Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-13-2018, 01:40 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default Belmont Wednesday June 13

Still got the fever after Belmont weekend so let's give this one more try.

Race 1:
#5 Team Colors
#4 Weekend Express
#9 Souperfast
#3 Shamcat

Race 2:
#7 Jazzy J: Average sales work but got over the ground well. Didn't seem to handle the downpour and mud but it was still a decent debut behind a Ward runaway. Martin hits at a good clip in these spots.
#1 Dizzy: May want a bit further but Rudy hits at a near 25% clip with these types of debutantes.
#2 Brass Ring
#6 South of France

Race 3:
#3 Bengala: Just hung on NA debut behind a runner who came back to take out a Stakes at Churchill. Deserved fav.
#6 Double Cast
#1 Violet Blue

Race 4:
#13 Flippity Flop is SCR...
#10 Scripted: Didn't seem to appreciate the sloppy track last time out. Half of her sibs that won did it on turf.
#9 Goldtown: Did get checked back to last, but thought she still could have closed a bit better. Was in a photo for 4th-7th, and PPs look a bit different if it was a 7th place finish.
#11 Hit a Provision: 2nd dam was a three time Stakes winner in England, albeit over much further.
#2 Nazay

Race 5:
#5 Local Counsel
#4 Surface Strike
#3 One More Tom
#2 Ninja Boys

Race 6:
#2 Wushu Warrior: 4 across the track at the wire when he won, but he had a troubled trip against older and showed he can come from off the pace. Has other speed to run at here.
#10 Heyitsnricopalazo
#6 American Power
#11 Hard Way Winner

Race 7:
#9 Strawberry Tequila: Have to think something was amiss last time...
#6 Rachel's Blue Moon
#8 Tayler's the Boss
#7 My Roxy Girl

Race 8:
#5 Seeking the Blue: Jumped sideways at the start when last seen in April. Extra distance should be in her favour and with a cleaner break should be right there early.
#4 Might Be: Heavy ML fav a bit vulnerable as both her wins came with slow paces.
#6 Salty Smile

Race 9:
#2 Zecha: Didn't look all too comfortable rating between horses last out in her turf debut. I think Carmouche will be aggressive here from an inside draw, adding blinkers, and dropping to MCL-level. Not much turf pedigree on the bottom, however, although Levine keeps her on the surface.
#10 J C S Star
#9 Andretta
#1 Fiveinthemorning

$0.60 Early Pick Five
Race 1: ALL (7)
Race 2: 1, 7
Race 3: 3
Race 4: 9, 10, 11
Race 5: 3, 4, 5
$75.60

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 1, 2, 7
Race 3: 3, 6
Race 4: 2, 9, 10, 11
Race 5: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
$72.00

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 6: 2, 6, 10, 11
Race 7: 6, 7, 8, 9
Race 8: 4, 5
Race 9: 1, 2, 8, 9, 10
$96.00

Good luck!

Last edited by Kitan : 06-13-2018 at 11:31 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-13-2018, 07:25 AM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,604
Default

Thanks Kitan.

Race 7 seems pretty open to me. The M/L favorite has run and won one race, last year. I never like to put money on a horse like that, especially given that there will probably be more early speed this time around. I’ve been interested by the #5 Downtown at Noon...but I’m going to take a look at the ones you mentioned because I may like the #6 Rachel’s Blue Moon a little more.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-13-2018, 11:24 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Thanks Kitan.

Race 7 seems pretty open to me. The M/L favorite has run and won one race, last year. I never like to put money on a horse like that, especially given that there will probably be more early speed this time around. I’ve been interested by the #5 Downtown at Noon...but I’m going to take a look at the ones you mentioned because I may like the #6 Rachel’s Blue Moon a little more.
Definitely can win but I'll take a shot against. Wide open race. 5 finally got over the top last time and that can be the catalyst for confidence. Best of luck.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 06-13-2018, 11:27 AM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,790
Default

Im betting your top pick in the second race
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 06-13-2018, 12:00 PM
moses's Avatar
moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2008
Posts: 3,604
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Definitely can win but I'll take a shot against. Wide open race. 5 finally got over the top last time and that can be the catalyst for confidence. Best of luck.
Disappointed to see the 13 Flippity Flop scratched from Race 4. I was on board with you on her.

I’m going to back the 4 Chenais’ Posse in that one now. She has come back running better in 2018 and I like that she’s returning to 6f after trying out a mile. I’m not sure she can win this one...but she’s probably going to go off above 20-1 so I really like the value there.

Good luck to you as well.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 06-13-2018, 01:11 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kitan View Post
Race 2:
#7 Jazzy J: Average sales work but got over the ground well. Didn't seem to handle the downpour and mud but it was still a decent debut behind a Ward runaway. Martin hits at a good clip in these spots.
And I completely missed that the 5 was beaten by the same Ward horse, and another who ran in a stakes on the weekend...stupid idiot I am
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 06-13-2018, 01:57 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Jan 2010
Location: suffolk downs
Posts: 5,811
Default

Late double of 4&1 is the coldest of cold doubles I’ve bet in a while.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 06-13-2018, 02:25 PM
ADJMK ADJMK is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2007
Posts: 1,276
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Im betting your top pick in the second race
Fooled us today. Should have waited to R4- $30.00
Hope u bet the exacta Kitan ?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 06-13-2018, 04:08 PM
Dawgswin's Avatar
Dawgswin Dawgswin is offline
Sunshine Park
 
Join Date: Apr 2014
Location: Las Vegas, NV
Posts: 80
Default

And in the Fifth Joe Bravo and the 8 are guided by the HAND OF THE LORD HIMSELF to blow up my tickets...

Oh well, can’t take it with you...
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 06-13-2018, 04:23 PM
casp0555's Avatar
casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
Posts: 18,790
Default

Ill jump in the 9th
$5 ex box 1,9,10

g'luck Bama
__________________
"Wise men talk because they have something to say, fools talk because they have to say something" - Plato
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 06-13-2018, 04:48 PM
Lava's Avatar
Lava Lava is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: south nj
Posts: 1,310
Default

Belmont race 9 $2 Tri
1/2,9,10,11,12/2,9,10,11,12
$40
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 06-13-2018, 07:27 PM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,204
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Thanks Kitan.

Race 7 seems pretty open to me. The M/L favorite has run and won one race, last year. I never like to put money on a horse like that, especially given that there will probably be more early speed this time around. I’ve been interested by the #5 Downtown at Noon...but I’m going to take a look at the ones you mentioned because I may like the #6 Rachel’s Blue Moon a little more.
Give the inside speed 47 to the half in a 6f race... my own fault for not using her in the late P4 at least.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ADJMK View Post
Fooled us today. Should have waited to R4- $30.00
Hope u bet the exacta Kitan ?
That was a nice overlay, with both horses somehow double digit odds!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Late double of 4&1 is the coldest of cold doubles I’ve bet in a while.
Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Ill jump in the 9th
$5 ex box 1,9,10

g'luck Bama
I used the 8 a bit (was in my P4 numbers) but jeez that was a tough bob for both of you.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:18 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.