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  #1  
Old 09-15-2010, 08:59 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Default 9/15: Belmont Park (1st-9th)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Opera Heroine 9-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Fourth Chapter 7-2 WON ($18.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Mustang Fever 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Talented Princess 8-1 7th


2nd: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Hey Valentina 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Flying Train 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #5 Mine Search 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Cabernet Lady 5-1 7th


3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Winning Touch 9-5 4th
Next Best: #1 Bonavento 3-1 WON ($16.20)
Best Value: #2 Footcandles 4-1 5th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Lady Whimsical 6-1 WON ($16.20)
Next Best: #7 Step Lively 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Maux Money 5-1 6th
Super Add: #2 Grace'n Style 9-2 3rd


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Positive Prospect 5-2 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #6 Taza 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 SCR
Super Add: #11 Red Hot Baby 15-1 6th


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 6
3: 1-2-3-4-6
4: 5-7
5: 5-6-7-8/SCR-11

1x5x2x5 = $50


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Pico Dinero 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Best Value: #1 Central Red Raider 5-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Sweat Shop 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Speciale Giorno 20-1 8th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Nacho Carona 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Fore Pals 5-1 DNF-Lost rider
Next Best: #7 Macho Joe 3-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Idol Image 8-1 7th


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Star Orchid 3-1 WON ($11.20)
Next Best: #2 Stanford Dolly 2-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Vaughndidit 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Pleasant Sister 8-1 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #2 Cat Be Nimble 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Seaside Run 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 To the Point 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 No Imagination 6-1


@$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-8
7: 1-3-4-5-7-8
8: 1-2-6
9: 2

3x6x3x1 = $54


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 09-15-2010 at 04:18 PM.
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  #2  
Old 09-15-2010, 10:14 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Having a hard time getting a read on Seeing Clearly in the first. Nice effort last out against open 15 at the Shore on the dirt, but her last two turf tries have been pitiful, at best. She has produced some efforts in the past to clearly win this race. Could be worth a win bet at a nice price and maybe key underneath in some exactas.
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  #3  
Old 09-15-2010, 10:29 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK View Post
Having a hard time getting a read on Seeing Clearly in the first. Nice effort last out against open 15 at the Shore on the dirt, but her last two turf tries have been pitiful, at best. She has produced some efforts in the past to clearly win this race. Could be worth a win bet at a nice price and maybe key underneath in some exactas.
not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead
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Old 09-15-2010, 10:30 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
everytime luzzi gets on this one hes in the money..

Except the last two efforts...
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  #5  
Old 09-15-2010, 10:31 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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Except the last two efforts...
thanks i corrected that..
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  #6  
Old 09-15-2010, 10:32 AM
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #7  
Old 09-15-2010, 10:38 AM
GPK GPK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead

Yea, Opera Heroine looks tough, but thats the only horse in there I would accept at a short price. Fourth Chapter looks to take some money and she is just too win shy for me to use on top.
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  #8  
Old 09-15-2010, 12:05 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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How Fourth Chapter goes off at 8-1 will be marked down as one of life's delicious mysteries! That was a situation where you wonder if you're crazy for liking a horse at a surprising price, and no else is betting it... $18.80!

Would have been nice to if Mustang Fever could have gotten up behind...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #9  
Old 09-15-2010, 12:08 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
How Fourth Chapter goes off at 8-1 will be marked down as one of life's delicious mysteries! That was a situation where you wonder if you're crazy for liking a horse at a surprising price, and no else is betting it... $18.80!

Would have been nice to if Mustang Fever could have gotten up behind...
These are the kind of situations that disprove the notion that I greatly affect prices. How many times did I need to point out what an overlay she was?
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Old 09-15-2010, 12:09 PM
docicu3 docicu3 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead View Post
not like there isnt alternate plays the 3 blue hill may like a good post and dry hard track chop chop on or close to the lead

Nice call here ...

Wish I had seen this earlier as usual you find things I didn't even know were missing. Hope the rest of the day goes well.
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  #11  
Old 09-15-2010, 12:16 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
These are the kind of situations that disprove the notion that I greatly affect prices. How many times did I need to point out what an overlay she was?
Don't know what else you could have said.. or Tweeted. I guess like Kevin suggested, she's just a horse people don't expect will win.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #12  
Old 09-15-2010, 12:22 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Don't know what else you could have said.. or Tweeted. I guess like Kevin suggested, she's just a horse people don't expect will win.
True, she is a horse that never seems to get bet.
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  #13  
Old 09-15-2010, 12:45 PM
NoLuvForPletch NoLuvForPletch is offline
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BTW,

Please PM me from now on! (Just kidding) Nice Job guys!
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  #14  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:07 PM
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And again with the overlay (7-1). This was never in doubt... Bonavento manhandled 'em.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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  #15  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:21 PM
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Mike Mike is offline
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4th: exacta box Alpha Centauri/Step Lively

6th: Worried Man

7th: tri box: Warrant Offc. Cook/Idol Image/Macho Joe
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  #16  
Old 09-15-2010, 01:36 PM
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Delaware 5th: Roundabout
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  #17  
Old 09-15-2010, 04:09 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Nice call on Fourth Chapter. 8-1 was a great price. I figured her to take money in that field, but, like Andy said, she never seems to take money. Congrats to those of you that scored on her. Nice to see Rajiv rounding back into riding form after a tough Saratoga meet. Lezcano continues to struggle
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