Quote:
Originally Posted by Riot
I agree with you that the betting sites are fairly accurate.
I'm not surprised Romney got a 1-2% bump out of his debate, as being a liar isn't as important to his base as "being a tough mother beating on Obama". They like that. But Romney has to win nearly all the swing states, and he's quite behind there. He not only has to hope his bump holds, he has to hope he continues to gain.
Another highly accurate guy is Nate Silver.
Five-Thirty-Eight has the daily tracker as Chance of Winning, Obama 76.9%, Romney 23.1%
Electoral college, however, is still 297.4 to 240.6. Mitt needs 270. Won't get it.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ |
I think he got a much bigger bounce than 1-2%. It is more like 5-6%.
When it comes to the subject of being a liar, I don't think anyone could top Obama:
http://obamalies.net/list-of-lies
This is an incomplete list too. They don't even mention that he promised he would not hassle medical marijuana dispensaries yet now the feds are trying to shut them all down in California.