Dubai Carnival Contest VI powered by brockguy

[Arletta]

Race 1) #4 Royal Empire / #6 Mushreq ~ #10 Tanfeeth
Race 2) #11 Kassiano / #9 Not a Given ~ #2 Banna Boirche
Race 3) #13 Russian Soul / #1 Shea Shea ~ #6 Temple Meads
Race 4) #4 Free Wheeling /#8 Rerouted~ #13 Ariete Arrollador
Race 5) #5 Sharestan / #9 So Beautiful ~ #3 Aesop's Fable
Race 6) #14 Benji's Empire / #4 Time Prisoner (ha ha!) ~ #3 Kavanagh

[ryonker1]

Race 1 Alkimos, Royal Empire (alt Mushreq)
Race 2 Sandagiyr, Kassiano (alt Con Artist)
Race 3 Inxile, Russian Soul (alt Shea Shea)
Race 4 Silver Ocean, Ariete Arrollador (alt Nordic Truce)
Race 5 City Style, The Apache (alt Sharestan)
Race 6 (NAP) Field of Dream, Time Prisoner (alt Dux Scholar)

thanks
Ron

[The Bart]

1) Tanfeeth, Royal Empire, Mushreq
2) Sandagiyr(NAP), Farrier, Not A Given
3) Inxile, Shea Shea, Temple Meads
4) Iver Bridge Lad, First City, Rerouted
5) Sharestan, So Beautiful, Derbaas
6) Jaasoos, Red Dubawi, Time Prisoner

[NoChanceToDance]

I might be getting this completely wrong, but I will be laying Sharestan at the current prices being offered at the moment. I know he was very impressive last time, but there was a lot NOT to like about that performance and eventually I think the form will look poor.

He's racing against some very talented group performers (he is not), and while he may win (i'll be prepared to hold my hands up) but he has to be opposed at the prices. I'll also be leaving him out of my selections, which I will post shortly.

[NoChanceToDance]

1. Mushreq, Anaerobio (Alt Alkimos)
2. Kassiano (NB), Con Artist (Alt Sandagiyr)
3. Temple Meads, Shea Shea (Alt Humidor)
4. Free Wheeling (NAP), Van Ellis (Alt Rerouted)
5. City Style, Albaasil (Alt Aesop's Fables)
6. Kavanagh, Saamidd (Alt Dubawi Sound)

[gamblin4ever]

R1) #8 Alkimos, #4 Royal Empire, (#6 Mushreq)
R2)(NAP)#11 Kassiano,#6 Not A Given, (#12 Farrier)
R3) #1 Shea Shea, #11 Desert Law, (#13 Russian Soul)
R4) #12 Pied A Terre, #13 Ariete Arollador (#5 Rerouted)
R5) #1 Sharestan, #8 City Style (#9 So Beautiful)
R6) #14 Benji's Empire, #5 Capt. Ramius (#7 Kenny Powers)

[DJARUM]

1) Mushreq, Anerobio
2) Sandagiyr , Kassiano
3) Inxile, Temple Meads
4) Rerouted (nap) Alazeyab
5) Sharestan, City Style
6) Time Prisoner, Kavanagh

[brockguy]

Day 4

Mushreq NAP - Paene Magnus alt Bank of Burden
Banna Boirche - Plantagenet alt Con Artist
Inxile - Medicean Man alt Desert Law
Ariete Arrollador - Smooth Operator alt First City
City Style - Light Heavy alt Aesop's Fables
Benji's Empire - Field of Dream alt Red Dubawi

Best of Luck people

[PatCummings]

Mushreq - Anaerobio (Royal Empire)
Plantagenet - Sandagiyr (Farrier)
Sholaan NAP - Temple Meads (Shea Shea)
Pied A Terre - Silver Ocean (Rerouted)
Sharestan - So Beautiful (The Apache)
Kavanagh - Time Prisoner (Kenny Powers)

[Linny]

Race 1
Salon Soldier, Bank of Burden alt Alkimos

Race 2
Kassiano (NAP) Banna Boirche alt Maritimer

Race 3
Russian Soul, Inxile alt Temple Meads

Race 4
Ariete Arrollador, Saint Bernard alt Van Ellis

Race 5
Aesop's Fables, City Style alt Sharestan

Race 6
Benji's Empire, Kavanaugh alt Kenny Powers

[NoChanceToDance]

Happy with my days work. Nice sum made laying Sharestan (although maybe unlucky I still don't think he would have won, other may beg to differ).

Annoyed with my fourth race selections - first three, but not in the correct order. The summary states that Free Wheeling covered over two lengths more than the rest of the field - probably the difference in the end. Could have been a huge pay day.

