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#121
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I never mentioned stress fracture in my previous threads so I don't know where you came up with that. Most horses running today have various ailments and trainers continue to run them depending on the trainer and the ailment. They can continue to run good but maybe not have as long of a career. I'm sure you already know this. As far as speculation is concerned, I'll chose to listen to the connections speculation rather then somebody on a message board. They would know more about their horse than us and by the way Tim Ritchey is a straitforward guy in this business. He doesn't like to pull punches. |
#122
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As usual, this is right on the money. RIGHT ON THE MONEY.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine |
#123
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Last edited by kentuckyrosesinmay : 09-16-2006 at 06:21 PM. |
#124
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__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine |
#125
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![]() there are many reasons why horses don't run as much as in the 'good old days'.
breeding practices for one--commercial breeders imo are hurting the breed, going after speed regardless of the horse who carries that speed. way back when, breeders were in the sport due to love of the horse, and love of sport. they bred looking for the best representatives of the breed, now it's who will fetch the biggest price at auction. it's the equivalent of puppy mills anymore. many aren't in it to improve the breed, but only to improve their bottom line. it's why i have respect for dinny phipps, and the few others like him. they are in it for love of the horse, and for the horse. also, regarding tracks..i've always seen that the tracks today are deeper, slower, and safer than in the past. it explains why horses may have gotten faster, yet records don't fall. as for running more often.... no one wants to take a chance anymore on a loss, so the horses are brought along easily until in peak condition when they're at their very best, ready to fire big. of course there are so many tracks with top races, it's a lot easier to find a good, lucrative, and no doubt easier spot to go after big bucks and a graded race. a lot more tracks than in the past, easy to avoid other top comp--don't like the weight assigned? threated to pull out, or pull out...next track down the road will hook you right up. also, everyone wants a bull lea now--not the citation. don't run often, you may not be at your best and might lose and cost some stud fees..... it's a breeding game right now. not a racing game. it's funny, back then, horses got a lot of respect when they carried a mound of weight and still fought hard. might get nipped at the wire by some pretender, but everyone knew they had seen a true champ--horses like citation for example. look at dr fager. set a mile record that stood for years while carrying weight no horse sees these days. najran tied it. you think anyone gives a rats butt about najran? nope. the good dr is the one who will be revered for years to come, he was the real racehorse. so, you want to place blame? put it squarely on the breeders shoulders. that's where it belongs. owners pretty much want to buy the best looking one out there. the breeders are the ones who are supposed to be the knowledgable people, selecting the best to breed. they call all the shots, from beginning to end. it's a breeders sport. they need to change the title from thoroughbred racehorse to breedhorse. that's all anyone seems interested in anymore. big fees, big syndication deals.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#126
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So to say that this is a different times with regards to trainers' goals, that's simply not true. It may be true with well less than 1% of the horses out there but it is not true with most horses. Most stakes horses are not worth tens of millions of dollars for breeding. The goal of every trainer out there is for his horses to make as much money as they can on the track. The only exception to this rule is the rare horse that is worth millions for breeding. |
#127
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#128
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![]() also, used to be that breeders bred to race. they were running the offspring of the broodmares and stallions they had developed. showing off what they had done, looking for racing success to show the world what they had done as far as breeding a better horse. those days are long gone. most are commercial operations, just another business venture.
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#129
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#130
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![]() all those crooked foals, send them to the vet, fix 'em up and no one the wiser. and everyone wants in the game, so it's only going to get worse! gotta provide product for the consumer!!
