2020-08-01 19:33:30

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

As mentioned by Mike Welsch on Weekend Preview, tony group of Whitney Day 2yo boys with several already earmarked for success. Pletcher (Winfromwithin) & Amoss (Windcracker) offer players with valuable experience, but firsters may leapfrog them..

Beast Value: #8 Team Merchants 6-1: O'Neill-Reddam Nyquist bay working big, will be underbet..5th
Next Best: #3 Reinvestment Risk 3-1: $280k Chad-Klaravich Upstart exits 59.4 gate blow..WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Outlier 7-2: Fire sire Not This Time ($375k) & rare zippy spins from barn..8th/3rd
Super Add: #5 Regular Guy 15-1: Carpe Diem/Farrell half, but Catman typically wins 2nd out..9th


2nd: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Hidden Scroll! What's a big day without him (or Bodexpress)? Depending on Dream Friend, may be able to relax a bit on or close to the point with Rosario and 5-1 sounds good..

Best Value: #5 Hidden Scroll 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Fog of War 2-1 6th
Exotics Use: #4 En Wye Cee 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Dream Friend 4-2 4th


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Regal Speaker 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #5 K. K. Ichikawa 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 No Salt 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 School Street 8-1 8th


4th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Dream of Tomorrow 9-5: Phipps bay exits good races, adds hood for focus..2nd
Next Best: #2 Searing Chase 6-1: $700k Larry Best buy (now 4) got experience in KEE bow..4th
Best Value: #7 Point Driven 20-1: Moved up by Trombetta after escaping Navarro clutches..6th
Exotics Use: #6 Uncle Moonlight 10-1: Sam Siegel Uncle Mo o/o her star By the Light..3rd


5th: Personal Ensign (G1), F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, No Show Wagering)

While Vexatious & Point of Honor are within striking distance of Midnight Bisou, they appear to need career bests and other help to topple her..

Most Likely: #3 Midnight Bisou 2-5 2nd
Best Value: #4 Vexatious 5-1 WON ($21.00)
Next Best: #6 Point of Honor 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Motion Emotion 20-1 4th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-3-8 (A), 4-5 (B), 2-7 (C)
2: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
3: 5-9(A), - (B), 2-4-8 (C)
4: 2-3 (A), 5-6-7 (B), 1 (C)
5: 3 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x2x5x1 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

2: 1-4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), 6(C)
3: 5-9(A), 4 (B), 2-8 (C)
4: 2-3-6-7 (A), 1-5(B), - (C)
5: 3 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x6x1 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x2x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12


6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (MUST PAY P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mister Winston 5-2 7th
Next Best: #7 Everfast 2-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #3 Cool Bobby 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Stage Left 4-1 4th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (Empire 6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Modern Science 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Habitus 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 8-1 WON ($14.20)
Exotics Use: #7 King of Miami 5-2 4th


P4 Grid:

4: 2-3-6-7 (A), 1-5(B), - (C)
5: 3 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
6: 2-7(A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
7: 6-7-8-10 (A), - (B), 2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 4x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 =- $16


8th: MSW, 3+, 11f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Reigning Spirit 5-2: Rosario on a Stall late runner in a turf marathon? Yes, thank you..6th
Best Value: #3 Bail Out 6-1: Has negotiated the trip and won't take much money..4th
Next Best: #7 Amano 2-1: Temple City from Chad looks to want 3 turn format..3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Montauk Summer 10-1: Clement 2nd timer looks grindy..7th


9th: Whitney (G1), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

This should be very entertaining. Tom's d'Etat has done everything right since leaving here a year ago and can enhance his Horse of the Year candidacy here. Improbable has seemingly moved forward since the Gold Cup win and can take control or sit off Mr. Buff. He appears against the anticipated race flow, but Code of Honor broke his maiden here at 2, won the Travers here4 at 3 and now looks for one of the great distinctions in Spa lore with a Whitney follow up.,

Most Likely: #2 Improbable 5-2 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #5 Tom's d'Etat 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Code of Honor 5-2 4th


10th: Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Appropriately contentious edition of this important 3yo class-tester with everything you'd want including 3/4 to 7/8 specialists and turnbackers with thirds of the field appearing eligible for laurels..

Play this race in 'Beat Byk' at www.ntra.com/beatbykfor qualification into the September final for a NHC seat. Mischievous Alex my tab..


Best Value: #5 Mischievous Alex 8-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Tap It To Win 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Echo Town 9-2 WON ($16.40)
Super Add: #7 Shoplifted 12-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 2-7(A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
7: 8-10 (A), 6-7 (B), 2-9 (C)
8: 8 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 4-5-7-11 (A), 2-6-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1x2x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


11th: Bowling Green (G2), 4+, 11f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #4 Dot Matrix 9-2 6th
Next Best: #6 Sadler's Joy 2-1 4th-DQ'd from Win
Exotics Use: #2 Cross Border 5-2 WON-Up via DQ ($6.40)
Super Add: #5 Channel Maker 7-2 3rd-Up via DQ


12th: Caress, F&M-4+, 5.5f-T

Al Stall could wrap up a mammoth day (Reigning Spirit; Tom's d'Etat) with Dalika..

Most Likely: #7 Dalika 3-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Sweet Bye and Bye 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Saratoga Treasure 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #4 Introduced 10-1 4th


P5 Grid:

8: 8 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 4-5-7-11 (A), 6-8 (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
12: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
10: 4-5-7-11 (A), 6-8 (B), 2-9 (C)
11: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 3-7 (A), 4-8 (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24



CROSS COUNTRY P5


WOODBINE 9th: MSW, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Red Storm Risen 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #12 Belichick 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #10 Fifth Season 20-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Holyfield 12-1 4th


MONMOUITH 11th: Monmouth Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f

Most Likely: #2 Princess Cadey 6-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Market Rumior 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Comical 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Dream Marie 9-2 4th


9th: SARATOGA 9th: Whitney (G1), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Improbable 5-2 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #5 Tom's d'Etat 6-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Code of Honor 5-2 4th


WOODBINE 10th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 11f-T (DD)

Best Value: #4 Artistico 10-1 WON ($10.90)
Next Best: #1 Burning Man 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Theregoesjojo 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Coleyville 8-1 12th


SARATOGA 10th: Allen Jerkens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Mischievous Alex 8-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Tap It To Win 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Echo Town 9-2 WON ($16.40)
Super Add: #7 Shoplifted 12-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

WO 9: 1-12 (A), 3-10 (B), 4-5-8(C)
MTH 11: 2-3 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
SAR 9: 2-5 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
WO 10: 1-4 (A), - (B), 12 (C)
SAR 10: 4-5-11 (A), - (B), 6-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x2x3 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24