6/14: BEL (C/O); CD (Foster Day); & More..

[Kasept]

There's a $50k carryover at Belmont thanks to my man Pat Kelly's $40+ winner Friday, and the Foster Day card at Churchill has many stars and hopefuls... The Midlantic region has good stakes at Monmouth, Philly and Delaware, and don't forget the Alberta Derby at Stampede Park in Calgary this afternoon!


Post-scratches/changes...


BELMONT PARK


5th: MSW, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3)

Superbly-matched, well bred maidens from top connections.. Yikes! Note #2 Alabama Man (10-1) from KMc looks like a firster worth including on deep or back-up P6 tix..

Most Likely: #8 SCR
Best Value: #1 Yield Bogey 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Elusive Gift 3-1 4th
Exotics Add: #3 Bedford Arch 4-1 WON

$1 Exacta (3-1) Paid $32.25


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 SCR
Next Best: #6 Sapphire Eyes 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Bishop's Creek 4-1 WON
Exotics Add: #8 Run Lightening Run 20-1 6th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f-IT (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #1e Donk entry 7-5 5th/7th
Best Value: #2 Senor Erico 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Summer Patriot 8-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #7 Giant Storm 4-1 3rd


8th: Scottish Monk, 3+, 1m-T (P3)

Most Likely: #10 Cosmonaut 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Yankee Master 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Tam Lin 7-2 WON
Exotics Add: #6 Sahara Heat 12-1 6th

$1 Exacta (9-10) Paid $13.00


9th: 40th Ogden Phipps (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #1a Ginger Punch 4-5 WON
Best Value: #4 Golden Velvet 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Moon Catcher 9-2 5th

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $3.90


10th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Spa Princess 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #9 Seasons Wise 12-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Patsy's Storm 5-1 12th
Exotics Add: #5 Seven in a Row 8-1 4th

$2 Exacta (9-1) Paid $34.00


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-3-6
6: 5-6-8
7: 1-2
8: 10
9: 1-4
10: 1-9

4x3x2x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-3
8: 6-7-8-9-10
9: 1
10: 1-4-5-9-11 ($1 Pick 3 (9/1/9) $140.00)

3x5x1x5 = $75



CHURCHILL DOWNS


6th: 34th Fleur De Lis (Gr. II), P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Hysterical Lady 4-5 WON
Next Best: #2 Peach Flambe 3-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Kathleens Reel 8-1 3rd


7th: 39th Regret (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Pure Clan 7-5 WON
Best Value: #2 SCR
Next Best: #3 Zee Zee 2-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #1 C J's Leelee 6-1 2nd

$2 Exacta (4-1) Paid $6.30
$2 Trifecta (4-1-3) Paid $12.30


8th: 7th Northern Dancer (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Recapturetheglory 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 My Pal Charlie 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Pyro 7-5 WON
Exotics Add: #7 Texas Wildcatter 5-1 5th

$1 Exacta (4-1) Paid $17.60


9th: 31st Jefferson Cup (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Tizdejavu 3-1 WON
Best Value: #5 Golden Yank 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Old Man Buck 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #8 Go West Bert 8-1 7th

$1 Exacta (4-5) Paid $31.50
$1 Trifecta (4-5-6) Paid $97.30


10th: 31st Stephen Foster H. (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Curlin 3-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Einstein 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Grasshopper 5-1 4th
Exotics Add: #3 Sam P. 30-1 8th


11th: 32nd Early Times Mint Julep H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 8.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Dreaming of Anna 1-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Mama I'm Home 15-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Kiss With a Twist 15-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #6 Street Sounds 8-1 5th
High 5 Play: #7 Ballymore Lady 15-1 2nd

$2 Exacta (3-7) Paid $7.30
$2 Trifecta (3-7-8) Paid $54.40


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 2-5
7: 1-3-4
8: 1-3-5
9: 1-4-5-6-8
10: 1
11: 3

2x3x3x5x1x1 = 90 x $2 = $180

$2 Pick 6 (5/6-2/4/5-2-4-1-3/4/5/10) 5 Correct Paid $2.80 X 9 = $25.20
$2 Pick 6 (5/6-2/4/5-2-4-1-3/4/5/10) 6 Correct Paid $48.00
Total = $73.20... Loss of $106.80


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-5
9: 1-4-5-6-7-8
10: 1
11: 2-3-6-8

3x6x1x4 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (2-4-1-3/4/5/10) $34.50



MONMOUTH PARK


9th: 39th Eatontown H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #8 BEATRIX KIDDO 5-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Medley 7-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Chestoria 5-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #2 Maddy's Heart 4-1 5th



DELAWARE PARK


7th: 13th Susan's Girl, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Never Retreat 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Eagle's Song 6-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Love You Not 10-1 6th


8th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Praderoso 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Surtax 20-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Buzzin Mon 3-1 4th
Exotics Add: #11 Sound the Charge 12-1 11th


9th: 13th Obeah (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Unbridled Belle 3-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Copper State 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Lexi's Star 4-1 5th
Exotics Add: #2 Lemon Drop Mom 9-2 3rd

$1 Exacta (6-8) Paid $16.90
$1 Trifecta (6-8-2) Paid $51.10


<$25 P3 Play:

7: 4-6-7
8: 4-5
9: 2-4-6-8

3x2x4 = $24


Good luck!
Steve