4/10: Oaklawn (6th-13th); Cross Country P5 (AQU-KEE-OP)

[Kasept]

OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Carousel, F&M-4+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Edgeway 9-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #4 Frank's Rockette 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wildwood's Beauty 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Casual 4-1 3rd


7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Global Appeal 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 He'smyhoneybadger 3-1 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Star Sailor 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Skip Intro 5-1 8th


8th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Ancient Warrior 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Sahshashakemeup 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #9 One for Richie 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Secret Courier 6-1 4th


9th: Oaklawn Mile, 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 RUSHIE 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Blackberry Wine 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 By My Standards 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Gun It 8-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
7: 2-6-8-9 (A), - (B), 5-7 (C)
8: 1-3-7-9 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
9: 4 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x4x4x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: $8 (1) + $8 (5-7) + $4 (6) = $20

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/8/5,7/6) Paid $94.80


10th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Name Rejected 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Mighty Mischief 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #5 Upstriker 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Game Day Play 7-2 3rd


11th: Count Fleet (G3), 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Whitmore 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Empire of Gold 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 C Z Rocket 2-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #1 No Parole 9-2 6th


12th: Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Concert Tour 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Caddo River 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Hozier 3-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Super Stock 6-1 WON ($26.40)


13th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f

Most Likely: #4 Ardanwood 7-2 -
Best Value: #2 Junesandra 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Antigravity 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Continental Coins 6-1 WON ($6.60)


P5 Grid:

9: 4 (A), 5-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1-7 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
11: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
13: 2-4-5 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (5 in 10th): 1x1x3x2x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup (1-3 in 12th): 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

10: 1-7 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-5 (A), 3 (B), 1-5-6 (C)
13: 2-4-5 (A), 1 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x4 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (3-5-6 in 12th): 2x3x3x3 = 54 x .50 = $27



CROSS COUNTRY PICK 5


POST-SCRATCHES


AQU 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Family Biz 5-1 WON ($13.80)
Next Best: #8 Yankee Division 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Texas Swing 8-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Arham 3-1 2nd


KEE 8th: Giant's Causeway, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, J/P Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Into Mystic 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 In Good Spirits 6-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Change of Control 15-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Karak SCR


AQU 8th: Danger's Hour, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Analyze It 7-5 6th
Best Value: #2 Rinaldi 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Decorated Invader 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Delaware 10-1 WON ($22.20)


KEE 9th: Lexington, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, J/P Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Proxy 6-5 4th
Best Value: #5 Unbridled Honor 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Hockey Dad 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Bezos 8-1 9th


OP 9th: Oaklawn Mile, 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 RUSHIE 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Blackberry Wine 5-1 5th
Next Best: #6 By My Standards 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Gun It 8-1 4th


X-C P5 Grid:

AQU 7: 5-8 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 1-2-7-8 (A), - (B), 3-4-6-10 (C)
AQU 8: 7 (A), 2-4 (B), 8 (C)
KEE 9: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 4 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x1x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (3-4-6-10) + $12 (8) + $24 (5-6) = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[moses]

Good luck Steve. I love Rushie today and he might be solid odds given the other horses in the race.

[Kasept]

AQU SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

[ninetoone]

Nice job handicapping the X-country Pick 5 - you were close! Hard to have King Fury. I believe it paid 25K???