2017-06-23 12:31:20

Wild Saturday has taken shape with carryover mania reaching a critical mass with Santa Anita ($230,866) and Belmont ($194,809) offering 2 day pots and Gulfstream forcing out the Rainbow 6 ($999,089). Later, Churchill has a fun Foster Night slate with 2 P5's..

Start times: Belmont 4th-3:04pm; Gulfstream 6th-3:25pm; Santa Anita 5th-6:03pm; Churchill 5th-8:03pm.


SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$231,866 Carryover starts here..

Best Value: #4 Rocket Fuel 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Forest Blue 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Texas Two Step 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Blue Anchor 12-1 WON ($39.20)


6th: 66th Honeymoon (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Sircat Sally a lovely filly and likely to extend streak, but Pacific Wind has upside and may be able to test the favorite late going 9f..

Best Value: #2 Pacific Wind 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 Sircat Sally 3-5 WON ($2.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Beau Recall 4-1 2nd


7th: MCLM/$20k, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #13 Kenzou's Empire 4-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Zachian 8-1 11th
Next Best: #8 Specimen 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Rick's Dream 6-1 2nd


8th: S/HCP, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Terrific starter 'cap with many angles to evaluate on horses from a host of clever outfits..

Best Value: #10 Trifecta 6-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Hay Dude 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Sky Preacher 3-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Buymeabond 12-1 4th


9th: 72nd Summertime Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

With Abel Tasman out of the picture today, a chance for some late developers to earn black type..

Most Likely: #3 It Tiz Well 7-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Faypien 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Noted and Quoted 3-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Sheza Chattykat 15-1 6th


10th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Oregon 7-2 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #2 Kopitar 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Member State 4-1 8th
Super Add: #7 Divisor 12-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #3 Awesome Heights 12-1 5th


P6 Grid:

5: 3-4 (A), 6-7 (B), 8-9 (C)
6: 2-4 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
7: 13 (A), 5-8 (B), 2-6-11 (C)
8: 5-10 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
10: 6 (A), - (B), 2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x2x2x1 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x1x2x2x1 = 16 x $2 = $32

$2 Pick-6 (6/4/11/5,7,8/6/1,6,12) Paid $84.00 (5OF6) x 3 = $252.00


P4 Grid:

7: 5-8-13 (A), 2-6-11 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3-5-10 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 3-6 (A), 8 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
10: 6 (A), 2 (B), 11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x2x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x4x2x1 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (11/5,7,8/6/1,6,12) Paid $125.75



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Space Mountain 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Race Me Home 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Kismet's Heels 7-2 10th
Super Add: #3 Mucho Macho Bets 8-1 8th


5th: 20th Matt Winn, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

McCraken likely of course, but Colonelsdarktemper broke through to new level last out and will get first run behind solid DWL stretchout Aquamarine..

Most Likely: #2 McCraken 4-5 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #3 Coloneldarktemper 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Aquamarine 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Excitations 9-2 5th


6th: 28th Wise Dan (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Nice group top to bottom. Feels like pace will be honest. Given opportunity to go narrow elsewhere, I'd spread liberally here..

Best Value: #6 Conquest Panthera 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Pleuven 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Bondurant 8-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Blofeld 10-1 5th


7th: 42nd Fleur De Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Yes Forever Unbridled is very likely, but note that she didn't fire off 5+ month break in 2015 and today she returns off 7+ months. That said, if she doesn't run her A race, where do you turn? Doesn't look like Apology will get away easy up front with Big World close at hand. After that Walkabout, Carrumba and Romantic Vision look competitive..

Most Likely: #1 Forever Unbridled 4-5 WON ($4.20)
Best Value: #6 Romantic Vision 8-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Big World 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Carrumba 6-1 3rd


8th: 36th Stephen Foster H. (G1), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

There is authentic front end company for Gun Runner to his left and right, so it will be interesting to see how Geroux approaches the run to the turn. Honorable Duty looks like the most obvious threat

Most Likely: #3 Gun Runner 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 Honorable Duty 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Breaking Lucky 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Texas Chrome 12-1 6th


9th: 48th Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Once again, the 3yo filly turfers provide a fun wagering scenario..

Most Likely: #4 Proctor's Ledge 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Starr Bear 8-1 -
Next Best: #12 Chubby Star 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Sweeping Paddy 4-1 WON ($9.20)


P5 Grid:

5: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
6: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-3-4-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x2x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 1x4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/5/1,4/3/2) Paid $78.10


P4 Grid:

6: 2-6-7-8 (A), 1-3-4-5 (B), - (C)
7: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x2x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/1,4/3/2) Paid $60.55


10th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Miss Kentucky 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #9 Golden Amber 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #12 Socata 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Missseventhirteen 8-1 9th


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Portal 5-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #3 Leading Cause 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Tapsolute 3-1 4th
Best Value: #5 Unbridled Rebel 15-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Sevier 12-1 5th


P5 Grid:

7: 1 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-6-8 (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 4 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 12 (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x1x8x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x1x4x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-5 (1-3-2-1/2/3/8-8) Paid $55.70


P4 Grid:

8: 3 (A), - (B), 1-2-4-7-8 (C)
9: 2-4-11-12 (A), 1-7-8-9 (B), - (C)
10: 3-9 (A), 12 (B), 5-6 (C)
11: 3-8-9 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (2/3/8-8) Paid $89.80 ($44.90 for .50)