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  #1  
Old 11-06-2010, 07:13 PM
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tiggerv tiggerv is offline
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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
You could argue Lookin at Lucky consistently runs Beyers in the 102-105 range and Fly Down ran a 105 on his best day. Blame ran a 111 Beyer two races back. So you could certainly make the argument that Blame and Zenyatta ran Beyers in the 110 range today.

By the way, there wasn't exactly a suicide pace in this race. They went the half in :47. It was a solid pace but it wasn't suicidal by any means.
1:11.01 is a fast pace. The race completely collapsed. The top three were 7th, 12th and 10th at the 6F mark.
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  #2  
Old 11-06-2010, 07:19 PM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
You could argue Lookin at Lucky consistently runs Beyers in the 102-105 range and Fly Down ran a 105 on his best day. Blame ran a 111 Beyer two races back. So you could certainly make the argument that Blame and Zenyatta ran Beyers in the 110 range today.
That would give Uncle Mo a 107...

I'd have Blame/Zenyatta 108 - Uncle Mo 105
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  #3  
Old 11-06-2010, 07:23 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
You could argue Lookin at Lucky consistently runs Beyers in the 102-105 range and Fly Down ran a 105 on his best day. Blame ran a 111 Beyer two races back. So you could certainly make the argument that Blame and Zenyatta ran Beyers in the 110 range today.

By the way, there wasn't exactly a suicide pace in this race. They went the half in :47. It was a solid pace but it wasn't suicidal by any means.
The pace was SUICIDAL...It was totally brutal.
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  #4  
Old 11-07-2010, 05:31 PM
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Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
I think the time of the race is very misleading because every day at Churchill the track slows down over the course of the day. I don't know if it was like that in past years but I've noticed that consistently this year.
You can't seriously believe this, right?

How do you explain the Chilukki (3rd race, 1:30 PM) vs the Dirt Mile (9th race, 5:30 PM), then? Both were run with an honest but reasonable pace, with horses who attended the pace and closers both hitting the board. The projected spread between the races would be about 15 Beyer points, and it ended up being 1.38 seconds... or 14 Beyer points. By your logic, it should have been ~2.5 seconds or 25-30 points. Not really believable.

Newsflash: Trainers make up a lot of bullsh!t.
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  #5  
Old 11-07-2010, 11:18 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Originally Posted by philcski View Post
You can't seriously believe this, right?

How do you explain the Chilukki (3rd race, 1:30 PM) vs the Dirt Mile (9th race, 5:30 PM), then? Both were run with an honest but reasonable pace, with horses who attended the pace and closers both hitting the board. The projected spread between the races would be about 15 Beyer points, and it ended up being 1.38 seconds... or 14 Beyer points. By your logic, it should have been ~2.5 seconds or 25-30 points. Not really believable.

Newsflash: Trainers make up a lot of bullsh!t.
With equal fractions, you are probably right. But considering they went the half in :44 4/5 in the dirt mile and they went only went :46 2/5 in the other race, there should have been a much bigger difference in the final time had the track been just as fast later in the day. Do you think the dirt mile would have still gone in 1:35 1/5 if they would have gone the half in :46 2/5? There is no way in hell.
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  #6  
Old 11-07-2010, 11:37 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin View Post
With equal fractions, you are probably right. But considering they went the half in :44 4/5 in the dirt mile and they went only went :46 2/5 in the other race, there should have been a much bigger difference in the final time had the track been just as fast later in the day. Do you think the dirt mile would have still gone in 1:35 1/5 if they would have gone the half in :46 2/5? There is no way in hell.
But the early fractions are the difference in the quality of the horses running.

