2019-06-15 10:50:49

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$149k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #3 Hills Pond 10-1
Next Best: #5 Herecomesyourman 2-1
Exotics Use: #2 All Go 3-1
Super Add: #8 War Treaty 5-1


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Passporttovictory 2-1
Best Value: #1 Parlapiano 10-1
Next Best: #3 Citizen Matzo 5-2
Exotics Use: #2 Not About the Nail 8-1


DELAWARE 7th: Obeah, F&M-3+, 9f (X-C P5, DD))

Most Likely: #1 Another Broad 3-2
Best Value: #4 Drop Dead Red 5-1
Next Best: #3 Goodonehoney 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Vente to Go 8-1


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Opry 8-1
Next Best: #2 Prognostication 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Hoboe 7-2
Super Add: #8 Morrison 4-1


MONMOUTH 10th: Honey Bee, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Golconda 6-1
Next Best: #3 A Bit of Both 3-1
Exotics Use: #9 Orra Mor 7-2
Super Add: #7 Missmizz 5-1


8th: CLM, 3yo, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Thomond Park 6-1
Best Value: #8 Spinning Kitten 8-1
Next Best: #10 Collins Ave. 3-1
Exotics Use: #3 Lucky Bet 15-1


9th: NY-Dancin Renee, F&M-3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Holiday Disguise 9-5
Best Value: #4 Leah's Dream 9-2
Next Best: #1 Jc's Shooting Star 6-1
Exotics Use: #5 Midnight Disguise 5-2


Cross Country P5 Grid:

DEL 7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
BEL 7: 1-2 (A), - (B), 3-8-9 (C)
MTH 10: 2-3-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 8: 2-8 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 2-4 (A), 1-3-5 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x3x5 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T

Bad bunch o' coconuts.. And remember, bad horses win bad races..

Most Likely: #13 Alphatest 4-1
Best Value: #11 Blood Red Sky 15-1
Next Best: #9 Moo Lah 9-2
Exotics Use: #5 Amajena 3-1



CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Mr. Money the horse to beat off the Pat Day, but that effort is a stand alone and several here are within striking range themselves. Timing right for Nolo Contesto to fulfill potential shown in January MDN-breaker..

Most Likely: #3 Nolo Contesto 3-1
Next Best: #6 Mr. Money 2-1
Best Value: #2 Signalman 4-1
Exotics Use: #1 Limonite 7-2


6th: Wise Dan (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Bulky cast and while there a few that appear more likely than others to win, virtually anyone can fill out the exotics..

Best Value: #3 First Premio 8-1
Next Best: #7 Itsinthepost 5-1
Exotics Use: #9 Inspector Lynley 6-1
Super Add: #14 Bourbon Resolution 10-1


7th: Fleur De Lis (G2), F&M-3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 She's a Julie 2-1
Next Best: #5 Blue Prize 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Elate 8-5
Super Add: #4 Go Google Yourself 10-1


8th: Stephen Foster (G2), 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Gift Box, nearly perfect since paired with Rosario, easily most likely. While a few have 'B' potential upset chances, doesn't feel worth bending over backwards trying to beat..

Most Likely: #6 Gift Box 3-1
Next Best: #9 Tom's d'Etat 5-1
Best Value: #1 Thirstforlife 15-1
Exotics Use: #4 Seeking the Soul 4-1


9th: Regret (G3), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Hard Legacy 8-1
Next Best: #1 Winter Sunset 7-2
Exotics Use: #4 Varenka 4-1
Super Add: #10 Gamblin Train 10-1


P5 Grid:

5: 3-6 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
6: 3-7 (A), 9-14 (B), 1-2-6-12 (C)
7: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6 (A), 9 (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 2-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

6: 3-7 (A), 9-14 (B), 1-2-6-12 (C)
7: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 6-9 (A), - (B), 1-4 (C)
9: 1-4-5 (A), 2-6-10 (B), 7-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve