rd Herecomesthebride (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Fun betting race with some attractive prices getting on the grass for the first time (5/9) and Upperline making second lawn start.. Best Value: #5 Profiteroles 15-1 9th Most Likely: #6 Upperline 6-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Dynazapper 6-1 5th Super Add: #7 Apple Charlotte 10-1 2nd 8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Uncle Indy 3-1 5th Next Best: #5 Custer 5-1 3rd Best Value: #2 Mean Sax 12-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Brother Nick 15-1 WON 9th: 24th Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Bim Bam 5-2 5th Best Value: #3 Our Champion 15-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Dean's Kitten 5-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Cat Park 8-1 8th 10th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #9 Alcomatch 3-1 6th Best Value: #5 Systemic Risk 8-1 9th Next Best: #10 Beau Choix 4-1 WON Super Add: #4 Hurricane Day 6-1 4th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-5-6-7-9 8: 2-3-5 9: 2-3-6-9 10: 5-9 6x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72 OAKLAWN PARK POST-SCRATCHES 7th: 51st Razorback (G#), 4+, 8.5f (P4, Super) Most Likely: #8 Gone Astray 5-2 3rd Next Best: #4 Win Willy 7-2 WON Best Value: #1 Prom Shoes 8-1 4th Super Add: #3 Jonesboro 5-1 5th 8th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3) Most Likely: #2 Fayoum 3-1 WON Best Value: #1 Fifth Avenue South 12-1 7th Next Best: #8 Pulpit's Secret 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #7 Bird Empire 7-2 3rd 9th: 24th Azeri (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Just Jenda 5-1 4th Most Likely: #4 War Echo 3-1 5th Next Best: #1 Freedom Star 6-1 WON Super Add: #3 Spirit Seeker 8-1 8th 10th: CLM, 4+, 1m (Super) Most Likely: #6 Alpha Capo 3-1 4th Next Best: #3 Gold Niner 5-2 2nd Best Value: #5 Pacific Star 12-1 7th Super Add: #1 Lumberjack Cat 9-2 5th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-4-8 8: 1-2-8 9: 1-3-4-6 10: 3-6 3x3x4x2 = $72 SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Patriotic Soldier 6-1 5th Best Value: #10 Fantasy Free 6-1 3rd Next Best: #4 E Z's Gentleman 7-2 WON Super Add: #6 Bad Boy 4-1 4th 6th: 9th Pasadena, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Macias 9-5 2nd Best Value: #8 Lucky Rave 12-1 6th Next Best: #4 Alpharabi 3-1 3rd Super Add: #2 Get A Grip 8-1 7th 7th: 10th Sham (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #9 Nextdoorneighbor 3-1 7th Best Value: #6 Kettle River 6-1 8th Next Best: #2 The Program 5-1 3rd Super Add: #10 Alphie's Bet 6-1 WON 8th: 71st Santa Anita Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Blind Luck 1-2 3rd Best Value: #4 All Due Respect 8-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Cozi Rosie 5-1 5th Super Add: #2 Crisp 6-1 WON 9th: 10th Kilroe Mile H. (G1), 4+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Ever a Friend 3-1 6th Best Value: #3 Awesome Gem 10-1 8th Next Best: #9 Fluke 7-2 3rd Super Add: #4 Acclamation 20-1 9th 10th: 73rd Santa Anita H. (G1), 4+, 10f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #13 Misremembered 8-1 WON Best Value: #5 Eagle Poise 20-1 13th Next Best: #14 Jeranimo 8-1 4th Super Add: #1 Pick Six 20-1 10th 11th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super, Super High 5) Oy vey.. What a way to end a day like this! NOTE: $68k Hi-5 C/O! Most Likely: #10 Hovig 5-2 13th9th Best Value: #13 Objectified 20-1 8th Next Best: #1 Crash Landing 4-1 WON Super Add: #14 The Final Roar 9-2 High 5 Play: #5 Colorful Dancer 20-1 12th <$75 P4 Play: 8: 4-5-7 9: 3-4-5-9 10: 5-13-14 11: 10-13 3x4x3x2 = $72 MAGNA 5 PRE-SCRATCHES LEG A-LRL 10th: Wide Country, 3yo-F, 7f (Super) Most Likely: #2 Gator Prowl 3-1 3rd Best Value: #1 You Need Me 12-1 7th Next Best: #5 Judge Sonya 5-2 5th Super Add: #3 That's How I Roll 6-1 2nd LEG B-SA 5th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Patriotic Soldier 6-1 5th Best Value: #10 Fantasy Free 6-1 3rd Next Best: #4 E Z's Gentleman 7-2 WON Super Add: #6 Bad Boy 4-1 4th LEG C-GP 9th: 24th Palm Beach (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Bim Bam 5-2 5th Best Value: #3 Our Champion 15-1 3rd Next Best: #2 Dean's Kitten 5-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Cat Park 8-1 8th LEG D-GG 5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Highway Bandit 7-2 3rd Best Value: #9 Nisus 9-2 8th Next Best: #7 Czechmyhart 5-2 4th Super Add: #8 Gear Shift 6-1 7th LEG E-GP 10th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #9 Alcomatch 3-1 6th Best Value: #5 Systemic Risk 8-1 Next Best: #10 Beau Choix 4-1 WON Super Add: #4 Hurricane Day 6-1 4th <$150 or <$75 Magna 5 Play: A: 1-2-5 (3-6-8) B: 1-4-6-10 C: 2-3-6 D: 9-10 E: 9 3x4x3x2x1 = $72 6x4x3x2x1 = $144 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-07-2010 at 05:36 AM. 
