10/16: Far Hills/Belmont (X-C P5); Keeneland (6th-10th)

[Kasept]

CROSS COUNTRY P5 ~ FAR HILLS/BELMONT


POST-SCRATCHES


FH 3rd: Grand National (G1), 4+, 2-5/8m

Rematch between the top 2 chasers of the season with Snap Decision having the benefit of a tightener in their Lonesome Glory encounter..

Most Likely: #1 Snap Decision 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 The Mean Queen 4-5 WON ($3.80)


BEL 5th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Happy Hill Lil keeps improving and can get Gary his 1,000th career win here. Note that Lil and Uncle's Gem are the only 2 that return to NY-bred competition after facing open last..

Most Likely: #10 Happy Hill Lil 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Uncle's Gem 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Show Me the Honey 10-1 WON ($14.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Highway Queen 9-2 2nd


BEL 6th: Sands Point (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Very little pace to be found which regularly plays into the hands of Saez whose Jordan's Leo (6-1) is only missy in field that consistently drafts forwardly. Inside draw an added benefit..

Best Value: #2 Jordan's Leo SCR
Next Best: #5 Higher Truth 2-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Fluffy Socks 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #4 Runaway Rumour 8-1 2nd


FH 4th: Appleton, 4+, 2-5/8m

Best Value: #5 Recent Revelations 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ya Boy Ya 9-5 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Galway Kid 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Mighty Mark 10-1 2nd


FH 5th: Gladstone, 3yo, 2-1/8m

Most Likely: #6 Realist 8-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #1 Fast Vision 3-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Project Two 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Circus 4-1 6th


P5 Grid:

FH 3: 1-2 (A), - (B), - (C)
BEL 5: 9-10 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
BEL 6: 2/SCR-5-7 (A), - (B), 3-4-8 (C)
FH 4: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), 1-2-3 (C)
FH 5: 6 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (3-4-8) + $18 (1-2-3)



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-OFF TURF (P5, P3, Turf P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Big Woo 10-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Curbstone 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Wicked Genius 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Tonkawa Springs 12-1 5th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Street Missy 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Big City Momma 2-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Sovereign Appeal 8-5 6th
Super Add: #3 South Georgia 15-1 4th


8th: Queen Elizabeth Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Shantisara 7-2 WON ($7.00)
Next Best: #2 Technical Analysis 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #8 Flippant 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #4 Empress Josephine 3-1 9th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #9 Mr. Tip 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Ducale 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Winter Pool 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Malibu Star 5-1 3rd


10th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Lemos Cunha 12-1 5th-DH
Next Best: #4 Chili Petin 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Signify 5-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Recoded 8-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Social Chatter 4-1 WON ($9.20)


P5 Grid:

6: 4-8-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
10: 4-7 (A), - (B), 5-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (4-8) + $12 (5-11)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
10: 4-7 (A), 5-11 (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (4-8) + $6 (1)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/3/5,7/1) Paid $85.95 (A-A-A-C)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

KEE SCR/CHG'S

BEL SCR/CHG'S