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Old 02-06-2013, 06:52 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,009
Default 2/6: Gulfstream Park (2nd-10th)

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Serious group features returning '11 Vanderbilt (G1) star Sean Avery, '11 DeFrancis Dash hero Candyman E and '12 Fountain of Youth show pony Discreet Dancer..

Most Likely: #4 Discreet Dancer 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Sean Avery 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1a Candyman E 2-1 2nd


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Defend 3-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #1 Nevada 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Centaur Man 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Song Forever 6-1 3rd


4th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Terrific group of old fashioned $50k claimers including some always intriguing T2D turnbackers..

Most Likely: #9 Hard Enough 8-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Statutorial 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Smash and Grab 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 D'nied Permission 6-1 WON ($6.00)


5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T/48' (P6, P3, DD)

Start of Rainbow 6 ($1.4MM Jackpot) and with the nightcap, exceedingly tough to figure..

Most Likely: #8 Demographic Trend 7-2 6th
Best Value: #12 Blu Cobalto 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Matagot 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Tenforthemoney 6-1 WON ($13.60)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5
3: 1-7
4: 3-6-7-9
5: 1-5-6-8-11-12

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/7/6/5) Paid $172.75


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Wildcat Thunder 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 R American Girl 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Ellen G 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Wildcat Honey 6-1 8th


7th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

As mentioned on ATR yesterday, #5 Varitek will need to get all the way back to his best, but at 30-1 it's worth the flyer to be aboard if he does..

Best Value: #5 Varitek 30-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Sweet Bernie 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Mize the Big Cat 5-2 DNF-Eased
Super Add: #10 Here We Go Joe 3-1 6th


8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Call the Ten 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Fleet Allaire 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Money Money 10-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Fives and Nines 8-1 2nd


9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

This race has trouble stamped on it. Feels like there is too much speed for it not to collapse, but there's no obvious readily apparent direction to lean in that scenario either..

Most Likely: #1 Won Fast Bullet 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Wharton 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Spin Zone 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Ecabroni 4-1 8th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T/48' (Super Hi-5)

With the tricky sequence opener, two lower end claiming events and the quirky feature above, don't be surprised if there are horses live for the jackpot. And this is a quagmire of indecipherable entities including 9 'first time turf' runners..

Most Likely: #2 Go the Distance 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Everyone Loves Me 20-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Frosty Royale 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Lucky Empress 8-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #3 Decision to Run 10-1 10th


<$30 P6 Play:

5: 1-5-8-12
6: 3-4-5
7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6
9: 1-7
10: 2-10

4x3x3x2x2x2 = 288 x .10 = $28.80


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 3-4
7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 2-10

2x3x2x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6-8
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 2-4-10-12

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-06-2013 at 05:14 PM.
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