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#2
03-06-2010, 07:51 AM
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Steve O....Don't miss the boat at Oaklawn in the Azeri.
#3 Spirit Seeker..8-1ml comes east looking for Dirt for Hollendorfer. ala Hysterical Lady. Best bet of the day. Nevermind...You have her marked...didn't see her at first glance.
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#5
03-06-2010, 09:46 AM
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Can't disagree. I'm using all 4. G/L today!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
03-06-2010, 09:47 AM
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11th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)
Oy vey.. What a way to end a day like this! Most Likely: #10 Hovig 5-2 Best Value: #13 Objectified 20-1 Next Best: #1 Crash Landing 4-1 Super Add: #14 The Final Roar 9-2 High 5 Play: #5 Colorful Dancer 20-1 Don't kvetch! There's a 68k Super High 5 Carry.
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"I guess it comes down to a simple choice, really. Get busy livin' or get busy dyin'."
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#7
03-06-2010, 10:08 AM
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IMPORTANT CHANGES...
WESTOVER WILDCAT a SCR... And note 13 Justtakemypicture runs in the 8th and #12 Raffinator runs in the 11th.. AQU SCR/CHG'S 1 4 Tactical Assault Early 5 Idaho Joe Early 3 1 Westover Wildcat Early NO SHOW or TRIFECTA 6 Confidence Crisis Early 6 1 Heavenly Pursuit Early 2 Slither Early 8 Voyager Early 9 Enniskillen Early 7 12 Mr. Petersson Early 8 2 Centripital Early 11 6 Abilio Early 13 Chingachgook Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 03-06-2010 at 10:37 AM.
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#8
03-06-2010, 10:19 AM
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GP SCR/CHG'S
Race: 7 Changes Time Posted #10 Tesoro de Amor Scratched - Main-Track-Only 10:41 AM ET Race: 8 Changes Time Posted #1 Lime Rickey No longer a Coupled Entry 10:41 AM ET #1A Slambino Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:41 AM ET #13 Not for Money Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:41 AM ET #14 Black Scorpion Scratched - Re-entered 10:41 AM ET #15 Royal Jabar Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:41 AM ET Race: 10 Changes Time Posted #1 Smart Sky Scratched - Trainer 10:41 AM ET #13 Bears Finish Line Scratched - Main-Track-Only 10:41 AM ET #14 Christmas for Liam Scratched - Main-Track-Only 10:41 AM ET #16 Fu San Scratched - Also-Eligible 10:41 AM ET
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
03-06-2010, 10:43 AM
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I like Systemic Risk in the GP10th a bit today
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....stay lady stay...stay while the night is still ahead... http://www.playlist.com/playlist/15640118795/standalone
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#10
03-06-2010, 02:13 PM
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OP-No Late P4 SCR/CHG's
SA SCR/CHG'S Race 8 #1 Sister Dawn Race 9 #11 Tuscan Evening (IRE), #1 Red Sun Race 11 #8 Indy Ride
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
03-06-2010, 02:30 PM
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Magna 5
Leg a
5 - Gator Prowl 2 - Judge Sonya 8 - Jim's Prospect Leg b 10 - Fantasy Free 1 - Patriotic Soldier Note - Don't care for EZ Gentleman, whose last win came in what appeared to be at the time, the key maiden race at Del Mar back in 2007 over Colonel John and Overextended. Gaps between Afleet Rulers works have been widening, despite firing bullets. Career claimer Bad Boy is as game as they come, but feel this group is much tougher than anything he's seen. Leg c (case can be made for most in here) 4 - Asphalt 2 - Dean's Kitten 7 - Center Divider 6 - Bim Bam Leg d 9 - Nisus 10 - Highway Bandit Leg e 9 - Alcomatch $48 for $1 Good luck!
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#12
03-06-2010, 03:08 PM
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Tremendous NTR performance by Bold Start at TAM... Yikes. Exchanged messages with McPeek and Willie. A little surprisingly, ALW at KEE the next target as opposed to a more aggressive spot...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
03-06-2010, 03:50 PM
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C.... Ack-ahhhh!
You can't stop him... You can only hope to contain him! 3/1-1-1 today. 2008 Capossela winner Wollaston Bay wins for the first time in 2 years.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#14
03-06-2010, 03:50 PM
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ran huge..congrats g-man
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#16
03-06-2010, 04:49 PM
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BIG A DBL C/O: $117,000
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#17
03-06-2010, 04:53 PM
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How about both stakes-entered Maidens breaking their cherry? Pretty kooky.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#18
03-06-2010, 05:16 PM
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#19
03-06-2010, 05:34 PM
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As I reminded everyone this week, ATR listeners were clued into Alphie's Bet the previous Friday by HRTV's Kurt Hoover.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#20
03-06-2010, 05:41 PM
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Linear Mode
