11/27: Churchill Downs ~ Stars of Tomorrow II (6th-12th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Chasing Time 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #10 Gunoe 5-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Halfmoon 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 General Strike 7-2 3rd


7th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 8.5f (Derby City 6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Beverly's Charge 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Freedom Rose 7-2 12th
Exotics Use: #8 Manasota Sunset 8-1 11th
Super Add: #6 Bhoma 3-1 WON ($6.60)


8th: OC/N1X, 2yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Trademark 5-1 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #5 Fan the Fire 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #1 Mr. Bouma 5-1 8th
Super Add: #9 Legendary Lore 4-1 5th


9th: Lively Shively, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Barber Road 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Tejano Twist 7-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Chattalot 7-2 4th
Super Add: #6 Ignitis 8-1 6th


P4 Grid:

6: 6 (A), - (B), 7-10 (C)
7: 3-6-8-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5 (A), 1-9 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5-7 (A), 2-6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x4x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (7-10 in 6th): 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-4 (1,6,9,13,14,15,16/6/4,13,14/1,4,5) Paid $64.90 (A-A-A-A)


10th: Golden Rod (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Sandstone 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Famed 2-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Secret Oath 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Yuugiri 3-1 2nd


11th: Kentucky Jockey Club (G2), 2yo, 8.5f (DD)

Rosario on lone speed (Classic Causeway) a very dangerous scenario..

Most Likely: #1 Classic Causeway 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #5 Howling Time 7-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Smile Happy 12-1 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Use: #10 White Abarrio 8-1 3rd


12th: Fern Creek, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Matareya 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #6 Marissa's Lady 3-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Sweet Dani Girl 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Verylittlecents 7-2 6th


P5 Grid:

8: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-9 (C)
9: 3-5-7 (A), 2-6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
12: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), 4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-9) + $18 (1) + $6 (4)


P4 Grid:

9: 3-5-7 (A), 2-6-8 (B), - (C)
10: 4 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)
12: 2-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x1x4x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x1x2x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $12 (1)


Good luck!
Steve