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  #1  
Old 04-29-2019, 01:43 PM
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Arrow 5/4 (CD): 145th Kentucky Oaks Day ~ 1st/4th off the turf..







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Last edited by Kasept : 04-30-2019 at 04:05 AM.
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Old 04-29-2019, 03:38 PM
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Is the Edgewood that includes Newspaperofrecord and the 1/9 odds accompanying her part of the Oaks Day P6?
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Old 04-29-2019, 05:06 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Originally Posted by declansharbor View Post
Is the Edgewood that includes Newspaperofrecord and the 1/9 odds accompanying her part of the Oaks Day P6?
Yep, first leg. Don't think she'll be 1-9 if the other Chad stays in there but obviously still very short and I too was surprised to see it included in the Pick 6.
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Old 04-29-2019, 05:22 PM
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Yep, first leg. Don't think she'll be 1-9 if the other Chad stays in there but obviously still very short and I too was surprised to see it included in the Pick 6.
Probably 1/2 and 2/1, with the others 20+ (rightfully so. They can't win.)
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Old 04-29-2019, 07:47 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by philcski View Post
Probably 1/2 and 2/1, with the others 20+ (rightfully so. They can't win.)
I see that's around the ML but I will respectfully disagree. No way those two are that close. They are in different leagues unless somehow Newspaperofrecord forgot how to run.
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Old 04-30-2019, 01:01 AM
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I see that's around the ML but I will respectfully disagree. No way those two are that close. They are in different leagues unless somehow Newspaperofrecord forgot how to run.
I don’t disagree. My line would be 2/5 and 3/1... I’m just making a ML, with the notation their speed figures are pretty close and the betting public will focus on that. I’ll probably avoid the race as there’s some much more appealing races later.
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Old 04-29-2019, 07:45 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
Yep, first leg. Don't think she'll be 1-9 if the other Chad stays in there but obviously still very short and I too was surprised to see it included in the Pick 6.

A short priced single helps handle in a Pick-6 and Pick-5 and possibly Pick-4 depending on the other legs.
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Old 04-30-2019, 10:10 AM
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
A short priced single helps handle in a Pick-6 and Pick-5 and possibly Pick-4 depending on the other legs.
I know it helps the handle b/c everyone is under the impression that there is a free square, but the last couple of years i've actually been trying to ween myself away from Pk3-Pk4-Pk5, etc. wagers when there is a chalk like Newspaperofrecord to start the first leg. My mindset is that everyone will have the horse in some which way shape or form thereby creating more live tickets and pushing down the payout.

-bt-
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Old 04-30-2019, 11:40 AM
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Originally Posted by -BT- View Post
I know it helps the handle b/c everyone is under the impression that there is a free square, but the last couple of years i've actually been trying to ween myself away from Pk3-Pk4-Pk5, etc. wagers when there is a chalk like Newspaperofrecord to start the first leg. My mindset is that everyone will have the horse in some which way shape or form thereby creating more live tickets and pushing down the payout.

-bt-
That is sometimes the case. I like to look for other races in the sequence where I can separate from the pack, though that’s not always the case.
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Old 04-30-2019, 03:22 PM
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Originally Posted by -BT- View Post
I know it helps the handle b/c everyone is under the impression that there is a free square, but the last couple of years i've actually been trying to ween myself away from Pk3-Pk4-Pk5, etc. wagers when there is a chalk like Newspaperofrecord to start the first leg. My mindset is that everyone will have the horse in some which way shape or form thereby creating more live tickets and pushing down the payout.

-bt-
I relish these opportunities... Will include the favorite with one or 2 long shots and if she doesn't fire you are competing for a LARGE Pick 3, 4, 5.... Horses are not machines...
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  #11  
Old 04-30-2019, 01:14 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
A short priced single helps handle in a Pick-6 and Pick-5 and possibly Pick-4 depending on the other legs.
Yeah, but usually in cases like these I'd think the objective is also to create a big carryover for the big day. Although with the $.20 minimum, that's pretty unlikely either way.
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