9/8: Belmont ($22k C/O); KY Downs (6th-7th/X-C P4)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$22k P6 C/O starts here..

Not an easy start to the carryover sequence with half a dozen high 60's/low 70's Beyer types and a modest pace lined up..

Best Value: #9 Cavalotto 4-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Pretentious 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Truly a Moon Shot 9-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Zap Zap Zap 3-1 WON ($7.50)


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 10f-IT (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Not sure why Charreada is supposed to be 7-5 in here, looking no better than the next 4 ML choices..

Most Likely: #6 Semper Sententiae 5-2 WON ($8.30)
Next Best: #5 Beau Belle 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Bella Figura 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Charreada 7-5 3rd


7th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

SCR of Full Salute slows pace further..

Most Likely: #3 Happy Farm 5-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Professor Snape 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Fire Mission 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Super Add: #5 Helooksthepart 3-1 3rd


KY DOWNS 6th: Juvenile Turf Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f-T (X-C P4, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Chattel 5-1 DNF-Clipped heels, fell
Next Best: #10 Moonlight Romance 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Best Value: #3 Faraway Kitten 12-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Life Mission 4-1 2nd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Three surface switchers (2-5-6) and a return to lawn after off/turf for ouchy Jupiter Rising in lone 4yo outing this year. Outrageous Bet could get over the N1X hump with another effort like the 8/19 try upstate, but 2-1 tough to swallow after 10 tries at the condition..

Most Likely: #8 Ghost Giant 4-1 WON ($6.70)
Next Best: #4 Outrageous Bet 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Ro Bear 12-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Not So Quiet Man 3-1 3rd


KY DOWNS 7th: Ladies Turf (G3), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Bonnie Arch 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 I'm Betty G 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Dubara 15-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Storm the Hill 4-1 4th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (DD)

Nice group with real pace lined up..

Best Value: #10 Kundray 5-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Length 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Eloweasel 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Violent Times 9-2 2nd


BEL-KD Cross Country P4 Grid:

KD 6: 2-10 (A), 3-8 (B), 4-5 (C)
BEL 8: 4-8 (A), 6 (B), 1-3 (C)
KD 7: 1-2-3-10 (A), - (B), 5-6-9 (C)
BEL 9: 9-10 (A), 5 (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x4x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


10th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T

Head-spinning array of pedigree on parade here with Green Lantern homebred Malthael (A.P. Indian half), KMc/Green $430k 2nd time starter A Thread of Blue (Half to Ea), Janney homebred Medina Ridge (War Front/Hit It Rich), Eclipse & LePenta's $725k Current (Weep No More half), Godolphin homebred Kentucky Wildcat SCR'D (By Tapit and first foal out of Better Lucky) & Barber & Oxley's $675k Real Money (Noble Beauty half by Real Solution)..

Best Value: #3 A Thread of Blue 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Current 5-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Teachable Moment 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Medina Ridge 8-1 7th


P6 Grid:

5: 2-9 (A), 3-7 (B), 1-8 (C)
6: 5-6 (A), 3-7 (B), 1 (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
8: 8 (A), - (B), 4-6 (C)
9: 10 (A), 9 (B), 5 (C)
10: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), 1-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x1x2x3 = 96 x $2 = $192
All A's: 2x2x1x1x1x3 = 12 x $2 = $24


P5 Grid:

6: 5-6 (A), 1-3-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C)
9: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), 4-6-7 (C)
10: 3-6-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x2x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x1x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3 (A), 6 (B), 2-7 (C)
8: 4-8 (A), - (B), 1-3-6 (C)
9: 5-9-10 (A), 4-7 (B), 6 (C)
10: 3-6-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/8/1,2,3,7/8) Paid $74.87


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

Saturday BEL Scratches

2nd - 7
3rd - 1
7th - 4-8
9th - 2
10th - 4-10-12

Good/Good

[Kasept]

KD SCR/CHG'S

BEL SCR/CHG'S