Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #41  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:00 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Well we'll have Panty Raid coming in off a slow allowance win on the poly and probably drawing a decent amount of money so I can't really see how the winner of the Comely would be that out of place.

I swear I liked her before I saw she was trained by Jerkens. I actually was a big fan of Sir Greeley and Corinthian for almost a year before I realized they were both trained by him.

Panty Raid's Turfway race was reasonably fast. Not that I think she's much either...but she's ahead of Fee Fi Fo Fum.

Hey, I'm happy about this discussion, as I am now WAY more interested in the Comely.
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:03 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Panty Raid's Turfway race was reasonably fast. Not that I think she's much either...but she's ahead of Fee Fi Fo Fum.

Hey, I'm happy about this discussion, as I am now WAY more interested in the Comely.
Me too but now I REALLY wish it was at a mile and an eighth around two turns.
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:11 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

One thing I agree with you about is that overall, except the dreaded Rags to Riches ( and the supposedly amazing Magnificence ), there are not a lot of killer 3YO fillies out there but a reasonable amount of decent ones. Hopefully this will bode well for the 3YO races coming up. They haven't been that exciting the last few years ( save the Acorn two years ago ).
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:11 PM
hurricanefrank's Avatar
hurricanefrank hurricanefrank is offline
Turf Paradise
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 229
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Believe me, I think Bravo's riding performance at Gulfstream this meet was downright pathetic, but I can neither fault his ride on Fee Fi Fo Fum nor see what trouble you are talking about. Mildly steadying along, while inside in the pocket, especially in a two turn race at Gulfstream, is pretty close to a perfect trip to me.
The fact that Bravo takes the reigns again seems to support your point. I was somewhat surprised that he did get the call back to ride. That said, my view of the race was that in steadying along down inside (and I thought it more than mild) she never looked comfortable nor able to hit her best stride. She may be the type that does her best running outside horses; tomorrow should present her with a chance to do that.
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:14 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hurricanefrank
The fact that Bravo takes the reigns again seems to support your point. I was somewhat surprised that he did get the call back to ride. That said, my view of the race was that in steadying along down inside (and I thought it more than mild) she never looked comfortable nor able to hit her best stride. She may be the type that does her best running outside horses; tomorrow should present her with a chance to do that.

Maybe, though she didn't pick it up that strongly when wheeled out in the lane. However, it's easily possible she wasn't comfortable inside.
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:16 PM
declansharbor's Avatar
declansharbor declansharbor is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Exit 30
Posts: 6,357
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
He's a terrific trainer, with great help, a great program, and a barnful of WAY better than average horses. He rules all divisions. But, he's overbet, so if you are selective you do fine playing against him. He is not a trainer with a positive ROI. His horses pay slightly better than $2 less the takeout.
I always try, but to no avail. I "seem" to find a spot in which he is vulnerable.(large fields, bad posts) Works out rarely in my favor. His horses seem to find another gear coming down the backstretch, as the others hit plywood. Is this due more to the quality of his stock or his tinkering with them??
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital"

- Nathan Israel
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 04-13-2007, 11:18 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Well we'll have Panty Raid coming in off a slow allowance win on the poly and probably drawing a decent amount of money so I can't really see how the winner of the Comely would be that out of place.

I swear I liked her before I saw she was trained by Jerkens. I actually was a big fan of Sir Greeley and Corinthian for almost a year before I realized they were both trained by him.
The real root of his problem as you see BTW, is the presence of Mr. Greeley and/or Buckpasser...he loses his mind.
__________________
Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:27 AM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

