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  #1  
Old 11-02-2019, 05:37 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default Santa Anita Breeders' Cup Saturday November 2nd

Race 2:
#5 Comical Ghost
#4 Flagstaff
#3 Roadster

Race 3:
#3 Nolde
#6 Jais’s Solitude
#8 Neptune’s Storm
#1 Originaire

Race 4 (F&M Sprint):
#6 Bellafina: Gets another chance returning to her home stomping grounds at an overlay price.
#1 Covfefe
#7 Selcourt
#4 Come Dancing

Race 5 (Turf Sprint):
#12 Belvoir Bay: Tough draw but she has tactical speed so a stalking trip with cover is plausible. Second to Blue Point is arguably the best any of these have run this year.
#10 Eddie Haskell
#2 Pure Sensation
#1 Totally Boss

Race 6 (Dirt Mile):
#3 Spun to Run: Best races have come at Parx, but that also coincided with a switch to two-turn routes. Beat Gray Magician three back, had a rough trip in the PA Derby (banged head in gate and was wide without cover), and showed an electric turn of foot to annihilate them last time. Compare the Forewarned form with #7.
#4 Mr. Money: No excuse to be run down off that slow pace last time, but the short layoff might have made him a bit vulnerable.
#7 Coal Front
#8 Blue Chipper
Nothing wrong with the fav #5 Omaha Beach, but feel he’s prone to bounce off that huge first-up effort.

Race 7 (F&M Turf):
#7 Vasilika: Really became a different animal out West, and hard to fault her 12: 11-1-0 record at SA.
#2 Sistercharlie: Didn’t look at her best last out, so I’ll try to beat at a short price.
#12 Fanny Logan: Steadily improved this year. Gosden not one to ship just to be there.
#3 Fleeting

Race 8 (Sprint):
#4 Mitole
#1 Catalina Cruiser
#6 Shancelot
#9 Imperial Hint

Race 9 (Mile):
#13 Hey Gaman: Ran 2nd in a G1 mile around a bend as a 3yo so the distance should be OK. Not thrilled by the draw but hope Frankie can get a trip similar to Franco on Sharing yesterday. Will relish the firm turf.
#9 Circus Maximus: Has been mixing it up with, and mostly beating, some of the best Euro 3yos. Expect Moore to put him handy early.
#6 Got Stormy
#11 Uni

Race 10 (Distaff):
#4 Midnight Bisou
#5 Dunbar Road
#11 Blue Prize
#9 Serengeti Empress

Race 11 (Turf):
#10 Old Persian
#9 Bricks and Mortar
#5 Anthony Van Dyck
#11 Arklow

Race 12 (Classic):
#10 Vino Rosso
#8 McKinzie
#6 Elate
#4 War of Will

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 4, 5
Race 3: 1, 3, 8
Race 4: 1, 4, 6, 7, 9
Race 5: 1, 2, 7, 10, 12
$90.00

$0.60 First Middle Pick Four
Race 4: 1, 6, 7
Race 5: 10, 12
Race 6: 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
Race 7: 2, 7, 12
$54.00

$0.60 Second Middle Pick Four
Race 6: 3, 4, 5, 7, 8
Race 7: 2, 3, 4, 7, 12
Race 8: 1, 4, 6
Race 9: 6, 9, 13
$180.00 --- taking the budget for the late P4 and putting it here

Good luck!
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  #2  
Old 11-02-2019, 02:38 PM
ninetoone's Avatar
ninetoone ninetoone is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Location: VA, USA
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Great call on Belvoir Bay...
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  #3  
Old 11-02-2019, 02:39 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
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Posts: 1,276
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#12 Belvoir Bay: Tough draw but she has tactical speed so a stalking trip with cover is plausible. Second to Blue Point is arguably the best any of these have run this year.

Great call Kitan. Bring that P4 home.
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  #4  
Old 11-02-2019, 03:19 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
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#3 Spun to Run: Best races have come at Parx, but that also coincided with a switch to two-turn routes. Beat Gray Magician three back, had a rough trip in the PA Derby (banged head in gate and was wide without cover), and showed an electric turn of foot to annihilate them last time. Compare the Forewarned form with #7.

Kitan on fire today
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  #5  
Old 11-02-2019, 03:30 PM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,604
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
#12 Belvoir Bay: Tough draw but she has tactical speed so a stalking trip with cover is plausible. Second to Blue Point is arguably the best any of these have run this year.

Great call Kitan. Bring that P4 home.
Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
#3 Spun to Run: Best races have come at Parx, but that also coincided with a switch to two-turn routes. Beat Gray Magician three back, had a rough trip in the PA Derby (banged head in gate and was wide without cover), and showed an electric turn of foot to annihilate them last time. Compare the Forewarned form with #7.

Kitan on fire today
$31 and $20 horses. That double alone paid $394. Excellent analysis by Kitan.
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  #6  
Old 11-03-2019, 07:20 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
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Thanks all. Should have played the late P4/P5...but missing the other P4 in a photo was just as bad, but typical of my year
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