2/6: Gulfstream Park (2nd-10th)
 

GULFSTREAM PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


2nd: OC/N2X, 4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Serious group features returning '11 Vanderbilt (G1) star Sean Avery, '11 DeFrancis Dash hero Candyman E and '12 Fountain of Youth show pony Discreet Dancer..

Most Likely: #4 Discreet Dancer 6-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #5 Sean Avery 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1a Candyman E 2-1 2nd


3rd: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Defend 3-1 WON ($11.40)
Next Best: #1 Nevada 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Centaur Man 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Song Forever 6-1 3rd


4th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Terrific group of old fashioned $50k claimers including some always intriguing T2D turnbackers..

Most Likely: #9 Hard Enough 8-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Statutorial 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Smash and Grab 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 D'nied Permission 6-1 WON ($6.00)


5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m-T/48' (P6, P3, DD)

Start of Rainbow 6 ($1.4MM Jackpot) and with the nightcap, exceedingly tough to figure..

Most Likely: #8 Demographic Trend 7-2 6th
Best Value: #12 Blu Cobalto 10-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Matagot 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Tenforthemoney 6-1 WON ($13.60)


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-4-5
3: 1-7
4: 3-6-7-9
5: 1-5-6-8-11-12

3x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (4/7/6/5) Paid $172.75


6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-4+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Wildcat Thunder 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 R American Girl 5-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Ellen G 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Wildcat Honey 6-1 8th


7th: CLM, 4+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

As mentioned on ATR yesterday, #5 Varitek will need to get all the way back to his best, but at 30-1 it's worth the flyer to be aboard if he does..

Best Value: #5 Varitek 30-1 5th
Next Best: #11 Sweet Bernie 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #9 Mize the Big Cat 5-2 DNF-Eased
Super Add: #10 Here We Go Joe 3-1 6th


8th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 1m-T/48' (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Call the Ten 5-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Fleet Allaire 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Money Money 10-1 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #1 Fives and Nines 8-1 2nd


9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 6.5f (DD)

This race has trouble stamped on it. Feels like there is too much speed for it not to collapse, but there's no obvious readily apparent direction to lean in that scenario either..

Most Likely: #1 Won Fast Bullet 6-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Wharton 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Spin Zone 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #9 Ecabroni 4-1 8th


10th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 1m-T/48' (Super Hi-5)

With the tricky sequence opener, two lower end claiming events and the quirky feature above, don't be surprised if there are horses live for the jackpot. And this is a quagmire of indecipherable entities including 9 'first time turf' runners..

Most Likely: #2 Go the Distance 4-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Everyone Loves Me 20-1 6th
Next Best: #12 Frosty Royale 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Lucky Empress 8-1 3rd
Super/Hi-5: #3 Decision to Run 10-1 10th


<$30 P6 Play:

5: 1-5-8-12
6: 3-4-5
7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6
9: 1-7
10: 2-10

4x3x3x2x2x2 = 288 x .10 = $28.80


<$50 P5 Play:

6: 3-4
7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 2-10

2x3x2x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 5-9-11
8: 4-6-8
9: 1-5-7-9
10: 2-4-10-12

3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Hi all,
Tough looking card at Gulfstream this afternoon.

Here are a few that I like today.

Race 1: #7 Rhythm of the Moon looks interesting if he is near the 10-1 ML.
Race 3: #3 Modern Owl impressed me in his debut. This one got away slowly and then just toyed with the field.
Race 5: #11 Uncle Gare drops just a step and moves to the turf. I always like this move with Servis.
Race 9: #7 Wharton makes his 2nd start off the very long layoff. Should improve soon for Chad Brown.
Race 10: #4 Lucky Empress goes 3rd out, adds blinkers and moves to Mcl.

#7 Keep the Cash DOES run in the 5th; Thought it read that he SCR'd but it was a rider change..

A Fernando Jara win almost always guarantees death to multi wagers.. :wf

GP Race 7:

#2 Jordan's Image is a little underlaid at only 4-1 but i think he could be the one. Even runner stretches to 1m 3rd off the shelf, has the figs to be there all the way, not a whole lot to beat in this field.

My longshot is #6 General Guti at 21-1

EDIT: wow...they go to commercial and when they come back the #2 has dropped to 9-5 !!?? He was 4-1 only 3mins ago

Johnny says 1,190 tix still alive in Rainbow 6..

Somebody may bring this down today as there are some crazy results.

Also, Pick 5 carryover if anybody but the 1, 2, 7 or 12 win.

Both Countess Commander & Everyone Love Me have legitimate win shots.. Hell, I put the 10 on all my tickets earlier..

How do you cover for 1.7 million. Evenly bet field too. $10,000 to win on all the rest ? Or just sit & pray.

Its virtually impossible to cover in that instance for many reasons.

If this thing gets over 2.5 million, they are gonna do a forced payout sometime afterwards IMO.

Its within the rules as long as they follow some guidlines.

http://www.twinspires.com/sites/twin...Rule%20_3_.pdf

Why wouldn't they want the jackpot to keep going higher and higher?

Pick 5 carryover of $60,762 tomorrow. :$:

Great job again on the P4 Steve!

Way to keep the Byk train rolling.

Congrats and thanks as always.:tro::$:

I would think at some point that the betting would become stagnant because getting one ticket would become almost impossible. Look at today for example, $34/$36/$52/$20 and there was MULTIPLE people hitting it with only 2 horses alive to one sole ticket.

Maybe I am wrong

The entire concept of the wager should make betting stagnate, but it doesn't. People who are already ignoring 52% takeout and lottery odds aren't going to be deterred by a few tough sequences being covered.

I hope you're right, because I don't want to wait until closing day to have that shot at a huge mandatory payout pool, but I think the higher the jackpot goes, the better it is for Gulfstream.

Gotta believe people are playing because of the money that is in the jackpot not what was taken out...

Knowing what was put in today, I am curious what was put in on a Wednesday afternoon lets say 4 or 5 weeks ago...

I would venture to guess that if it wasn't hit today, it isn't going to be hit. More and more money will be coming in and take up more and more combos.

Tom, Joey..

Doesn't the 'date request' option stem from the situation when they moved the forced distribution away from Easter (or Palm) Sunday so people in silly states that forbid play weren't screwed out of the chance to hit? But this year they close on Friday April 5th so there shouldn't be any conflict should this keep stretching out.

pretty brutal and tight photo for whomever had that 1 horse in the final alive to the whole P5 pool too....