Super Savings Indeed

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

2. Schoolyard Dreams...The most likely 2nd place horse in the field.

Most likely? I don't see that at all. Lookin At Lucky's lone start on a fast dirt surface appears much better to me than anything Schoolyard Dreams has ever done.
I agree with Lemoncrush that SD's Wood was a poor effort all the way around, and he got beat that day by two horses that ran like garbage in Louisville. You point to his layoff after the Wood as a good thing, but given his thoroughly unimpressive effort off a layoff in January I'm not at all convinced that's the case. You also suggest that they will take back with the horse, but given that the race appears paceless, I'm not convinced that is a good thing either. Toss in what I see as a negative jock-switch from the Wood and the fact that he looks an awful lot like your basic Tampa-lover to me, and I'll pass.

I think a chalky exacta is the :most likely" here: either 7,8 or 8,7.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by miraja2

Most likely? I don't see that at all. Lookin At Lucky's lone start on a fast dirt surface appears much better to me than anything Schoolyard Dreams has ever done.
I agree with Lemoncrush that SD's Wood was a poor effort all the way around, and he got beat that day by two horses that ran like garbage in Louisville. You point to his layoff after the Wood as a good thing, but given his thoroughly unimpressive effort off a layoff in January I'm not at all convinced that's the case. You also suggest that they will take back with the horse, but given that the race appears paceless, I'm not convinced that is a good thing either. Toss in what I see as a negative jock-switch from the Wood and the fact that he looks an awful lot like your basic Tampa-lover to me, and I'll pass.

I think a chalky exacta is the :most likely" here: either 7,8 or 8,7.

A fair argument with regards to Lucky. I would say only that I think SD is better than you think and if you looked at his numbers his best race is not as far off of Lucky as you think and Lucky was on the fence for this race which to me is a negative.

[chucklestheclown]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

A fair argument with regards to Lucky. I would say only that I think SD is better than you think and if you looked at his numbers his best race is not as far off of Lucky as you think and Lucky was on the fence for this race which to me is a negative.

Sorry, I agree with you. None of my bets of any kind will leave either SS or SD out of the top spot. I am betting with my head so L@L I can only wish the best to, just like last out.

[2Hot4TV]

LAL/SS/all

LAL/all/SS

simple ticket and you wont get rich.

Why try to make it more than what it is' Super Saver is fit and just beat this group so he will get brave again.

He's not going to beat LAL which has shown in all his races that he is willing and trys to finish and win in every race. It has been a case of being in the wrong place and try to get too cute with his trip in some races and thats why he belongs on top.

Who looks to improve in 2 weeks Nobody. Thats why the all

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV

LAL/SS/all

LAL/all/SS

simple ticket and you wont get rich.

Why try to make it more than what it is' Super Saver is fit and just beat this group so he will get brave again.

He's not going to beat LAL which has shown in all his races that he is willing and trys to finish and win in every race. It has been a case of being in the wrong place and try to get too cute with his trip in some races and thats why he belongs on top.

Who looks to improve in 2 weeks Nobody. Thats why the all

Sooner or later, LAL is going to have to stop living off his 2-year old reputation and run a "big" race as a 3-year old. So far, he hasn't.

There's no guarantee LAL gets a perfect trip this week either, despite the talents of big race rider Martin Garcia aboard (sarcasm mode turned off). Then I assume we'll have more excuses for this horse.
If he's as good as so many claim he is, then he should win comfortably on Saturday. I don't buy it, and will not being using him on top on any of my tickets.

[kgar311]

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV

LAL/SS/all

LAL/all/SS

simple ticket and you wont get rich.

Why try to make it more than what it is' Super Saver is fit and just beat this group so he will get brave again.

He's not going to beat LAL which has shown in all his races that he is willing and trys to finish and win in every race. It has been a case of being in the wrong place and try to get too cute with his trip in some races and thats why he belongs on top.

Who looks to improve in 2 weeks Nobody. Thats why the all

LAL wins by daylight!!!

[zippyneedsawin]

I think the Super Savings would be to pass this race.. hope Super Saver wins.. and then bet against him in the Belmont.

That said, I'm sure I'll be taking a stab at tri/super on Saturday.

[JerseyJ]

Schoolyard Dreams is more likely to be last than 1st or 2nd...horse is just plain slow...the new shooters are a very, very weak group. In fact I wouldn't be shocked if the super ends up involving the 4 horses who come out of the Derby in some order, although Paddy O'Prado I expect to not be anywhere near as good on fast dirt as he is on turf/synthetics/wet tracks.