Saratoga Two A Day

[Dahoss]

Day 25

Best bet: Race 6- #8 Portage
She's looked like a totally different filly in Linda Rice's barn and her last was her best yet. I think she projects to sit a very nice trip outside the speed and Rice has strong numbers with horses who have won their last race coming back.

Longshot: Race 8- #4 Bernt Again
I wanted to go outside the box here in a race that I think will feature some chaos. She's been much improved this year, ran well last time and is drawn well. If Manny can stay inside and find a seem, I think she can be right there

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 25

Best bet: Race 6- #8 Portage
She's looked like a totally different filly in Linda Rice's barn and her last was her best yet. I think she projects to sit a very nice trip outside the speed and Rice has strong numbers with horses who have won their last race coming back.

Longshot: Race 8- #4 Bernt Again
I wanted to go outside the box here in a race that I think will feature some chaos. She's been much improved this year, ran well last time and is drawn well. If Manny can stay inside and find a seem, I think she can be right there

Portage ran her race but was no match for a filly with a future, paying $4.20 to place. I got the ride and trip I wanted with Brent Again, but she’s just not as good as some of these but ran well for 3rd

Meet totals
$200 wagered
$160.30 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 26

Best bet: Race 6- #10 King James
To me this is a case of this horse being much better than any of these other on dirt. Trainer is no bargain and I have no idea what the price will be, but he stands out to me.

Longshot: Race 4- #5 Western Ghent
Not necessarily a long shot per set but I think the price will be fair here and I like this horse a lot. If you look at his PPs you’ll see names like Two Phil’s, Extra Anejo and Slip Mahoney. He isn’t facing anywhere near that today. I think he’s been in way over his head class wise and I also think he’s a sprinter. He’s in the right spot today and should give a much better account of himself

[Dahoss]

Day 27

No time

Best bet: Race 9- #9 Wendell Fong
Longshot: Race 6- #5 Savage Spirit

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 26

Best bet: Race 6- #10 King James
To me this is a case of this horse being much better than any of these other on dirt. Trainer is no bargain and I have no idea what the price will be, but he stands out to me.

Longshot: Race 4- #5 Western Ghent
Not necessarily a long shot per set but I think the price will be fair here and I like this horse a lot. If you look at his PPs you’ll see names like Two Phil’s, Extra Anejo and Slip Mahoney. He isn’t facing anywhere near that today. I think he’s been in way over his head class wise and I also think he’s a sprinter. He’s in the right spot today and should give a much better account of himself

The seconds are really piling up. King James got a ridiculous ride and rallied for 2nd paying $3.10 to place and Western Ghent ran a much improved race but was unable to hold off another Linda Rice horse paying $4 to place

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 27

No time

Best bet: Race 9- #9 Wendell Fong
Longshot: Race 6- #5 Savage Spirit

Wendell Fong got a decent ride getting inside and moving up what I thought was a good rail, then Katie got off it for no reason and looked like the horse was swimming. Savage Spirit was nowhere

Meet totals
$216 wagered
$167.40 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 28

Best bet: Race 7- #2 Aspray
I'm throwing out the Belmont Oaks, because I think she got the wrong kind of trip that day. She was uncovered and probably doesn't want to go that far. Her prior races were all very strong before that and I think with her draw she will be able to enjoy and good trip and prove best. Chad Brown won last years renewal of this with a horse who bombed in the Oaks and I'm hoping lightning strikes twice.

Longshot: Race 9- #5 Fireline
Another pick where I'm just throwing out my horses last race. Delaware is a weird track and to me it looked like she was running in spots. For Chad to run here, have to think he thinks she fits and I thought her last few works I watched were very good. 10 furlongs at Saratoga is a war and I think she's the kind of horse that will apprciate it more than others.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 28

Best bet: Race 7- #2 Aspray
I'm throwing out the Belmont Oaks, because I think she got the wrong kind of trip that day. She was uncovered and probably doesn't want to go that far. Her prior races were all very strong before that and I think with her draw she will be able to enjoy and good trip and prove best. Chad Brown won last years renewal of this with a horse who bombed in the Oaks and I'm hoping lightning strikes twice.

Longshot: Race 9- #5 Fireline
Another pick where I'm just throwing out my horses last race. Delaware is a weird track and to me it looked like she was running in spots. For Chad to run here, have to think he thinks she fits and I thought her last few works I watched were very good. 10 furlongs at Saratoga is a war and I think she's the kind of horse that will apprciate it more than others.

Fireline will probably be a big price because of that Delaware race. I thought the track was playing to speed horses that day and she just never had much of a chance to win that one. I wouldn’t be surprised to see her run big today. Good luck.

[Dahoss]

Day 29

Traveling so no time for a write up

Best bet: Race 4- #5 She’s Fire
Longshot: Race 7- #2 Set Sail

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 28

Best bet: Race 7- #2 Aspray
I'm throwing out the Belmont Oaks, because I think she got the wrong kind of trip that day. She was uncovered and probably doesn't want to go that far. Her prior races were all very strong before that and I think with her draw she will be able to enjoy and good trip and prove best. Chad Brown won last years renewal of this with a horse who bombed in the Oaks and I'm hoping lightning strikes twice.

Longshot: Race 9- #5 Fireline
Another pick where I'm just throwing out my horses last race. Delaware is a weird track and to me it looked like she was running in spots. For Chad to run here, have to think he thinks she fits and I thought her last few works I watched were very good. 10 furlongs at Saratoga is a war and I think she's the kind of horse that will apprciate it more than others.

