11/6 (CD): Breeders' Cup Saturday (Post Draw Fields; ML's)

[TouchOfGrey]

Originally Posted by Revidere

No Dominguez on Haynesfield? Interesting.

Isn't he riding Gio Ponti?

[Revidere]

Originally Posted by TouchOfGrey

Isn't he riding Gio Ponti?

I guess i should have looked again before speaking. Thank you.

[Princess Doreen]

haven't a clue
Atta Boy Roy
Silver Timber
Uncle Mo
Goldikova
Gayego
Al Khali
even though I really like LAL, I think the Big Z will get it done.

[my miss storm cat]

http://pdfs.thoroughbreddailynews.co...turday2010.pdf

[chucklestheclown]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

http://pdfs.thoroughbreddailynews.co...turday2010.pdf

Thanks.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by HomerS

The Classic is really shaping up to be a great betting race.

The hype about Zenyetta is only growing- which didnt think possible and this is going to guarantee great prices on just about anyone else. I know there are some players who go by the "picking winners" mentality and that the only thing that matters is looking backwards afterwards and concluding only the winner was a good bet. But for rest of us this is shaping up as a phenomenal value proposition. Not quite once in a lifetime but just a great opportunity.

There is a perceived hype on message boards and outlandish articles written by some but I have a hunch there is a silent majority just waiting to cash in on the value of the "other three" and many of those people are going to be disappointed. There will be value outside of the top four and I'm not convinced she will be favored come post time.

Will someone tell me I'm crazy for wanting to single Here Comes Ben in the Dirt Mile?

[hockey2315]

She'll obviously be under 3-1.

[Port Conway Lane]

Originally Posted by HomerS

We will see. The odds on her last year were ridiculously low and that was on her home track. Because she won, the results focused players thought that made her a good bet, but her odds were crazy and think will be even more sothis time considering field is better, and will be on real dirt.

If she is anything under 5-1 (and I would think she will be 3-1 or lower) that pretty much guarantees overlays all around. Personally woulndnt touch her at anything under 12-1

Aren't all of the above reasons why she may not be bet as heavily this year ?

Last year the second and fourth choices were shipping in from europe and the third choice was the best 3YO who had never run on synthetics. There was no contender the public could embrace with confidence other than Zenyatta.
This year there are three strong contenders that people are more familiar with.
One of them consistently runs higher numbers than the field but does have some question marks concerning the added distance.

Another has defeated the first one, appears to have stamina based on his running style and will be at his track.

The third is an improving 3YO, proven on dirt, and the stablemate of a filly who gave the mare all she could handle at 1 1/16 miles.

There is a fourth horse who beat the second one at this distance but won't be taking his track with him.

It may be farfetched for me to believe that she won't be the favorite but choices 2,3,4 this year will be bet stronger than last year's group.