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  #1  
Old 06-01-2008, 08:51 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 6/1: Belmont (4th-10th)

Double carryover day mostly a miss for me Saturday suffering through poor results at Belmont before finally finding some winners at Hollywood later in the afternoon. New York sextet delivered $186,000 to three clever players on a series where 4 of the winners (5th, 6th, 8th, 9th) were horses I had no interest in whatsoever...

Hollywood started well and stayed solid as rolling P3's through the card. Highlight was the $16.00 Kathy Walsh winner Whatsitgonnatake in the 7th who was a "Best Value" play that kind of jumped out at me. P6 at the Wood returned $23,617 when 15-1 My Friend Luis upended the nightcap...

Overall, a difficult afternoon, but resounding Ohio Derby win by Smooth Air was more than enough to brighten the day... Hope you did OK. Will try to get it back Sunday at Big Sandy on a highly entertaining card to bring us to the doorstep of Belmont Stakes Week and another try at a Triple Crown...



BELMONT PARK


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Wild race and .10 Super available with some great values surely to be had...

Best Value: #3 BLAZING DYNAMO 12-1 2nd
Most Likey: #7 Equitable 5-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Broadway Producer 8-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #6 Electricity 15-1 7th

$1 Exacta (7-3) $9.80
$1 Trifecta (7-3-2) $43.75



5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

Bad bunch of lawn lasses..

Most Likely: #1 Fast n' Sassy 5-1 4th
Best Value: #2e Micelli entry 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Sonic Sound 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #5 Apocalyptical 9-2 6th

$1 Exacta (9-2) Paid $8.80


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Inclined to doubt favored Hometown Boy; Can endorse Dove Houghton's credentials for those unfamiliar with MD stalwart..

Best Value: #4 Mr. Madison 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #5 Port Royal 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Hometown Boy 2-1 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Whistlin' 7-2 7th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2e A. Dutrow entry 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 In for a Dime 12-1 7th
Next Best: SUB #10 Factual Contender 4th
Exotics Add: #7 Ivory Star 6-1 3rd


8th: The Beautiful Pleasure, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 All is Vanity 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Masseuse 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Latitude Forty 12-1 4th
Exotics Add: #9 Paris Winds 9-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $17.60


9th: 2nd Cupecoy's Joy (NYSS), 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Gullible Gal 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Raffie's Treasure 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Megadeed 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #8 Study Abroad 5-2 WON


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Stepaside 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Sky Dragon 5-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Striking Rizzi 8-1 4th
Exotics Add: #7 Stylish Tiger 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-7-9-10
8: 1-5-8
9: 3
10: 7-8-9-10

5x3x1x4 = $60


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-01-2008 at 04:52 PM.
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Old 06-01-2008, 09:54 AM
tdtony tdtony is offline
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steve in the seventh race waytotheleft is the 2 horse did you mean pimentinha the #6horse.
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  #3  
Old 06-01-2008, 10:43 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Belmont changes.. Quite a few.. Man-Good; Turf-Firm
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 06-01-2008, 10:48 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tdtony
steve in the seventh race waytotheleft is the 2 horse did you mean pimentinha the #6horse.
Tony, thx! Did mean to incude Pimentina but got SCR'd anyway..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 06-01-2008, 01:32 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Lemon Law being ignored here in the 4th.. 7-1. Equitable getting hammered down to 3-2.

Certainly was hoping for a bit better than 9-2 on Dynamo...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 06-01-2008, 01:37 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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This is odd.

Appears that a hot walker was handling Equitable throughout the post parade? And he's still sweated up.
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Old 06-01-2008, 01:37 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
This is odd.

Appears that a hot walker was handling Equitable throughout the post parade? And he's still sweated up.
The hotwalker or Equitable?
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 06-01-2008, 01:52 PM
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asudevil asudevil is offline
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Default Belmont 8th

Paris Winds
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