[ryonker1]

For Feb 7

Race 2 Muck N Brass, Layali al Andalus (alt Blue Corner)
Race 3 Elleval, I'm Back (alt El Estruendoso)
Race 4 (NAP) More than Sotka, Pure Excellence (alt Shuroq)
Race 5 Star Empire, Ahzeemah (alt In the Spotlight)
Race 6 Mendip, Hunter's Light (alt Alpha)
Race 7 Rutland Boy, Yaa Wayl (alt Don't Call Me)

thanks
Ron

[PatCummings]

Think this is going to look like the most wide-open day of racing for the Carnival so far.

R2 - Ottoman Empire NAP, Layali Al Andalus (Arthur's Tale)
R3 - El Estruendoso, I'm Back (Filfil)
R4 - Emotif, Lovely Pass (Music Chart)
R5 - In The Spotlight, Ahzeemah (Star Empire)
R6 - Jamr, Saint Baudolino (Surfer)
R7 - Don't Call Me, Royal Ridge (Ariete Arrollador)

[The Bart]

2-7

2) Modern History, Layali Al Andalus, Universal
3) Energia El Giganti (ALT NAP) Hototo, Bircham
4) Emotif, Shuruq, Mar Mar
5) Star Empire, Ahzeemah, Art Scholar
6) Mufarrh (NAP) Prince Bishop, Zain Shamardal
7) Red Dubawi, Yaal Wayl, Rutland Boy

[NoChanceToDance]

I think we can safely say this round will be one of the toughest tipping weeks of the carnvial, the firstbtwo races are littered with dead wood, and I'm at risk of following Ottoman Empire off a cliff. He has been so unlucky on two starts thus far (no pace and caught very wide with no pace yet again). This time he's arguably recieved an even worse draw for a hold up performer (gate 1) and I'm not convinced there is a huge amount of pace in the race yet again, however if things do drop right, he'll simply win!

The second race I don't really want to get involved in at all. I'm interested to see Stasio, could be anything but would have prefered the race on the synthetics.

I maybe reading the form all wrong, but Lovely Pass in the 1000 guineas looks a great bet. Seemingly best when fresh, had looked in need of the mile before finally getting the chance as a 2yo and won with ease. A daughter of Raven's Pass and related to a couple of sythetic track winners, I expect her to appreciate the surface. She has finished in front of Music Chart as a 2yo (both have improved since). Ticks all of the boxes for me. Emotif could blow them all away and MDK has been very bullish in recent interviews, but too many question marks after just one start and the penalty makes life harder for her.

The Maktoum Challenge is probably the toughest race of the night in my opinion, lots of question marks about the whole field and not a single runner I'd be very confident about.

I remember saying I'd be laying Mariner's Cross until he reached a distance of 10f, he's back at a mile again this time, but if I've read the form correctly I think there could be a fair amount of pace on and this is a weaker race than he contested last time. There is no doubt he is well handicapped on the best of his British form and if there is plenty of pace on, his stamina should come into play and I expect him to be there or there abouts at the finish. However, I'm certain we'll see a horse capable of winning a few in a row once stepped up to 10f.

Good luck everyone.

R1 - Ottoman Empire (NAP), Mustaheel (Alt Layali Al Andalus)
R2 - Luhaif, Stasio (Alt I'm Back)
R3 - Lovely Pass (NB), Emotif (Alt Music Chart)
R4 - Ahzeemah, In The Spotlight (Alt Star Empire)
R5 - Hunter's Light, Mendip (Alt Prince Bishop)
R6 - Don't Call Me, Mariner's Cross (Alt Banna Boirche)

[jaripeo]

4th Round.

2.- LAYALI AL.... / JARDIN ALT OTTOMAN
3.- IM BACK / mister big alt Hototo
4.- EMOTIV / LOVELY PASS alT More than S
5.- TROIS ROIS nap / KIDNAPPED ALT BOBLE
6.- PRINCE BISHOP / ALPHA ALT SAINT BAU....
7.- BANNA BOICHE / RE DUBAWI ALT ARIETE.

[mclem0822]

Race 2-#1 MODERN HISTORY #7 OTTOMAN EMPIRE (#5 BLUE CORNER)
Race 3-#8 I'M BACK #5 ELLEVAL (#1 EL ESTRUENDOSO)
Race 4-#2 EMOTIF #4 MORE THAN SOTKA (#8 LOVELY PASS)
Race 5-#5 STAR EMPIRE (NAP)#3 IN THE SPOTLIGHT(#2 CERTERACH)
Race 6-#10 JAMR #4 SAINT BAUDOLINO(#1 PRINCE BISHOP)
Race 7-#7 ROYAL RIDGE #3 DON'T CALL ME(#9 ARRIETE ARROLLADOR)

Good Luck All!

