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  #1  
Old 12-26-2015, 08:03 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,652
Default 12/26: Santa Anita (Opening Day)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Not sure why Baltas firster Asian's Way (3-1) demands respect here. Trappe Shot less than ordinary with debuting types and family offers little to suggest precociousness. If you like her, you're relying strictly on Baltas ability to win without supporting evidence as even the workout notes from Harrington are unenthusiastic..

Most Likely: #9 Quigley's Corner 8-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Everqueen 20-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Angel Lane 15-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Asian's Way 3-1 WON ($7.20)


4th: 12th Daytona (G3), 3yo, 6.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Terrific assembly for this with great mix of pure sprinters and classy, late-running turnbacks. Wide open..

Best Value: #11 Somethings Unusual 20-1 12th
Next Best: #12 No Silent 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Alert Bay 5-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Big Bane Theory 12-1 10th


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P3, DD)

With today's Gulfstream 8th (3:35pm ET), an important-looking group of Maidens..

Most Likely: #3 Danzing Candy 7-2 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #4 Mr. Coker 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Weirdhaircut Seth 5-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Curlin Rules 5-1 9th


6th: 16th Mathis Bros. Mile (G2), 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Sure feels like there's too much pace involved here to be accepting Om or any of the front end parties..

Best Value: #9 Vigilante 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Mister Brightside 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Om 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #5 Soul Driver 8-1 7th


7th: 43rd La Brea (G1), 3yo-F, 7f (P3, DD)

Not a great deal of speed involved here, so Hot City Girl will have every chance to wire. Cavorting pointed, poised for this. Local Ben's Duchess may be the least known accomplished 3yo filly in the country. Finest City gives fledgling trainer Ian Kruljac a big chance to impress in spotlight. Birdatthewire drew inside and needs meltdown type scenario, but Romans too clever to ignore in big spots..

Most Likely: #3 Cavorting 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Ben's Duchess 3-1 4th
Best Value: #10 Finest City 8-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Hot City Girl 3-1 2nd


8th: 64th Malibu (G1), 3yo, 7f (DD)

Always an end of year highlight, Malibu looks to be largely at the disposal of BC Sprint winner Runhappy. KMc invaders obviously eligible to threaten fave, but it's Lord Nelson that has the most upside returning from break and trying trip he likes best..

Most Likely: #4 Runhappy 6-5 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #7 Lord Nelson 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Marking 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Watershed 4-1 5th


9th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f-T (Super Hi-5)

Very tricky finale. Doesn't appear to be all that much pace..

Most Likely: #5 Hunt 4-1 6th
Best Value: #2 Dreaming of Gold 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Tale of Life 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #11 What a View 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Hi-5 Play: #8 Eckersly 12-1 7th


P4 Grid:

6: 6-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 1-2-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), 2-3-7 (C)
9: 2-5 (A), 4-8-10-11 (B), 6-7-9-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x6 = 120 x $0.50 = $60
Full (A/B/C): $72 (With $1 All 'A's' Play)

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,10/1/4/11) Paid $209.65


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 12-27-2015 at 07:20 AM.
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  #2  
Old 12-26-2015, 01:03 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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SA SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #3  
Old 12-26-2015, 06:50 PM
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Gamlin1 Gamlin1 is offline
Del Mar
 
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Posts: 5,076
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Thanks for the P4
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  #4  
Old 12-26-2015, 08:21 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Gam, Dave.. Thanks. Fun start to what should be a great meet. Hope everyone did well.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #5  
Old 12-27-2015, 07:18 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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$35,067 Super Hi-5 C/O Sunday..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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