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  #41  
Old 10-21-2016, 12:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Indian Charlie View Post
Arrogate, his travers is better than any race chrome has run. If he can duplicate that race, it will be next to impossible for him to get beat. It's a huge if though.
I want to see him do that same race when he has to accelerate past a good horse rather than grinding on the front end and then skipping away.

He can do it but at 7/2...meh
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  #42  
Old 10-21-2016, 12:34 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
I want to see him do that same race when he has to accelerate past a good horse rather than grinding on the front end and then skipping away.

He can do it but at 7/2...meh
7-2? Really?
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  #43  
Old 10-21-2016, 12:43 PM
robfla robfla is offline
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Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
7-2? Really?
odds as of 10/17:

Bovada

POST ODDS HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY
N/A +105 California Chrome A. Sherman Victor Espinoza
N/A +300 Arrogate B. Baffert Mike Smith
N/A +800 Frosted K. McLaughlin Joel Rosario
N/A +1600 Songbird M. d'Oro TBD
N/A +1800 Connect C. Brown Javier Castellano
N/A +1800 Dortmund B. Baffert TBD
N/A +2000 Melatonin D. Hofmans Joseph Talamo
N/A +2000 Shaman Ghost J. Jerkens Javier Castellano
N/A +2000 Nyquist D. O'Neill Mario Gutierrez
N/A +2500 Beholder R. Mandella TBD

Sportsbook.

California Chrome 1/1
Arrogate 7/2
Melatonin 10/1
Frosted 15/1
Exaggerator 18/1
Connect 22/1
Dortmund 25/1
Gun Runner 25/1
Hoppertunity 25/1
Nyquist 25/1
Songbird 25/1
American Freedom 30/1
Beholder 30/1
Shaman Ghost 30/1
Mubtaahij 35/1
Destin 40/1
Effinex 40/1
Mohaymen 40/1
Suddenbreakingnews 45/1
Bradester 50/1
Brodys Cause 50/1
Creator 50/1
Cupid 50/1
Donworth 50/1
Firing Line 50/1
Gift Box 50/1
Governor Malibu 50/1
Hit It A Bomb 50/1
Imperative 50/1
Keen Ice 50/1
Laoban 50/1
Long Island Sound 50/1
Mor Spirit 50/1
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  #44  
Old 10-21-2016, 01:15 PM
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Arrogate is a nice horse don't get me wrong but only one graded win over a pretty mediocre 3 year old crop on a very fast track that day. I don't like the layoff either but who knows on that. 7-2 is not for me. Chrome has looked very solid.
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  #45  
Old 10-22-2016, 12:28 PM
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Keen Ice in the picture for Breeders' Cup Classic
By David Grening

Keen Ice will either run in the Breeders' Cup Classic or the Clark Handicap at Churchill Downs.

ELMONT, N.Y. – Keen Ice, who upset Triple Crown winner American Pharoah in the 2015 Travers, is being considered for the $6 million Breeders’ Cup Classic at Santa Anita on Nov. 5, his connections said Friday.

Keen Ice, who ran third in a second-level allowance race going one mile at Belmont on Oct. 7, is scheduled to have a workout at Belmont on Sunday, and afterward trainer Todd Pletcher and owner Jerry Crawford will get together to decide whether to pre-enter for the Classic or stick to their original plan of training up to the Grade 1 Clark Handicap at Churchill Downs on Nov. 25. Pre-entries for all 13 Breeders’ Cup races must be made by Monday.

On Friday, Crawford was en route to New York.

“We can read a Racing Form, and we know how tough the race is going to be,” Crawford said. “It’s an incredible field. On the other hand, there aren’t many times in life where you see an intersection of the quality of a horse, the way the horse is training, the likely pace scenario, and the preferred distance that’s rarely offered – and all those things happen to be true for Keen Ice.

“We’re taking a hard look at it. In a rare moment of self-restraint, I’ve been deferring to Todd on this decision. That’s until and unless we do well in the race, then I’ll say it was my idea all along.”

Keen Ice took advantage of a favorable pace scenario when he upset American Pharoah in the Travers. That day, Frosted battled with American Pharoah on the lead.

With California Chrome and Arrogate in the Classic field, Pletcher believes the pace scenario could be favorable for Keen Ice.

“If you’re Arrogate and you want to beat California Chrome, you can’t let him go,” Pletcher said. “We’ll see.”

Keen Ice finished eighth, 6 3/4 lengths behind winner California Chrome, in the Dubai World Cup in March. When he came back, he was found to have a hind-leg fracture. He returned to the races in a one-mile race, rallying to finish third behind Wake Up in Malibu. Keen Ice galloped out very strongly under Javier Castellano.