[PatCummings]

Originally Posted by NoChanceToDance

I think we can safely say this round will be one of the toughest tipping weeks of the carnvial, the firstbtwo races are littered with dead wood, and I'm at risk of following Ottoman Empire off a cliff. He has been so unlucky on two starts thus far (no pace and caught very wide with no pace yet again). This time he's arguably recieved an even worse draw for a hold up performer (gate 1) and I'm not convinced there is a huge amount of pace in the race yet again, however if things do drop right, he'll simply win!

The second race I don't really want to get involved in at all. I'm interested to see Stasio, could be anything but would have prefered the race on the synthetics.

I maybe reading the form all wrong, but Lovely Pass in the 1000 guineas looks a great bet. Seemingly best when fresh, had looked in need of the mile before finally getting the chance as a 2yo and won with ease. A daughter of Raven's Pass and related to a couple of sythetic track winners, I expect her to appreciate the surface. She has finished in front of Music Chart as a 2yo (both have improved since). Ticks all of the boxes for me. Emotif could blow them all away and MDK has been very bullish in recent interviews, but too many question marks after just one start and the penalty makes life harder for her.

The Maktoum Challenge is probably the toughest race of the night in my opinion, lots of question marks about the whole field and not a single runner I'd be very confident about.

I remember saying I'd be laying Mariner's Cross until he reached a distance of 10f, he's back at a mile again this time, but if I've read the form correctly I think there could be a fair amount of pace on and this is a weaker race than he contested last time. There is no doubt he is well handicapped on the best of his British form and if there is plenty of pace on, his stamina should come into play and I expect him to be there or there abouts at the finish. However, I'm certain we'll see a horse capable of winning a few in a row once stepped up to 10f.

Good luck everyone.

R1 - Ottoman Empire (NAP), Mustaheel (Alt Layali Al Andalus)
R2 - Luhaif, Stasio (Alt I'm Back)
R3 - Lovely Pass (NB), Emotif (Alt Music Chart)
R4 - Ahzeemah, In The Spotlight (Alt Star Empire)
R5 - Hunter's Light, Mendip (Alt Prince Bishop)
R6 - Don't Call Me, Mariner's Cross (Alt Banna Boirche)

I think you've capped the overall feel of the card incredibly well. This is the has the look of a day with some good value and once again, some over bet horses. Lovely Pass was way better than Music Chart last season, and Music Chart likely to go short in the Guineas...and I don't think she is anything special.

Luhaif wouldn't be the first to shock in the Guineas. Mariner's Cross was SO bad first up, just don't know what to do with him, but think that last race is a time to go against the home team. There does seem a ton of pace in that race.

[NoChanceToDance]

Originally Posted by PatCummings

I think you've capped the overall feel of the card incredibly well. This is the has the look of a day with some good value and once again, some over bet horses. Lovely Pass was way better than Music Chart last season, and Music Chart likely to go short in the Guineas...and I don't think she is anything special.

Luhaif wouldn't be the first to shock in the Guineas. Mariner's Cross was SO bad first up, just don't know what to do with him, but think that last race is a time to go against the home team. There does seem a ton of pace in that race.

Luhaif isn't a horse I particularly like (struggling to like anything in that field) but a horse who should race handily and unlike the other horse that is likely to force the early pace (Hototo), is a definite stayer over this distance, has solid form in the book and is likely to be forgotten by the market. Do I believe she'll win? No. Do I believe she'll go off at over the odds and give me a good run for my money? Definitley.

Se I expected Mariner's Cross to run that poorly last time. He showed against Noble Mission that he has plenty of stamina and is more likely to grind out a result rather than put up a dazzling display of speed. That last race looked as though the speed would be minimal (and that's exactly how it turned out) and over a mile it just wasn't going to be a stiff enough stamina test for him. I'm at pains to include him in another mile race, but in my opinion it is weaker than the race two weeks ago and there should be plenty of pace for him to aim at and run them down late. Once again, I'm not sure if he'll win but I do expect him to go close at nice odds. But my big money won't go down until I see him over ten furlongs.

[DJARUM]

2) #2 Mustaheel, #8 Arthur's Tale (Ottoman Empire)
3) #8 I'm Back, #13 Stasio (Filfil)
4) #9 Pure Excellance, #8 Lovely Pass (Emotif)
5) #3 In The Spotlight, #5 Star Empire (Ahzeemah)
6) #6 Hunter's Light (nap) #4 Saint Baudolino (Mufarah)
7) #14 Jet Legend, #5 Kinlet (Rutland Boy)

Gl...............