6/1: Belmont (4th-10th)
 

Double carryover day mostly a miss for me Saturday suffering through poor results at Belmont before finally finding some winners at Hollywood later in the afternoon. New York sextet delivered $186,000 to three clever players on a series where 4 of the winners (5th, 6th, 8th, 9th) were horses I had no interest in whatsoever...

Hollywood started well and stayed solid as rolling P3's through the card. Highlight was the $16.00 Kathy Walsh winner Whatsitgonnatake in the 7th who was a "Best Value" play that kind of jumped out at me. P6 at the Wood returned $23,617 when 15-1 My Friend Luis upended the nightcap...

Overall, a difficult afternoon, but resounding Ohio Derby win by Smooth Air was more than enough to brighten the day... Hope you did OK. Will try to get it back Sunday at Big Sandy on a highly entertaining card to bring us to the doorstep of Belmont Stakes Week and another try at a Triple Crown...



BELMONT PARK


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-T (P3, Super)

Wild race and .10 Super available with some great values surely to be had...

Best Value: #3 BLAZING DYNAMO 12-1 2nd
Most Likey: #7 Equitable 5-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Broadway Producer 8-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #6 Electricity 15-1 7th

$1 Exacta (7-3) $9.80
$1 Trifecta (7-3-2) $43.75


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3)

Bad bunch of lawn lasses..

Most Likely: #1 Fast n' Sassy 5-1 4th
Best Value: #2e Micelli entry 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Sonic Sound 5-2 WON
Exotics Add: #5 Apocalyptical 9-2 6th

$1 Exacta (9-2) Paid $8.80


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Inclined to doubt favored Hometown Boy; Can endorse Dove Houghton's credentials for those unfamiliar with MD stalwart..

Best Value: #4 Mr. Madison 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #5 Port Royal 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Hometown Boy 2-1 4th
Exotics Add: #2 Whistlin' 7-2 7th


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #2e A. Dutrow entry 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 In for a Dime 12-1 7th
Next Best: SUB #10 Factual Contender 4th
Exotics Add: #7 Ivory Star 6-1 3rd


8th: The Beautiful Pleasure, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #8 All is Vanity 3-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Masseuse 7-2 5th
Best Value: #1 Latitude Forty 12-1 4th
Exotics Add: #9 Paris Winds 9-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (8-9) Paid $17.60


9th: 2nd Cupecoy's Joy (NYSS), 3yo-F, 1m (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Gullible Gal 2-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Raffie's Treasure 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Megadeed 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #8 Study Abroad 5-2 WON


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Stepaside 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Sky Dragon 5-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Striking Rizzi 8-1 4th
Exotics Add: #7 Stylish Tiger 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-4-7-9-10
8: 1-5-8
9: 3
10: 7-8-9-10

5x3x1x4 = $60


Good luck!
Steve

steve in the seventh race waytotheleft is the 2 horse did you mean pimentinha the #6horse.

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Belmont changes.. Quite a few.. Man-Good; Turf-Firm

Tony, thx! Did mean to incude Pimentina but got SCR'd anyway..

Lemon Law being ignored here in the 4th.. 7-1. Equitable getting hammered down to 3-2.

Certainly was hoping for a bit better than 9-2 on Dynamo...

This is odd.

Appears that a hot walker was handling Equitable throughout the post parade? And he's still sweated up.

The hotwalker or Equitable?

Watching replay now... Was Blazing Dynamo "refusing to go by" or did Equitable just hold him easily "safe"...? Maybe a bit of both...

Belmont 8th
 

Paris Winds

Very late stretch they appear to come together very slightly, at which point Kent stops whipping and basically cruises to the wire. It's odd that BD not only couldn't gain after that but lost some ground.

the 9 ran a big one

Joining you on the 1 here Steve. 7-1 is extremely generous

How does Cornelio go from being drawn third off the rail and saving ground to all the way 5 wide? :rolleyes:

Caught the exacta but missed the tri. Andy talked about the 4 there this morning and I should have included her...

It was certainly a bizarre ride. I had her keyed in everything so I went down in flames. Somehow I had the top 3 on all my tickets and didn't cash anything.

I'm going with Roman Coliseum, healthy today, I hope

Another incredible ride by Cornelio

For those that remember Cupecoy's Joy:

WON Mother Goose (G1), Acorn (G1), Montauk Stakes, Sag Harbor Stakes, East View Stakes.
2ND Coaching Club American Oaks (G1), Rosetown Stakes, Cicada Stakes, Catskill Stakes, Albany Handicap.
3RD Jim Beam Spiral Stakes.

Must have been a Hamptons girl! :D