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Old 01-10-2008, 12:50 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default Santa Anita Today - Spot plays

While I was looking at the PP's for the Showvivor, I noticed some horses that could outrun their odds.

Race 3 - #2 Hydrodynamic - 15/1 ML

While it concerns me that they entered this horse into 80k claimers in his first start, 99 times out of a 100 that is a pretty safe spot. The horse made a decent middle move to hand a little and was only 4 lengths from a contendious winner photo. The horse is bred for the lawn, and Bell wins close to 10% more with 2nd time starters then firsters (12% first, 22% 2nd). I like that the Frenchman stayed aboard, that first could have just to get his ears wet.

Race 6 - #1 Missing Treasure - 15/1 ML

Pretty hard to pass out Nakatini at 15/1 on the lawn in California. I think this horse will like the stretch out and should be around down the lane. With all the speed outside, it could mean that they are 4w into the turn and Nak gets the rail....
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