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Old 11-12-2008, 07:56 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,008
Default 11/12: Aqueduct (6th-9th)

It's funny how sometimes in this game you 'know' you are going to win.. Tuesday was like that with the late P4 at Churchill. Once the Maker-Ramsey single Majestic Feline won the 7th, I felt there was no way the rest of the play didn't have the necessary horses on it, and it did. Even though the return was modest, $185.00 on a $72 play, I was pleased with the structure of the ticket. The play tried to maximize the Quad's upside potential by reducing it to a P3 with the single and including several big prices horses that would have sent the ROI skyrocketing had they hit in the 8th, 9th or 10th. Hope you did well! Big A '4' looks fun today...


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Submerge 8-5 WON
Best Value: #3 Moon Drop 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 La Concerto 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Sassification 15-1 7th


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Fleet Valid 4-1 6th
Best Value: #3 Gimmearoutine 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Bill Place 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Yes Master 5-1 5th


8th: Fairy Garden, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #4 Royal Pleasure 7-2 6th
Best Value: #6 Cagey Girl 15-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Waquoit's Love 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Chestoria 12-1 WON


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (Super)

Most Likely: #9 Just Another Story 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Tough But Fair 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #1e R. Dutrow entry 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Irish Mama 4-1 4th


<$100 P4 Play:

6: 3-5-6
7: 3-7-8
8: 4-6
9: 1-2-4-8-9

3x3x2x5 = $90


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-12-2008 at 03:59 PM.
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