Last Monday, Keen Ice worked a half-mile in 48.19 seconds in company with Ready Dancer. He galloped out five furlongs in 1:01.87 and six furlongs in 1:14.46.

“It was a good breeze,” Pletcher said. “He galloped out well, came back well.”
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  #46  
Old 10-23-2016, 06:19 AM
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We’re taking a hard look at it. In a rare moment of self-restraint, I’ve been deferring to Todd on this decision. That’s until and unless we do well in the race, then I’ll say it was my idea all along.

Seems like an amusing guy!
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  #47  
Old 10-23-2016, 07:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Keen Ice in the picture for Breeders' Cup Classic
My sides.
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  #48  
Old 10-23-2016, 03:07 PM
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Found could be coming to defend Turf title, but is also a Classic (!) candidate..

http://www.skysports.com/racing/news...medium=twitter
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  #49  
Old 10-24-2016, 01:23 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Arrogate is a nice horse don't get me wrong but only one graded win over a pretty mediocre 3 year old crop on a very fast track that day. I don't like the layoff either but who knows on that. 7-2 is not for me. Chrome has looked very solid.
Arrogate has a chance if he takes out 7 horses at the gate.
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  #50  
Old 10-24-2016, 03:25 PM
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Originally Posted by cakes44 View Post
One of the big ones ain't gonna make it. My prediction is Songbird.
How big a favorite will Sobgbird be inThe Distaff ? 8-5 ?
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  #51  
Old 10-25-2016, 10:06 AM
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Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
How big a favorite will Sobgbird be inThe Distaff ? 8-5 ?
hmmmm, maybe not too far off but her figures are lower than the older horses and I see her being a popular pick against, could see 2/1 on both her and beholder with stellar wind maybe 5/2.
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  #52  
Old 10-25-2016, 10:21 AM
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She looks the part. She is breathtaking in person. We haven't seen her best, but will in 2 weeks.
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  #53  
Old 10-25-2016, 10:34 AM
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Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
How big a favorite will Sobgbird be inThe Distaff ? 8-5 ?
Probably a good guess. I'm glad the big 3 all look like they are gonna make it. I'll likely be on Beholder, depending on odds.
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  #54  
Old 10-25-2016, 10:43 AM
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We've already seen Beholders best. I'm surprised no one else who saw Songbird has commented on her physical looks. I know some guys only understand the racing form and wouldn't know a 2 year old filly from a 9 year old gelding, but others who know horseflesh have been silent on this aspect.
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  #55  
Old 10-25-2016, 10:59 AM
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Stellar Wind has never won beyond a 1 1/16
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  #56  
Old 10-25-2016, 01:19 PM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by senator L View Post
Stellar Wind has never won beyond a 1 1/16
She was best in the Distaff last year. Not even really close IMO.
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  #57  
Old 10-25-2016, 04:00 PM
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Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
We've already seen Beholders best. I'm surprised no one else who saw Songbird has commented on her physical looks. I know some guys only understand the racing form and wouldn't know a 2 year old filly from a 9 year old gelding, but others who know horseflesh have been silent on this aspect.
We lost our expert on pretty horses years ago.
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  #58  
Old 10-26-2016, 05:49 AM
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Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
How big a favorite will Sobgbird be inThe Distaff ? 8-5 ?
If the Big 3 all go, I don't think Songbird will be below 2-1. Gorgeous or not, her best BSF is 6 lengths behind the race Beholder and Stellar Wind ran Oct 1. Yeah, Songbird could have run faster if pressed, but 6 lengths faster? If Songbird goes off at 8-5, I'll be all over B or SW or both.
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  #59  
Old 10-26-2016, 06:45 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
If the Big 3 all go, I don't think Songbird will be below 2-1. Gorgeous or not, her best BSF is 6 lengths behind the race Beholder and Stellar Wind ran Oct 1. Yeah, Songbird could have run faster if pressed, but 6 lengths faster? If Songbird goes off at 8-5, I'll be all over B or SW or both.
She is the greatest filly ever according to Anthony Stabile, as such, now way she goes off more then 6/5 likely even or less.

"the greatest filly ever" I call this the Pharoah Effect lol so ridiculous
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  #60  
Old 10-26-2016, 08:14 AM
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
She is the greatest filly ever according to Anthony Stabile, as such, now way she goes off more then 6/5 likely even or less.

"the greatest filly ever" I call this the Pharoah Effect lol so ridiculous
You know millennials they need to experience at least 10 "Greatest things ever" a week.
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