10/10: Belmont; Keeneland; Santa Anita
 

Friday was a third straight entertaining and profitable day as the Keeneland meet opener proved negotiable, at least this one day. Best Value second choices Alice's Smart ($33.40) and Alcibiades heroine Negligee ($27.40) anchored a 5 race sequence of available P3's that rolled to the tune of $423.50 (5th-7th), $213.60 (6th-8th), $783.20 (7th-9th) and $209 (8th-10th). Was also able to finally nail a lucrative .10 Super Spot Play too, seeing through Negligee as a key horse to the $208.84 score. Hope you did well to bankroll today's incredible coast to coast action!


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: 60th Jamaica H. (G1), 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Courageous Cat 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Boots Ahead 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Take the Points 5-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Grassy 6-1 4th


7th: CLM, 3+, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Find the Wire 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Xodo 10-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Exton 6-1 5th
Super Add: #5 D' Wildcard 3-1 2nd


8th: 62nd Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Nonna Mia 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Devil May Care 6-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Awesome Maria 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #7 Worship the Moon 6-1 4th


9th: 138th Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #6 Homeboykris 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #3 Aspire 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Dublin 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Super Saver 4-1 4th


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Absolutely tremendous betting race..

Best Value: #7 J L Bernstein 15-1 7th
Most Likely: #5 Livin Large 9-2 WON
Next Best: #9 Quiet On the Tee 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Globemaster 8-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

Taking big chance in opening leg, but tricky stakes and wide open finale demand the risk, with Find the Wire from Weaver-Prado the sequence's best single opp..

7: 6
8: 2-3-4
9: 1-3-5-6
10: 2-4-5-7-9-10

1x3x4x6 = $72



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: 13th Woodford (G3), 3+, 5.5f-T (PP6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Mr. Nightlinger 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Due Date 7-2 6th
Must Respect: #7 Silver Timber 5-2 WON
Super Add: #5 Bullet From Abroad 10-1 5th


6th: 29th TCA (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Informed Decision 3-5 WON
Next Best: #6 Carlsbad 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Pious Ashley 12-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Selva 6-1 4th


7th: 12th First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Forever Together 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Superior Storm 12-1 7th
Next Best: #6 My Princess Jess 6-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Diamondrella 6-1 WON


8th: 96th Breeders' Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #9 Hurricane Ike 15-1 11th
Most Likely: #2 Backtalk 4-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Dixie Band 5-1 10th
Super Add: #8 Aikenite 5-1 2nd


9th: 24th Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Mr. Sidney 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Sterwins 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Justenuffhumor 5-2 6th
Super Add: #8 Tizdejavu 12-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 6-8
7: 5-6-8-9
8: 1-2-7-8-9-14
9: 2-6-7

2x4x6x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


10th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 7f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #5 John Kelly 4-1 9th
Best Value: #8 Antitrust 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Speight the Halo 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Grand Daddy 30-1 6th
High 5 Play: #4 More Than Willing 5-1 3rd


<$75 .50 P4 Play:

7: 5-9
8: 1-2-7-8-9-14
9: 2-6
10: 1-3-4-5-8-9

2x6x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



OAK TREE AT SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


4th: 33rd Yellow Ribbon (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Magical Fantasy 8-5 WON
Best Value: #6 Charming Legacy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Black Mamba 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Visit 5-1 2nd


5th: Cal-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Evening Jewel 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #10 Excellent News 8-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Stunning Ally 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Pocatello Wild Kat 20-1 8th


6th: 24th Oak Tree Mile (G2), 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Skyrush 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #10 Whatsthescript 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #9 Cowboy Cal 2-1 WON
Super Add: #1 SCR


7th: 28th Goodwood (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Fascinating edition of this important Breeders' Cup feeder event, and to be honest, none of the 10 would be an outright surprise. I'll be fishing for biggest prices..

Best Value: #7 Parading 8-1 4th
Repeat Threat: #3 Richard's Kid 8-1 3rd
Pace Player: #5 Tres Borrachos 12-1 9th
Mystery Horse: #8 Gitano Hernando 15-1 WON


8th: 17th Lady's Secret (G1), F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Zenyatta 2-5 WON
Best Value: #1 Cocoa Beach 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Life Is Sweet 5-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Anabaa's Creation 12-1


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Another tremendous wagering opportunity..

