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Old 12-09-2023, 08:18 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,671
Default 12/9: Aqueduct ($24k P6 C/O); Oaklawn (6th-10th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 G Munning 1-1 6th
Best Value: #1 Blue Plate Special 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Good Rapport 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hatch 10-1 WON ($18.20)


4th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

$24k P6 C/O starts here and it's not an easy group to figure out..

Most Likely: #3 Printrack 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Ego Man 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1a Big Engine 8-5 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #5 Air Show 6-1 4th


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dontbelate 9-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #2 Winning Drive 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Critical Threat 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Joker Boy 6-1 7th


6th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Good Reunion 9-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Caldo Candy 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Flip's Dream 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: ##4 Rollin in Dough 9-2 WON ($10.00)


P4 Grid:

3: 2 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x2x3 = 24 x $1.50 = $36 ($12 for .50)
Backup (C-A-A-A): 1x4x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1 in 3rd)


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD) ~ Cross Country Leg A

Most Likely: #6 Awesome Native 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Victorious Wave 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Trafalgar 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Twenty Four Mamba 10-1 WON ($22.60)


8th: Garland of Roses, F&M-3+, 6f (DD) ~ Cross Country Leg B

Best Value: #4 You Look Cold 6-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Hot Fudge 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Olga Isabel 5-2 5th


9th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 7f

Most Likely: #6 Scarlet's Dream 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #8 Photo Finish 4-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Call Her Bluff 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Fabulous Fox 4-1 2nd


P6 Grid:

4: 3 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
5: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
7: 2-6 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x2x3x2 = $72
All A's: 1x2x1x2x3x2 = $24
Backup (C-A-A-A-A-A): 1x2x1x2x3x2 = $24 (2 in 4th)
Backup (A-A-A-C-A-A): 1x2x1x2x3x2 = $24 (8-9 in 7th)


P5 Grid:

5: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
7: 2-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x4x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

6: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 2-6-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Ring the Bell, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Sir Wellington 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Tejano Twist 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Ryvit 2-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Osbourne 5-1 4th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Megan's Honor 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Underhill's Tab 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Halmstead 5-2 11th
Exotics Use: #10 Circle Back Jack 6-1 9th


8th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD) ~ Cross Country Leg C

Most Likely: #4 Orange Diablo 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Mikealicious 12-1 WON ($43.60)
Next Best: #11 Imperial Gun 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Speedtail 12-1 3rd


Cross Country P5 Grid:

AQ 7: 2-6 (A), - (B), 8-9 (C)
AQ 8: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 2-6 (A), 7-10 (B), - (C)
OP 10: 7-9-11 (A), 1-6-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x1x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (C-A-A-A-A): 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8-9 in AQ 7)


9th: Mistletoe, F&M-3+, 1m (DD) ~ Cross Country Leg D

Most Likely: #2 Misty Veil 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Coastal Charm 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Ice Orchid 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Effortlesslyelgant 12-1 7th-DQ'd from 4th


10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f ~ Cross Country Leg E

Most Likely: #7 W W Scout's Honor 3-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Gunflash 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #9 Affable Monarch 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Spend Benjamins 5-1 WON ($8.80)


P5 Grid:

6: 1-6-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C)
10: 7-11 (A), 9-12 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x2x4 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 4x2x1x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (A-A-A-C-A): 4x2x1x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (7-10 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

7: 4-9 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
8: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-6 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C)
10: 7-9-11-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x2x4 = $32
All A's: 2x1x2x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backup (A-A-C-A): 2x1x2x4 = 16 x .50 = $8 (7-10 in 9th)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 12-10-2023 at 08:58 AM.
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  #2  
Old 12-09-2023, 11:15 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,671
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AQU SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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