2020-09-20 07:45:18

BELMONT PARK ~ CROSS COUNTRY P5


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Engrave 1-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Repo Rocks Late SCR
Next Best: #3 Rational Choice 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1a Likeable 5-2 WON ($6.60)


X-C LEG A ~ BELMONT 7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Amortization 7-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Kerry Girl 9-2 6th
Best Value: #12 Batyah 10-1 WON ($17.00)
Exotics Use: #9 Island Treasure 6-1 10th


X-C LEG B ~ WOODBINE 7th: Singspiel (G3), 3+, 10f-T (P6, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Skywire 7-2 8th
Next Best: #7 Tiz a Slam 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Nakamura 5-2 4th
Super Add: #4 Standard Deviation 8-1 6th


X-C LEG C ~ MONMOUTH 10th: S/HCP, 3+, 11f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Well-matched group for this starter series finale, further complicated by stretch out to 11f..

Best Value: #6 Atta Kid 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Bold Daddy 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Panama Papers 20-1 9th
Super Add: #1 Duc de Calais 6-1 4th


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Flashpackinbarbie Late SCR
Best Value: #6 Firenze Freedom 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Shesasuperfreak 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Wailin Josie 10-1 5th


X-C LEG D ~ BELMONT 9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Maxwell Esquire 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #8 Fast Getaway Late SCR
Next Best: #11 Bustin Shout 9-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Opt 8-1 3rd


X-C LEG E ~ WOODBINE 9th: Woodbine Mile (G1), 3+m 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

After slow summer. Casse barn winning races again and top pair of March/Arch and War/Will the horses to beat from off and on the paces..

Most Likely: #1 March to the Arch 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Value Proposition 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 War of Will 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Shirl's Speight 8-1 7th


X-C P5 Grid:

BEL 7: 6-10 (A), 9-12 (B), - (C)
WO 7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)
MTH 10: 6-8 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
BEL 9: 7-8 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
WO 9: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: 2x2x2x2x3 ($24) + 2x2x2x2x3 ($24) = 448


10th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f-Inner

Most Likely: #2 Freudian Analyst 7-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Fast Gordon 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Disciplinarian 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 You Said Hello 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

6: 6 (A), - (B), 1-2/SCR-3 (C)
7: 6-10 (A), 9-12 (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 4-7-8-11 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x1x6x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 1x2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x2x1x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36


P4 Grid:

7: 6-10 (A), 9-12 (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 4-7-8-11 (A), 5-12 (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x6x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x1x4x3 = 24 x .50 = $12