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Old 09-07-2012, 11:49 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,952
Default 9/8: Belmont (6th-10th); Arlington (6th-9th); LaDowns (8th-11th)

With the Breeders' Cup now clear on the horizon, the transition from summer to fall starts this weekend with Belmont, Fairplex and Kentucky Downs/Turfway taking over from Saratoga, Del Mar and Ellis Park. Fun stakes sequences at Louisiana Downs and Arlington add to the action as well. Should be a fun, circuit-switching kind of afternoon. Don't forget the Presque Isle Masters at 7:30p ET as well...


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Is there a better way to start the Fall Championship Meet than a state bred turf route? No! Typically fun, well matched set with many attractive prices to include..

Best Value: #4 Dual Citizen 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Carbon County 4-1 WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #3 Roaring Conquest 8-1 8th
Super Add: #10 Mr. Vantastic 20-1 7th


7th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Riverdance Rock 5-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Solengo 10-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Palace 7-2 11th
Exotics Use: #7 Dreamsgonewild 4-1 10th


8th:OC/S-ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Royal Sighting 3-1 WON ($8.60)
Best Value: #2 Garnet Street 10-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Irish Exchange 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Expression 15-1 6th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Best Value: #5 Tennis Racket 10-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Kathy's Kitten 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 El Corriente 10-1 7th
Super Add: #2 Renzo Bertoni 5-1 5th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6f

SCR's of 2 faves change complexion of this..

Best Value: #7 Grey Foose 10-1 5th
Next Best: #12 How Do I Win 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Why Broadway 12-1 7th
Super Add: #6 My Man Dan 8-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5
8: 1-2-3-5
9: 1-2-5-7
10: 7-9-12

3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



ARLINGTON PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lord of the Roses 2-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Pink Leninade 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 No Rules Now 4-1 WON ($7.00)
Super Add: #7 No Peace at All 7-2 2nd


7th: 78th Arlington-Washington Futurity (G3), 2yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Pataky Kid 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #1 Muppet Man 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Scissortail G 15-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 My Lute 3-1 5th


8th: 78th Arlington-Washington Lassie (G3), 2yo-F, 1m (DD)

More inscrutable of the 2 baby stakes with 8 of the 14 looking capable of a win..

Best Value: #5 Sweet Redemption 8-1 11th
Next Best: #12 Flying Rapunzel 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Custody 12-1 4th
Super Add: #14 Pappascat 8-1 5th


9th: ALW/N1X, 5f-T (Jackpot Hi-5)

Best Value: #9 Wild Oration 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Fire Tricks 8-1 WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Royal Posh 10-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Age of Aquatius 9-2 8th
Hi-5 Play: #6 It's Tamareno 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-3-5-7
7: 1-3
8: 5-6-12-14
9: 1-3-5-6-9

4x2x4x5 = 160x .50 = $80



LOUISIANA DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 34th Unbridled, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Major Marvel 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Sadie's Soldier 6-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Golden Yank 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Strike King 6-1 3rd


9th: 9th Sunday Silence, 2yo, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Java's Wild 9-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #9 Kamchatka 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Brown Almighty 8-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Mr. Bandini's Band 6-1 5th


10th: 33rd Super Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

2nd choice Bourbon Courage showed a new dimension in the West Virginia Derby and works since that placement say he may be ready for another forward move. Is as good as solid favorite Blueskiesnrainbows and twice the price. Respect Amoss immensely and Key Donation returned to previous best last time after regressing. A new jump to highest level of accomplishment yet makes him eligible for laurels. To pull out an ol' Derby Trail chestnut, Neil Drysdale doesn't 'ship on a lark' and Fly Lexis Fly may be ready for that foreshadowed aplomb..

Most Likely: #9 Bourbon Courage 3-1 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #2 Key Donation 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Blueskiesnrainbows 3-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Fly Lexis Fly 6-1 2nd


11th: 27th Happy Ticket, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Promise Me More 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Always Kitten 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #8 My Daughter's Song 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Wilhelmina 8-1 9th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 3-5-6-8-9
9: 1-7-9
10: 2-3-5-8-9
11: 6-9

5x3x5x2 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-09-2012 at 06:13 AM.
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