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#1
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Tenfold
Every time I look at Tenfold, I like him more and more for the Belmont. Can somebody tell me I’m crazy or missing something?
He runs well in the slop and on a dry surface. He seems to get better with every race. He finished 3rd in the Preakness but I thought his performance was at least better than Bravazo who edged him out to get 2nd. And the pedigree - Curlin on one side and Tapit as the damsire. Am I looking too much into the pedigree or are we all going to be looking back at Tenfold and saying, “Yeah, that makes sense. His pedigree is phenomenal for the distance.” |
#2
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I don't think you are crazy, I really like him and Hofburg. I maybe the crazy one as I really think Justify won't hit the board.
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#3
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Pb72vett winner
Thats called living a dream.
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#4
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Haha, maybe. I just can’t bring myself to bet on Justify, not with him almost getting caught in the Preakness. I thought he would win a lot more convincingly there. Had him keyed on top in my trifecta and superfecta. I expected him to win by a couple lengths. Three horses within 1 of him and a fourth horse 1 back made him look very beatable, especially at 12 furlongs.
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#5
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^
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#6
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You might be a little optimistic about Justify running away with it. Besides at 3-5 or so there isn't much value there. I really believe Hofburg and Tenfold will give him all he can handle.
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#7
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Quote:
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#8
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It’s possible. He’s a great horse. But plenty of great horses have struggled in the Belmont. Is he the same horse he was at Santa Anita or Churchill? He didn’t look it in the Preakness, though still besting the field. But I wonder — if Bravazo had somehow managed to edge Justify out at Pimlico, would Justify even be running tomorrow? And would he be a below-even-money favorite? I guess we’ll never know but it’s amazing how much half a length can change our view on things.
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#9
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EXACTA - ly what I'm looking for!
__________________
Support your local Re-run or horse rescue organization. https://www.rerunottb.com/:) |
#10
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My exacta wagers will make up the bulk of my bets. If we can get Justify out of the top 2, there should be some pretty good value there. I’m hesitant to exclude Justify from my trifecta wagers though. Could this be a California Chrome situation? Sure. That’s what I’m hoping for. But I think he’s too good to completely exclude.
I’m hoping to see Tenfold at 15-1 or higher. He’s 12-1 in the morning line but I think that could go up a little. I expect Gronkowski to get much more money put on him than he deserves, so hopefully that’ll inflate some of the odds for the choices in the middle of the pack. |