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  #1  
Old 02-20-2018, 06:00 AM
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Default Top 10 Derby Prospects

Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 2/20/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) Romans Fountain of Youth
2.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert San Felipe Stakes
3.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis San Felipe Stakes
4.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Fountain of Youth
5.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Florida Derby
6.) Combatant (Scat Daddy) Asmussen Rebel Stakes ?
7.) McKinzie (Street Sense) Baffert San Felipe Stakes
8.) Strike Power (Speightstown) Hennig Fountain of Youth
9.) Marconi (Tapit) Pletcher Fountain of Youth
10. Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Rebel Stakes

Honorable Mentions: Catholic Boy, Sporting Chance, Tiz Mischief, Avery Island, Vino Rosso, Title Ready, Enticed, Mississippi, Mendelssohn, New York Central
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  #2  
Old 02-20-2018, 09:59 AM
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Good stuff Gus. Looks like San Felipe and Fountain of Youth are going to tell us a lot. Are you going to Fountain of Youth? A few of us will be in Tampa that weekend if your interested.
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  #3  
Old 02-20-2018, 10:17 AM
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Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Good stuff Gus. Looks like San Felipe and Fountain of Youth are going to tell us a lot. Are you going to Fountain of Youth? A few of us will be in Tampa that weekend if your interested.
Thanks, Tom - I Definitely plan on being at Gulfstream for FOY.
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  #4  
Old 02-20-2018, 03:42 PM
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Being a big HO train enthusiast as a kid, I kinda like NEW YORK CENTRAL along the Derby Trail
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  #5  
Old 02-21-2018, 11:12 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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I have Justify, McKinzie and Solomimi. Any order.
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  #6  
Old 02-21-2018, 07:05 PM
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https://goo.gl/images/e8Yv3e
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  #7  
Old 02-24-2018, 05:49 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
I have Justify, McKinzie and Solomimi. Any order.
Justify is definitely in my top 10, but that may be wishful thinking resulting from a rather large "All Others" bet I made into Pool 2 of the Future Wager.
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  #8  
Old 03-06-2018, 10:11 AM
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Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 3/6/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) Romans Gotham
2.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert Rebel Stakes
3.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis San Felipe Stakes
4.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Florida Derby
5.) Combatant (Scat Daddy) Asmussen Rebel Stakes
6.) McKinzie (Street Sense) Baffert San Felipe Stakes
7.) Strike Power (Speightstown) Hennig Florida Derby
8.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Blue Grass Stakes
9.) Marconi (Tapit) Pletcher Wood Memorial?
10.) Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Rebel Stakes

Honorable Mentions: Catholic Boy, Sporting Chance, Tiz Mischief, Avery Island, Vino Rosso, Title Ready, Enticed, Mississippi, Promises Fullfiled, New York Central

Good Racing Luck
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  #9  
Old 03-06-2018, 04:23 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 3/6/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) Romans Gotham
2.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert Rebel Stakes
3.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis San Felipe Stakes
4.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Florida Derby
5.) Combatant (Scat Daddy) Asmussen Rebel Stakes
6.) McKinzie (Street Sense) Baffert San Felipe Stakes
7.) Strike Power (Speightstown) Hennig Florida Derby
8.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Blue Grass Stakes
9.) Marconi (Tapit) Pletcher Wood Memorial?
10.) Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Rebel Stakes

Honorable Mentions: Catholic Boy, Sporting Chance, Tiz Mischief, Avery Island, Vino Rosso, Title Ready, Enticed, Mississippi, Promises Fullfiled, New York Central

Good Racing Luck
Marconi had significant trouble in the FoY, that said having him in the top ten is a tremendous vote of confidence.
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  #10  
Old 03-06-2018, 06:54 PM
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Top 10 Belmont Derby Prospects as of 3/6/18

1.) Analyze It
2.) Mendelssohn
3.) Catholic Boy
4.) Pubilius Syrus
5.) River Boyne
6.) Inscom
7.) Free Drop Billy
8.) Strike Power
9.) Flameaway
10.) Speed Franco

Honorable Mentions: Heck Yeah, Maraud, Hawkish, Justify, Combatant, Therapist, My Boy Jack, Instilled Regard, Mississippi, Reride
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  #11  
Old 03-13-2018, 11:11 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 3/13/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert Rebel Stakes - Flattered by San Felipe result. On the upswing.
2.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis San Santa Anita Derby - Gutsy effort off the bench, should only improve.
3.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Florida Derby - Impressive Holy Bull winner will have to validate.
4.) McKinzie (Street Sense) Baffert Santa Anita Derby - Seasoned and has the grit to go with it.
5.) Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) Romans Blue Grass Stakes?- Puzzled by Gotham entry, but could wake up going longer.
6.) Combatant (Scat Daddy) Asmussen Rebel Stakes - Model of consistency and will run all day.
7.) Strike Power (Speightstown) Hennig Florida Derby - Strong FOY performance and will need to step it up.
8.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Blue Grass Stakes - No shame in FOY defeat, next very important.
9.) Justify (Scat Daddy) Baffert Santa Anita Derby - Tremendous upside, Apollo curse?
10.) Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Rebel Stakes - Makes stakes debut in loaded Rebel this weekend.