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Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln |
#131
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But with regard to Afleet alex, I certainly don't think that Ritchey thought that Alex had a fracture before the Belmont. They discovered the injury after the Belmont and they are guessing that he sustained the injury in the Preakness. That is their best guess. They don't know it for sure. |
#132
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#133
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alot, I'll bet somwehere between $500 and $1000 on him. Didn't you say that you're not even a bettor? It only matters what the bettors think. They're the ones who keep the sport going. If I wanted to check on how a candidate was going to do in an election, I would poll people who were going to vote. I wouldn't poll people who are not going to vote. That wouldn't give me any information. I'm not putting you down. My point is that if you are only a fan and not a bettor, then what is important to you may be entirely different from what is important to a bettor. As a bettor, I want to see horses have plenty of time between races. Then I have more confidence that the horse will fire. I'm usually not going to make a big bet on a horse that I feel is coming back too soon even if I think the horse is the best horse in the race, the reason being that I will not have confidence that the horse will run his best if he hasn't had enough rest. |
#134
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In the meantime, I'll trot out some examples of horses who somehow, miraculously, survived campaigns you say that horses can't handle. The old American Racing Manuals had an interesting feature. They used to include the past performances of all the horses rated on the Experimental and Free handicaps in the early 1960s. Let's see what kind of race records that the horses who were good enough to make the Experimental Handicap at 2 and the Free Handicap at 3 and 4 had: Foals of 1957 Colts and Geldings All Hands - 9 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 April Skies - 9 starts at 2, 23 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Bourbon Prince - 12 stars at 2, 11 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Conestoga - 11 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 9 starts at 4 Count Amber - 15 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Heroshogala - 15 starts at 2, 21 starts at 3, 21 starts at 4 New Policy - 11 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 12 starts at 4 Pied d'Or - 13 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 21 starts at 4 Run for Nurse - 21 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 19 starts at 4 T.V. Lark - 14 starts at 2, 23 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Fillies Airmans Guide - 6 starts at 2, 4 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Darling June - 11 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Evening Glow - 7 starts at 2, 5 starts at 3, 17 starts at 4 Make Sail - 4 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 My Dear Girl - 7 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 2 starts at 4 Rash Statement - 12 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 17 starts at 4 Sarcastic - 8 starts at 2, 14 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Undulation - 3 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 4 starts at 4 Foals of 1958 Colts and Geldings Beau Prince - 11 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 14 starts at 4 Bluescope - 7 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 14 starts at 4 Carry Back - 21 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Crozier - 6 starts at 2, 15 starts at 3, 9 starts at 4 Editorialist - 12 starts at 2, 14 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Garwol - 18 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 26 starts at 4 Globemaster - 11 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 6 starts at 4 Guadalcanal - 4 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Hitting Away - 3 starts at 2, 15 starts at 3, 19 starts at 4 Olden Times - 6 starts at 2, 9 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 Try Cash - 8 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 21 starts at 4 Vapor Whirl - 18 starts at 2, 15 starts at 3, 4 starts at 4 Fillies Counter Call - 5 starts at 2, 9 starts at 3, 16 starts at 4 Mighty Fair - 8 starts at 2, 27 starts at 3, 16 starts at 4 My Portrait - 10 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 19 starts at 4 Play Time - 9 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Primonetta - 4 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Shuette - 8 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Smashing Gail - 8 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 7 starts at 4 Times Two - 11 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 22 starts at 4 Foals of 1959 Colts and Geldings Admiral's Voyage - 11 starts at 2, 14 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Decidedly - 8 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 Doc Jocoy - 8 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 5 starts at 4 Donut King - 14 starts at 2, 7 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Greek Money - 16 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 7 starts at 4 Jaipur - 7 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 2 starts at 4 Native Diver - 5 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Ridan - 7 starts at 2, 13 starts at 3, 3 starts at 4 Smart - 20 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Sunrise County - 11 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 Times Roman - 11 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 11 starts at 4 Fillies All Brandy - 11 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 12 starts at 4 Bramalea - 10 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Cicada - 16 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 8 starts at 4 Firm Policy - 6 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 5 starts at 4 Royal Patrice - 5 starts at 2, 23 starts at 3, 8 starts at 4 Savaii - 7 