Looking at the pace comparison between the races, they probably should have been :45 2/5 versus :46 2/5. If they go :45 2/5 in the DM, they still run 1:35 1/5 (and there's a different winner of the race). If they go :46 2/5, it's highly unlikely they go 1:35 1/5, but then again these are G1 males versus G3 females. They are supposed to be running better early fractions.
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  #7  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:10 PM
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A very exciting race, Blame looked like he walks to victory but Zenyatta makes a race out of it when she looked like she was totally out of it, she will get more respect out of finishing second than winning the race.
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  #8  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:12 PM
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Originally Posted by CSC View Post
A very exciting race, Blame looked like he walks to victory but Zenyatta makes a race out of it when she looked like she was totally out of it, she will get more respect out of finishing second than winning the race.
Ummm....huh?
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  #9  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:14 PM
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Ummm....huh?
You don't think she ran a great race? From where she came from and the trip of the winner, I think even the critics can admit she did.
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  #10  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:18 PM
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Originally Posted by CSC View Post
You don't think she ran a great race?
Of course I do, which I already said in this thread.
That still doesn't mean that the portion of your previous post which I highlighted makes any sense whatsoever.
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  #11  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:19 PM
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Originally Posted by miraja2 View Post
Of course I do, which I already said in this thread.
That still doesn't mean that the portion of your previous post which I highlighted makes any sense whatsoever.
Sometimes a loss in defeat when you take into account race dynamics is just as impressive, look at Seattle Slew's loss to Exceller, that race did more for him than any in his career.
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  #12  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:21 PM
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Sometimes a loss in defeat when you take into account race dynamics is just as impressive, look at Seattle Slew's loss to Exceller, that race did more for him than any in his career.
Oh my god.
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  #13  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:39 PM
santana santana is offline
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There is no doubt she ran a great race....better than i thought she would. Glad she lost though, the better than Big Red comparisons were getting old.....
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  #14  
Old 11-06-2010, 09:08 PM
Slewbopper Slewbopper is offline
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There is a reason I don't post here often.....This board is into nothng positive in horse racing. Cutting down a great mare and gloating when she loses is the rule of the road here.
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  #15  
Old 11-06-2010, 09:26 PM
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Originally Posted by Slewbopper View Post
There is a reason I don't post here often.....This board is into nothng positive in horse racing. Cutting down a great mare and gloating when she loses is the rule of the road here.
Perhaps you should try Thoroughbred Champions... Lots of her fans over there...
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  #16  
Old 11-06-2010, 09:51 PM
Slewbopper Slewbopper is offline
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Perhaps you should try Thoroughbred Champions... Lots of her fans over there...

I prefer the wimmin over there to the a$$holes here. Most of them have a soul.
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  #17  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:20 PM
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trackrat59 trackrat59 is offline
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If we continue on like this the Z threads will never die.

Let's do this. Let's decide who she should be bred to. First of all, who is tall enough to, you know, mount her?

For no other reason than he's my favorite sire, I vote for Tiznow. The horsey in my pic is Tizzy boy.

Ok, someone guess next who Mr. Z will be.
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  #18  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:30 PM
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Originally Posted by trackrat59 View Post
If we continue on like this the Z threads will never die.

Let's do this. Let's decide who she should be bred to. First of all, who is tall enough to, you know, mount her?

For no other reason than he's my favorite sire, I vote for Tiznow. The horsey in my pic is Tizzy boy.

Ok, someone guess next who Mr. Z will be.

If we wait a year she can be bred to Blame, he should have "done enough" by this time next year, right?
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  #19  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:14 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CSC View Post
A very exciting race, Blame looked like he walks to victory but Zenyatta makes a race out of it when she looked like she was totally out of it, she will get more respect out of finishing second than winning the race.
the funny thing is, her ardent and airheaded fans who know nothing about racing will be incredibly disappointed, while anyone who knows anything about racing will say that was her best effort ever. yes, she lost. but she showed more today against the best field she's ever faced than against those soon forgotten cupcakes in cali.

it also shows glaringly just how much her chickenhearted connections have cost her. she should have been racing like today all year, instead of racing in paid glorified workouts.
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  #20  
Old 11-06-2010, 06:16 PM
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the funny thing is, her ardent and airheaded fans who know nothing about racing will be incredibly disappointed, while anyone who knows anything about racing will say that was her best effort ever. yes, she lost. but she showed more today against the best field she's ever faced than against those soon forgotten cupcakes in cali.

it also shows glaringly just how much her chickenhearted connections have cost her. she should have been racing like today all year, instead of racing in paid glorified workouts.
I'm hardly dissapointed, I thought she ran great, answered if she could run well on dirt, with less than an ideal trip. No excuses she lost, but she ran great and hats off to her. Case closed.
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