Aspray sat a good trip and won going away paying $8.70 and $4.80. Fireline was awful

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 29

Traveling so no time for a write up

Best bet: Race 4- #5 She’s Fire
Longshot: Race 7- #2 Set Sail

She's Fire didn't fire. Set Sail set the pace, tired late finishing 3rd

Meet totals
$232 wagered
$180.90 returned

[Dahoss]

Hard to believe we're down to the last two weeks of the meet. Big week coming up, hoping the weather cooperates a little.

Day 30
Best bet: Race 3- #1/1A Jacobson entry
I prefer Mid Day Image on the cutback here. If he ends up scratching I might have to alter this pick. I like the cutback, Jacobson barn going well right now and I think he fits really well. If High Front wins, I lose. That Canterbury race sticks out like a sore thumb and I need to see him do that again

Longshot: Race 6- #1 Albedo
I thought this one ran okay in spots in his debut. Didn't break sharp, but made his way into contention and was green through the lane. Blinkers, Saez and projected improvement 2nd out make this one dangerous IMO

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Hard to believe we're down to the last two weeks of the meet. Big week coming up, hoping the weather cooperates a little.

Day 30
Best bet: Race 3- #1/1A Jacobson entry
I prefer Mid Day Image on the cutback here. If he ends up scratching I might have to alter this pick. I like the cutback, Jacobson barn going well right now and I think he fits really well. If High Front wins, I lose. That Canterbury race sticks out like a sore thumb and I need to see him do that again

Longshot: Race 6- #1 Albedo
I thought this one ran okay in spots in his debut. Didn't break sharp, but made his way into contention and was green through the lane. Blinkers, Saez and projected improvement 2nd out make this one dangerous IMO

Both picks were awful. Can’t get any momentum started and am pressing at this point.

Meet totals
$240 wagered
$180.90 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 31

Best bet- Race 6- #5 Sousa Summer
Loses Rosario, who gave him a perfect ride last time when he ran down a well meant horse. Should get plenty of pace to run at and he really seems to thrive here

Longshot: Race 3- #5 Unanimous Consent
I expect a much better effort today 2nd off the long break. At one point this one was one of Chad’s better 3 year olds. He’s a horse that needs a busy ride, so in retrospect Irad might’ve been a bad fit last time. Gets Manny Franco back, should get some pace to run at.

[theguarantee]

Nice call on SS.

[moses]

Nice call there.

[Kasept]

That'll get you back on track Hossy.. Great job in a tough race.

I used Sosua last time as a DePaula Play and just had co-owner Gary Barber Wednesday (and brought him up on air..) and then didn't use him yesterday..

[jms62]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 31

Best bet- Race 6- #5 Sousa Summer
Loses Rosario, who gave him a perfect ride last time when he ran down a well meant horse. Should get plenty of pace to run at and he really seems to thrive here

Longshot: Race 3- #5 Unanimous Consent
I expect a much better effort today 2nd off the long break. At one point this one was one of Chad’s better 3 year olds. He’s a horse that needs a busy ride, so in retrospect Irad might’ve been a bad fit last time. Gets Manny Franco back, should get some pace to run at.

Nice

[Dahoss]

Thanks guys. Blind squirrel

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 31

Best bet- Race 6- #5 Sousa Summer
Loses Rosario, who gave him a perfect ride last time when he ran down a well meant horse. Should get plenty of pace to run at and he really seems to thrive here

Longshot: Race 3- #5 Unanimous Consent
I expect a much better effort today 2nd off the long break. At one point this one was one of Chad’s better 3 year olds. He’s a horse that needs a busy ride, so in retrospect Irad might’ve been a bad fit last time. Gets Manny Franco back, should get some pace to run at.

Unanimous Consent was bad, but Sousa Summer got a prefect ride to just hold off Fauci who got an even better ride, paying $8.70 and $4

Meet totals
$248 wagered
$193.60 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 32

Best bet: Race 5- #3 Alternate Reality
Katie takes over for Jackie here and I think this one still has some upside. Was very game two back wearing down the leader who got away with an easy half. Throw out the Dwyer as he’s not in the class of those horses. As long as the field stays intact, should get pace to run in to and I think he will be coming beat of all late.

Longshot: Race 6- #5 Change of Command
I have a lot of thoughts about this race. I’ve heard rumblings that at least 4 of them can really run. I would love Air of Defiance if he was breaking from any other post than the rail. He’s a huge son of Quality Road and he outworked Slip Mahoney in the morning. I just think the rail will be his undoing here. They paid a lot of money for Wajda in March after he worked 10 flat while not being asked. I just didn’t like what I saw in the works I watched locally and want to give him one. Apollo Ten worked with strong debut winner Deterministic and held his own, but dam was all turf and best sibling to race was all turf as well. Fierceness might be a good one. Has looked fast and strong in the mornings and looks like the prototypical Pletcher good thing first out, but I’m going to take a shot with another one.

They paid over a million for Change of Command last fall at Keeneland. Dam was 0 for 3 in her career, but second dam won multiple stakes sprinting. He’s looked very good in the morning looking like he has much more run to give and I expect him to run very well. Im a little concerned that Shug has had such a tough meet but I think he has a good one here.

[Dahoss]

Day 33

Best bet: Race 12- #4 Mage
Longshot: Race 5- #3 English Conqueror