Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > The Charles Hatton Reading Room
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #21  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:23 PM
SentToStud's Avatar
SentToStud SentToStud is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,065
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
MY MAN!!! At long last someone who actually watches races reappears. I didn't bet the race, but I swear whenhe switched leads and took off like that I got goosebumps. One of the top 5 debuts I have seen in my life.
I didn't bet the race either. Watching, I was thinking how good the Lucas colt was running. Next instant, Quay put 5-6 quick lengths on him.
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:23 PM
boldruler
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Maybe one of these guys or girls will end his 0 for 51 in triple crown races come May 2007. Hes overdue. Ahhh, all the 3/5 shots will be blooming at Saratoga in 5 weeks.
How people bet on 3/5 shot two year olds is a question I still haven't figured out.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:24 PM
Cajungator26's Avatar
Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Hossy's Mom's basement.
Posts: 10,217
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by boldruler
The guy has 1 horse that costs more than most trainers top 2yr olds combined. The problem with racing horses this soon is that they are running distances that are completely useless in putting any foundation in a horse. What good does a 5F race do a horse. You might as well just breeze them 5F and let them come around for the fall.
I would guess that they put em in a race to see how they well they run with other horses. You can't always judge a horse by how they breeze. I would personally wait until later before debuting them, but I'm not the trainer.
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:24 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Tim Scav gave bad info, its 0-23. Not 51.
I think the 51 came from how many horses he has ran, I think the 23 is from how many races he has been in...Not sure, will research
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:27 PM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
I think the 51 came from how many horses he has ran, I think the 23 is from how many races he has been in...Not sure, will research
Grening and DRF said 21 before the belmont and quite frankly that sounds more realistic. hes only been training cince 1995 on his own and didnt start any in the Tri Crown races until 1997 I think. Many of those were horses that were very long prices that owners like Dogwood insisted he run.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:28 PM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
I think the 51 came from how many horses he has ran, I think the 23 is from how many races he has been in...Not sure, will research
Lemme know when you find it Scav, I don't really know which it is. I know what grening wrote in the DRf but whose to say hes right either?
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:28 PM
Flaxen Mane
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Secretariat
did someone say..

can you catch the green monkey ?

Nah, he'll break his maiden against a dismal field, be declared the best of all time, then incur a phantom injury and it will be decided he is worth too much as a stud to race.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:31 PM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
I didn't bet the race either. Watching, I was thinking how good the Lucas colt was running. Next instant, Quay put 5-6 quick lengths on him.
Stud that was flat out scary. I couldnt believe what i saw, and that was no "speed pop" by a wickedly fast 2yo. Mom hitthe board in stakes at a mile and an eight and we all know what dad did. He was just starting to roll near the wire and he was geared down. Look at the replay and watch him after he switched leads, WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!
And this is the charter member of the dont get excited about summer two year olds speaking. I'm usually the guy talking like Bolddruler is now, you know how impressive he had to be to get me to get that awed?
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:37 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
Default

ok, if he started his first horse in the triple crown in 97, that would be 10 TC's since. thus 30 races. That is what the 0-23 is. So he has tried to win the a triple crown race 23 times, with 51 horses. The 0-51 is the amount of chances he has had. That one year he had four horses in the Derby, followed by three the next or something, that is where the 51 came from.....
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:39 PM
boldruler
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Stud that was flat out scary. I couldnt believe what i saw, and that was no "speed pop" by a wickedly fast 2yo. Mom hitthe board in stakes at a mile and an eight and we all know what dad did. He was just starting to roll near the wire and he was geared down. Look at the replay and watch him after he switched leads, WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!
And this is the charter member of the dont get excited about summer two year olds speaking. I'm usually the guy talking like Bolddruler is now, you know how impressive he had to be to get me to get that awed?
Bet you get a great price (6-5 if lucky) on him in the Sanford, because you know that is where he is going.
Reply With Quote
  #31  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:40 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by boldruler
It is June. How many times did Bernardini race before last June? Who cares what happens until October at the earliest. If you are talking KY Derby in June of the 2yr old year, you have zero credibility.
I may be wrong but I don't think anyone WAS talking about the KY Derby. Oracle was talking about how these horses were going to do in the 2yo stakes races, not how they would do at 3.
Reply With Quote
  #32  
Old 06-15-2006, 01:58 PM
boldruler
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
I may be wrong but I don't think anyone WAS talking about the KY Derby. Oracle was talking about how these horses were going to do in the 2yo stakes races, not how they would do at 3.
I think it was his "Thats the kind of debut that gets people plotting a derby course in June of his 2yo year. Thast how good he was." that went a little overboard. I am sure plenty of people start thinking derby right after their 2yr old wins, but most derby horses aren't coming out of June races.
Reply With Quote
  #33  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:01 PM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
ok, if he started his first horse in the triple crown in 97, that would be 10 TC's since. thus 30 races. That is what the 0-23 is. So he has tried to win the a triple crown race 23 times, with 51 horses. The 0-51 is the amount of chances he has had. That one year he had four horses in the Derby, followed by three the next or something, that is where the 51 came from.....
Ok I got ya, I was thinking in terms of number of races hes tried in. I was doing the math in my head and since he was only training since 95 I knew that had to be impossible.
Reply With Quote
  #34  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:04 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 3,362
Default

I don't think it's wise to race 2 year olds early and often.
Reply With Quote
  #35  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:05 PM
boldruler
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by sumitas
I don't think it's wise to race 2 year olds early and often.
I don't think anyone does. People want some return on their money though and most rush these horses along.
Reply With Quote
  #36  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:07 PM
oracle80
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by boldruler
I don't think anyone does. People want some return on their money though and most rush these horses along.
Yeah I know, he looked really unprepared for todays effort.
Reply With Quote
  #37  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:08 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default

Grenig was right. Before the Belmont he had started a total number of 49 horses in 20 triple crown races. Now its 51 in 21 races.

We all know he'll have at least 10 wins by the time hes 50. Its all about strength in numbers.
Reply With Quote
  #38  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:09 PM
Flaxen Mane
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I'm not real keen on racing horses at 2, but ifyour horse is ready, you may as well strike while the irons hot.
Reply With Quote
  #39  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:20 PM
boldruler
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Yeah I know, he looked really unprepared for todays effort.
Lets talk when it counts next year. Let's see how he holds up.
Reply With Quote
  #40  
Old 06-15-2006, 02:22 PM
boldruler
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
Grenig was right. Before the Belmont he had started a total number of 49 horses in 20 triple crown races. Now its 51 in 21 races.

We all know he'll have at least 10 wins by the time hes 50. Its all about strength in numbers.
If he is lucky he will have 2 wins by 50.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:53 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.