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Originally Posted by the_fat_man
With all the work I have presently, I'm lucky to be doing any handicapping at all. And, I needed Artistic Talent last time.
Not to say that I think much of this horse but what exactly do you base your opinion that she's not good enough on? It was an off turf and she was coming off a 10 month layoff. She got a nice trip but she won for fun. How do you evaluate her ability?
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It's an educated guess. The horses she beat are terrible. Maybe you're right that she can run faster, it is her second off a layoff, but I'm dubious. However, it's not the worst race, to say the least, for any stranger. Frankly, considering I don't like the 5th, and therefore won't play the Pick-4, I'll probably pass.