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#1
11-24-2009, 06:55 AM
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11/24: Churchill ($42k C/O)
Despite having been moved to Rick Dutrow's barn, couldn't find enough reason to include $22 Helsinki Sunday in the Aqueduct 8th which sunk the shot at a carry conso. Also needed to have $19 Mr. Vegas (Super Add) higher up the pecking order in the 7th... Despite falling short Sunday, the liberal $11k P6 payoff (with two virtual singles to start the sequence), and the outrageous $3,432k P3 (6th-8th) and $3,100 P4 show again why the multi-race wager is the place to be. Hope you did OK.
Huge week of racing starts early Tuesday with Churchill producing another 'real' carryover of $42k. The sextet is VERY challenging however and may be a 'watch and wait' day knowing that a lot of serious action lies ahead Thursday-Sunday. CHURCHILL DOWNS POST-SCRATCHES 5th: MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Very little to go on with this group.. Best Value: #5 Lady of the Manor 5-1 6th Most Likely: #8 Late SCR Next Best: #12 Neighborhood House 7-2 9th Super Add: #3 Nasty Girl Blues 12-1 5th 6th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Highly volatile bunch with form and surface issues galore.. Most Likely: #8 Simone 4-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Island Lioness 12-1 8th Next Best: #7 Countus in Mon 4-1 WON Super Add: #4 Deputy Damsel 12-1 2nd $1 Exacta (7-4) Paid $44.80 $1 Trifecta (7-4-8) Paid $230.20 7th: OC/N3X, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Why Tonto 4-1 4th Best Value: #3 Sam P. 15-1 2nd Next Best: #8 Silver Mountain 4-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Mr Maccool 10-1 6th 8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Dr. Rythym 8-5 2nd Best Value: #1 Gentleman Scholar 8-1 4th Next Best: #2 Cliff's Gold 8-1 8th Super Add: #4 Fast Draw 6-1 WON 9th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Cruisin'nthebridle 3-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Queen of Victory 12-1 10th Next Best: #9 Aaroness 5-2 WON Super Add: #2 Bandora 5-1 8th 10th: MSW, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #6 Baku Breeze 5-1 4th Best Value: #7 Trois Desir 6-1 11th Next Best: #8 Soda Jerk 7-2 3rd Exotics Use: #10 Heliecat 3-1 2nd High 5 Play: #1 (POE) Yore 12-1 WON $1 Exacta (1-10) Paid $116.70 $1 Trifecta (1-10-8) Paid $540.20 $.10 Superfecta (1-10-8-6) