Borel is Fired Up

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Circumstances can beat a superior horse.

Lawyer Ron is one race removed from losing to Gottcha Gold at 1/9 odds.

Gottcha Gold was one of six wire-to-wire winners from 8 dirt races that day at Monmouth. The other two pacesetters finished 2nd and 3rd, one of which at 43/1 odds. Several of the wire-to-wire winners that day didn't exactly figure...one of them won by 6 blowout lengths at 30/1 odds after setting a fast pace.

Now, Lawyer Ron ran a 108 Beyer figure against the grain of the powerful speed bias when defeated at MTH last out. It's hard to argue that a losing effort to Gottcha Gold was an indentical performance to winning the Whitney in track record time, however....it's not so hard to argue that a horse capable of running a 108 Beyer against the teeth of a strong speed bias, is very capable of "improving" to a 115 in a truly and fairly run race.

Street Sense had another lovely inside-out trip in the Jim Dandy, but he didn't get the wicked pace he needs to produce his best form...and thus was unable to make that spectacular far turn move that single handedly can break open a race that is run with a crazy fast pace (as the BC Juvie, Derby, and Preakness all happened to be run.) The 2nd place horse in the Dandy is elidgible for N1X alw races, and the terrible Cowtown Cat...was reasonably competitive in that race.

For Street Sense to win the Breeders Cup Classic, he's going to need another one of those scorching fast paces coupled with another rail skimming ride from Borel.

I would prefer Lawyer Ron's chances of those two at this stage. However, there are three capable horses running in the Haskell, and I would not be surprised at all if something really steps up and runs a career top in that race, of the big three.

[SilverRP]

Originally Posted by Danzig

don't forget rock paper scissors tournaments!

LOL, how could I forget? To me, horse racing failed once again. SS, the Derby winner, running in a pretty full field against other well known horses and no TV. (other than TVG) Simply is amazing to say the least. All you need to do is run a few commercials days before and the "non racing fans" would be interested in seeing SS run. Maybe not all, but most would at least watch if they were home or DVR the race. But no, the "hard core racing fans" are able to watch while the average person has no idea SS was even running. Very sad ABC, NBC, or ESPN didn't pick it up. Another chance to market this great sport, and once again, failed.

[cmorioles]

I think it is beyond silly to say Street Sense needs to stay on the rail. I also don't think he needs a great setup to beat Lawyer Ron going 10f, just an average one.