Honorable Mentions: Enticed, Catholic Boy, Sporting Chance, Tiz Mischief, Vino Rosso, Title Ready, Mississippi, Promises Fullfilled, New York Central, Marconi

Good Racing Luck
KD
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Last edited by Bogey : 03-13-2018 at 11:26 AM.
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  #12  
Old 03-13-2018, 11:34 AM
RHT2004 RHT2004 is offline
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My new top 4.
Any order.
Enticed, Justify, McKinzie and Solomimi..
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  #13  
Old 03-27-2018, 11:01 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 3/27/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis Santa Anita Derby
2.) McKinzie (Street Sense) Baffert Santa Anita Derby
3.) Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Arkansas Derby
4.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Blue Grass Stakes
5.) Strike Power (Speightstown) Hennig Florida Derby
6.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Florida Derby
7.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert Wood Memorial
8.) Justify (Scat Daddy) Baffert Arkansas Derby
9.) My Boy Jack (Creative Cause) Desormeaux Kentucky Derby
10.) Noble Indy (Take Charge Indy) Pletcher Kentucky Derby



Honorable Mentions: Enticed, Catholic Boy, Combatant, Promises Fulfilled, Free Drop Billy, Tiz Mischief, Vino Rosso, Mississippi, Mendelssohn, Marconi
March 27th
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Last edited by Bogey : 03-28-2018 at 12:58 PM.
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  #14  
Old 03-27-2018, 11:16 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
March 27th
Your top three look like horse that winner will come from. Much the best
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  #15  
Old 03-27-2018, 11:23 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Your top three look like horse that winner will come from. Much the best
They definitely look like they stick out at this point. The picture should get clearer with these 9 furlong preps. The Florida Derby could shake things up and 3 of the last 4 winners have gone on the drape the roses.
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  #16  
Old 03-27-2018, 12:07 PM
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Quote:
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They definitely look like they stick out at this point. The picture should get clearer with these 9 furlong preps. The Florida Derby could shake things up and 3 of the last 4 winners have gone on the drape the roses.
Agree that Florida Derby is interesting. Want to see if Audible can duplicate the last effort. If so will be a major player but wouldn't be surprised with a dropback. I liked catholic Boy before that last race but after that not sure anymore. Will need to see a much better effort this time. Not a believer in Promises Fulfilled but the FOY wasn't bad. I assume you will be there?
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  #17  
Old 03-27-2018, 01:08 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Agree that Florida Derby is interesting. Want to see if Audible can duplicate the last effort. If so will be a major player but wouldn't be surprised with a dropback. I liked catholic Boy before that last race but after that not sure anymore. Will need to see a much better effort this time. Not a believer in Promises Fulfilled but the FOY wasn't bad. I assume you will be there?
It seems the pace will be contested in the Florida Derby, unlike the FOY. I'm expecting Catholic Boy to take back and make a strong late run. Most of these runners are light on points (Audilble) and will have to fire their best shot to qualify or consider the Lexington two weeks prior to the Derby.

I'm still on the fence about attending with it being on Easter weekend.
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  #18  
Old 03-28-2018, 07:14 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Your top three look like horse that winner will come from. Much the best
I like those 3, but I'd still gladly take the rest of the field in an even money bet.
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  #19  
Old 04-03-2018, 07:35 AM
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Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 4/3/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis Santa Anita Derby
2.) Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Arkansas Derby
3.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Blue Grass Stakes
4.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Kentucky Derby
5.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert Arkansas Derby
6.) Justify (Scat Daddy) Baffert Santa Anita Derby
7.) Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) Romans Blue Grass Stakes
8.) Mendelssohn (Scat Daddy) O'Brien Kentucky Derby
9.) My Boy Jack (Creative Cause) Desormeaux Kentucky Derby
10.) Noble Indy (Take Charge Indy) Pletcher Kentucky Derby



Honorable Mentions: Enticed, Combatant, Promises Fulfilled, Hofburg, Tiz Mischief, Vino Rosso, Lone Salior, Marconi, Runaway Ghost
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  #20  
Old 04-03-2018, 04:38 PM
saratogadew saratogadew is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey View Post
Top 10 Kentucky Derby Prospects as of 4/3/18

Horse - Sire - Trainer - Projected next race

1.) Bolt d’Oro (Medaglia d’Oro) Ruis Santa Anita Derby
2.) Magnum Moon (Malibu Moon) Pletcher Arkansas Derby
3.) Good Magic (Curlin) Brown Blue Grass Stakes
4.) Audible (Into Mischief) Pletcher Kentucky Derby
5.) Solomimi (Curlin) Baffert Arkansas Derby
6.) Justify (Scat Daddy) Baffert Santa Anita Derby
7.) Free Drop Billy (Union Rags) Romans Blue Grass Stakes
8.) Mendelssohn (Scat Daddy) O'Brien Kentucky Derby
9.) My Boy Jack (Creative Cause) Desormeaux Kentucky Derby
10.) Noble Indy (Take Charge Indy) Pletcher Kentucky Derby



Honorable Mentions: Enticed, Combatant, Promises Fulfilled, Hofburg, Tiz Mischief, Vino Rosso, Lone Salior, Marconi, Runaway Ghost
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