10/17: Belmont ($57k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Graded Stakes-placed Texas Swing, he of the stallion's pedigree being by Curlin out of Colonel John's sister, being given away here. Royal Realm turns back going turf/dirt while dropping down slightly..

Most Likely: #4 Texas Swing 8-5 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #2 Royal Realm 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #3 Johnnypump 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Good Culture 9-2 6th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f-Inner (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Big key to the C/O sequence and as many as 6 entered (#'s 3-4-7-9-11-13) come out of the 9/19 edition of same event. You can watch that race replay here, starting at 3:11.55: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8u2285K-Syk

Most Likely: #8 Sandrone 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Buckortwo 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Devil Or Angel 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Hezastonecoldfox 3-1 9th


6th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Chulainn 5-1 WON ($7.30)
Next Best: #9 Grape Nuts Warrior 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Missionatthespa 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Catch the Party 7-2 2nd


7th: NY-CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 More Graytful 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #8 Just Right 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 I Love Jaxson 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Gandy Dancing 10-1 7th


8th: Floral Park, F&M-3+, 6f-Inner (DD)

Best Value: #7 Too Sexy 9-2 WON ($7.90)
Next Best: #6 Robin Sparkles 2-1 8th
Exotics Use: #8 Introduced 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Raven's Cry 6-1 2nd


9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T

This is a fascinating group with a bunch of interesting pedigree notes. Thesis Break out of Mardi Gras winning Cloudburst, a half to Boston Harbor who has 2yo stakes placed Mystic Eyes (Maclean's Music) on track ahead of this debuting sophomore. Ingress out of Fox Hill stakes runner Thirteen Arrows and sports a record that's better than it looks. Lilac Girl from strong Hancock/Stonerside family that boasts E Dubai, Vronsky and more. Jake Delhomme bred outposted Lady Valentine. Miss Bonnie T has had chances but keeps improving too..

Most Likely: #10 Thesis Break 6-1
Best Value: #5 Ingress 12-1
Next Best: #11 Lilac Girl 2-1
Exotics Use: #3 Miss Bonnie T 8-1
Super Add: #12 Lady Valentine 7-2


P6 Grid:

4: 4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
5: 8 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
6: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-10-11 (A), 3-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x2x2x2x5 = $120
All A's: 1x1x2x2x2x3 = $24
Backups: $24 (2) + $12 (1)


P5 Grid:

5: 8-9 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
6: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-10-11 (A), 3-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $12 (1)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-9 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
7: 3-8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
8: 6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-10-11 (A), 3-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x2x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S