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#41
05-02-2009, 08:30 AM
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__________________
"Change can be good, but constant change shows no direction" http://www.hickoryhillhoff.blogspot.com/ 
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#43
05-02-2009, 08:31 AM
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I felt extremely comfortable with him on top of my tickets. Now I'm back to the drawing board. Damn, time for another cup of coffee and a smoke....... 
__________________
"Success does not consist in never making blunders, but in never making the same one a second time." - Josh Billings
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#44
05-02-2009, 08:32 AM
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I wouldn't hesistate to bet I Want Revenge, Quality Road, The Pampelmousse, Rachel Alexandra or Old Fashioned had they been the only of the five to show up.
It's now like a who's who lineup of horses whom I don't think are the five best chances to win this race from this crop ... and with an off track and confusing pace scenario as well. If you look at Moss pace figures - six furlongs is the pace call for me in a 10f race - and on Moss number Dunkirk has the outright best last out fig at the pace call both LAST TIME OUT and TWO STARTS BACK!! My pace numbers don't have Dunkirk with a double fig on the field .. but I have him about as fast as anyone for 6fs as well. Obviously there are no pace figs for Regal Ransom - and he's probably faster. I realize Dunkirk won't be on the lead after six furlongs no matter what everyone's pace numbers say ... but it goes to show you how messed up the pace picture is - as well as the race is.
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#46
05-02-2009, 08:34 AM
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Fun times!
__________________
"After a shooting spree, they always want to take the guns away from the people who didn't do it. I sure as hell wouldn't want to live in a society where the only people allowed guns are the police and the military."...William S. Burroughs
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#47
05-02-2009, 08:34 AM
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#48
05-02-2009, 08:35 AM
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I think Atomic Rain has a chance to hit the board if the track is sloppy. Call me crazy.
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#50
05-02-2009, 08:36 AM
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#51
05-02-2009, 08:37 AM
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#52
05-02-2009, 08:38 AM
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But I don't really trust him.
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#53
05-02-2009, 08:41 AM
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me neither. his trainer doesn't exactly give you a reason to pick him either. i think if i was at the track, i'd be throwing money at desert party. seriously, i'd have to sit down and rethink the entire race-but since i'm not able to bet, i'm just going to sit back and watch. it's not worth the effort. horses drop out every year, but this is the worst in my memory regarding the calibre of horses that have scratched.
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#54
05-02-2009, 08:43 AM
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OK Coach - but I still like you YOU ARE CRAZY 
__________________
We've Gone Delirious
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#55
05-02-2009, 08:43 AM
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The Racing Gods won't let me get my money
I work all day and don't get paid , Gimmie MY MOney! like my man archie shepp says pamplemousse- no shot at superfecta would have been less than 10-1 quality road - would not have won and less than 7-1 IWR - would not have won and been a co-favorite Friesan Fire - my choice for months , all the so called expert clowns underestimating him, now everyone picks him 
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#56
05-02-2009, 08:45 AM
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Uh oh, I hope Beyer has a contingency plan. I do feel bad for Talamo though.
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#57
05-02-2009, 08:46 AM
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#58
05-02-2009, 08:46 AM
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#60
05-02-2009, 08:52 AM
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And Rachel Alexandra .. who I thought was more impressing running the same track and distance on the day of FF's clear cut best lifetime race ... she put on a total exhibition yesterday that really makes it look even more like it's no shame to be slightly less impressive than her at your best. I'm still betting against him ... and don't trust FF .. but he looks WAY more attractive now.
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