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 22 starts at 4 Tamarona - 10 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Upswept - 7 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 11 starts at 4 Some of these horses appeared at 5 and beyond on the Free Handicap, but I'm just looking at 2-3-4YO form. Of course these horses are products of another time: back when US thoroughbreds raced an average of over 10 times a year (vs. 6.5 today) and training intent was quite different. But you would have us believe that it's just plain not possible to have 10-15+ start seasons at any level, let alone among better stakes horses. You're wrong. The horses can do it, if that's the trainer's intent and they do it right. I could go on, but I actually do have other things I should be doing today. I'm going to assume that you get the point. Even though there are a few horses on these lists who were raced in a relatively "sparing" manner, that does not change the fact that there were many horses capable of running at a decent stakes level at 2-3-4 during these three sample years and most of them were raced anything but sparingly. Quote:
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#135
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![]() (continued from previous post)
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There is nothing more important in all of horse racing than to ensure the best possible safety for its equine participants. Without horses who can competently and safely race, there is no horse racing. No sport. No gambling vehicle, nothing. And the horses have no say about their involvement; they can do nothing but rely upon us to do the right thing by them. It's inexcusable to pursue policies which either directly or indirectly result in increased injury risk to racehorses. It is impossible to construct a humane argument supporting a practice which ultimately causes more horses to get hurt than some other alternate practice. If ever it can be demonstrated a given practice correlates to more injury than some other practice, those of us in any position to study the matter are obligated to investigate, and, if necessary, recommend the abandonment of - or at least seriously question - bad practices. Is that all ivory-tower stuff? You bet. Here in the real world, money matters more than the risk of racehorses getting hurt and there are a lot of practices that are likely detrimental to horses which are all about lining pockets. Until those practices no longer bring in the money, there will be little impetus to change them. I can stand here and shout in the darkness for the rest of my natural life to no avail if that doesn't happen. But I know that I'm doing the right thing by looking for answers and speaking up when I think I have something to contribute. I am often accused of being on the side of trying to break down horses because I realize that among other things, light racing schedules are associated with injury-shortened careers. Yes, that could be because physically troubled animals are raced less often, but it doesn't explain - if racing is inherently destructive to horses - why sounder horses that race more often are not necessarily compromised by their more strenuous campaigns. I've been studying this problem for over 15 years and I still don't have an answer. I am always working on studying various risk factors to refine what is, and isn't, likely to be part of the problem. (I just discovered last night, for example, that over a recent nine-year period, horses which are destined to break down in a race average about a month younger in age than the general population when they have their first start in a race at a distance more than a mile.) But what is definitely part of the problem is refusal to accept that there is a problem, that it's getting worse, and that it could possibly be associated with any of an endless list of changes that have occurred since there was less of a problem. When most people realize that they're on the wrong road, they turn around and go back to look for where they made a wrong turn. In horse racing, no one seems remotely interested in where the wrong turn was, or where the right road is now - they just keep on going, or even turn off in new, even more wrong, directions, while inventing new destinations as they go to justify their actions. It's astonishing how many people who do sincerely care for the welfare of the horse are so dead-set on persevering with methods that seem comparatively less successful at keeping racehorses safe and sound. And I'm the bad guy (er, girl). Go figure. Theoretically, knowing that horses are perfectly capable of much more than we ask of them today, the fact that so many of them are too unsound to train or run indicates a problem. In a horse without predisposing physical issues, that problem very possibly lies in the training, racing and other preparation to which it was subjected before that unsoundness surfaced. Although I have come to some conclusions of what are good ideas and what aren't, I'm not a horse trainer and I'm not going to lecture on what training should be. However, the people who trained the horses on the lists above are horse trainers and while most of them are not alive today to tell us their views, ample records exist for us to inspect and theorize how these - and countless other horses of lesser repute - did just fine through campaigns some would have us believe are impossible. |
#136
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In his final two starts as a 7YO ... the 88th and 89th races of his career ... he won G1 stakes. |
#137
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... and he has failed every single time. He has never once developed a colt into a consisitent winner of G1 races at classic distances on dirt ... probably because he thinks that horses need 46 weeks between races. His record is almost as embarrassing as the fact that you cited him as an example. |
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#139
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I would like to take in Todd Pletchers yearly income on stallions seasons from horses he's trained. |
#140
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He was catching. |