For whomever may be interested, the Comely is the Thorograph Race of the Week. Going by the numbers, there are a few things that stand out, the biggest of which is that Fee Fi Fo Fum, while very eligible to improve, is the slowest horse in the field coming into this. At 7-2 ML, she's one to take a stand against. Boca Grande, who is also likely to improve 2nd off the layoff, comes in no faster than many, and is giving weight, therefore should be an underlay. Pletcher's Perfect Forest is solid, and in light, is the most likely horse to run well (win? maybe!). I, like Andy, would lean against the Maryland shipper and the Contessa trio (although out of the 3, Officer in Pursuit seems to have the biggest upside). This leaves us with 2 interesting horses, both coming off poor races. Desire to Excel, the fastest horse at 2, comes off a poor showing 1st off layoff and 1st stretchout at Tampa. If you can forgive that effort, this could be the horse. Finally you have Pat Reynolds' Lost Etiquette, only 3 lifetime starts, 2 of which have been very competitive with this field. Only problem is her most recent was the worst, why? Short rest? Again, if you can forgive that effort, this one is dangerous.
Bottom line: Pletcher's Perfect Forest is the horse with the least strikes against, although not a major standout, Desire to Excel and Lost Etiquette are both dangerous.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 04-14-2007, 08:46 AM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by golfer
For whomever may be interested, the Comely is the Thorograph Race of the Week. Going by the numbers, there are a few things that stand out, the biggest of which is that Fee Fi Fo Fum, while very eligible to improve, is the slowest horse in the field coming into this. At 7-2 ML, she's one to take a stand against. Boca Grande, who is also likely to improve 2nd off the layoff, comes in no faster than many, and is giving weight, therefore should be an underlay. Pletcher's Perfect Forest is solid, and in light, is the most likely horse to run well (win? maybe!). I, like Andy, would lean against the Maryland shipper and the Contessa trio (although out of the 3, Officer in Pursuit seems to have the biggest upside). This leaves us with 2 interesting horses, both coming off poor races. Desire to Excel, the fastest horse at 2, comes off a poor showing 1st off layoff and 1st stretchout at Tampa. If you can forgive that effort, this could be the horse. Finally you have Pat Reynolds' Lost Etiquette, only 3 lifetime starts, 2 of which have been very competitive with this field. Only problem is her most recent was the worst, why? Short rest? Again, if you can forgive that effort, this one is dangerous.
Bottom line: Pletcher's Perfect Forest is the horse with the least strikes against, although not a major standout, Desire to Excel and Lost Etiquette are both dangerous.
Nice, thanks for the Thorograph view.
__________________
Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 04-14-2007, 08:48 AM
golfer's Avatar
golfer golfer is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 2,608
Default

Sightseek, that's my review using the Thorograph numbers... They are far more positive about the Maryland shipper, Winning Point than I am.
Reply With Quote
  #51  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:12 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I'm not singing Boca Grande's praises, but right now she is more accomplished than Fee Fi Fo Fum, and am inclined to use neither tomorrow. Personally I'm interested in Lost Etiquette though if the track is playing like Friday it definitely elevates Perfect Forest and Desire To Excel.
Getting some good odds so far on the other two...
__________________
Tod Marks Photo - Daybreak over Oklahoma
Reply With Quote
  #52  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:14 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Wound up boxing 3,7,8 in the exacta and tri. Wussed out on singling FFFF on top at 3/1, just not enough value at less than her optimal distance, around one turn, on a track that may be kind to speed.
Reply With Quote
  #53  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:14 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
Getting some good odds so far on the other two...

I am a bit surprised at the betting in this race.
Reply With Quote
  #54  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:15 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,236
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I am a bit surprised at the betting in this race.
im betting boca grande to win, good luck everyone.
Reply With Quote
  #55  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:19 PM
ateamstupid's Avatar
ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
Super Mod.. and Super Fly
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Brooklyn, NY
Posts: 13,036
Default

Winning Point gets a class hike, but there aren't any monsters in here and I think she can run big.
Reply With Quote
  #56  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:23 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Albany, NY
Posts: 6,086
Default

Nice call on Boca Grande BTW, FFFF was strung wide but stunk the place up.
Reply With Quote
  #57  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:24 PM
POINTGIVEN1985 POINTGIVEN1985 is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 1,236
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Winning Point gets a class hike, but there aren't any monsters in here and I think she can run big.
she ran huge at those odds, i had boca grande to win and i cannot belive i recived 3-1 on her....
Reply With Quote
  #58  
Old 04-14-2007, 03:25 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Nice call on Boca Grande BTW, FFFF was strung wide but stunk the place up.

I didn't like the winner any more than a few horses. I have no idea why Fee Fi Fo Fum was 3-1. We probably will see her on the grass from now on.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:29 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.