Most Likely: #7 On Fire 8-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Concerto's Thunder 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Caspian 6-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Turf and Sky 20-1 10th


10th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #8 Brady Blue Eyes 6-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Get My Fix 5-2 WON
Next Best: #5 Mr. Charlie 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 The Skinny Man 3-1 9th
High 5 Play: #4 The Program 12-1 5th


<$150 & <$300 P6 Plays:

5: 5-10
6: 2-10
7: 3-7
8: 5 [1]
9: 2-5-7
10: 5-7-8

<$300: #1 Cocoa Beach/#5 Zenyatta in Leg D (2x2x2x2x3x3 = 144 x $2 = $288)

<$150: Single of #5 Zenyatta in Leg D (2x2x2x1x3x3 = 72 x $2 = $144)


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-7
8: 1-5
9: 2-4-5-7
10: 1-5-7-8

2x2x4x4 = $64


Good luck!
Steve

Steve,

Thx for the hard work that you put forth day in-day out. Let's keep the gravy train with biscuit wheels moving along!

I'm hoping that Justenuffhumor can encounter some trouble in the Shadwell. Either that, or is just plain outkicked. Today is the day to go against him, imo. His past races that I've said this about, he opens up mid-stretch like he has an ACME rocket tied to him, but this time I'm banking on his streak to come to an end. The good thing for his backers is that there are others in here that are going to take some money, so he won't be too, too low

Looking for Mr Sidney, Battle of Hastings, and Sterwins to sit the trips today in that one.

I think Rosa Grace is a nice price play in the Yellow Ribbon.

I like Carlsbad in the 6th at Keeneland, a nice filly who started at Turf Paradise.

I LOVE Justenuffhumor today, and am basing my major plays around him. He's got just about the quickest turn of foot/acceleration I've seen, and I think 1 mile is the perfect distance for him. Today's the day he proves whether or not he fits with the top turfers, and I agree with you that he shouldn't be much lower than the ML 5-2. In fact, I was surprised he was the ML fave. We shall see.

BEL SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp


KEE SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.keeneland.com/racing/List...lItemsalt.aspx

Steve, I've already played an All Stakes pick 4 for .50 cents through Twinspires.

Excellent! Thanks! This is one of those maddening stupidities for which there is no excuse.

Yeah, it's set up to start at .50 cents.

I just put one in on Youbet also. $0.50

In the Breeders Futurity, I am interested to see how the four runners that already have 2 turn experience will fare, mainly Stately Victor and Roman Invasion. Stately Victor's 2 turns were on the turf, but he clearly proved in his debut that he can handle dirt just as easily. Not sure what Roman Invasion beat last out at Deleware (the 2nd and 3rd place runners have yet to run back) but he did it fairly easily...and if that was a wet,fast track that they ran on (as listed in the PP's) then I am 6'5":D

Belmont Early pk4 stab:

$48
2- 3
3- 1,2,3,4
4- 1,2,6
5- 1,8,10,11

$2 - $24
2- 3
3- 2
4- 2,6
5- 1,6,8,9,10,11

Good Luck!

P4

3/1,2,8/1,2,4,6/1,2,3

So far at Keeneland very few midpack types are winning/placing. It's either speed or dead closers.

Top Stretch with 3-Navajo Spirt in front I didn't know what to reach for my gun or my Grey Goose... So much for the Lock in the 2nd...:zz:

Nice of Prado to all of a sudden start riding without his head up his ass. The guy has three winners ($22.40, $7.40, $24.60) and a second from five mounts today.

Race 5 KEENELAND $0.10 Superfecta 2,5,7/ 2,5-9/ 2,5-9-/ 2,5-9 18.00

55.74 not horrible

Race 6 KEENELAND $0.10 Superfecta 6-8/ 6-8/ 1-8/ 1-8

Belmont 7th

$20W 7
$10DD 7/7

Good Luck!

Informed Decision
 

Baze looked over his shoulder midway through the stretch and I think I could read his lips on the HD. He said, "Oh sh1t".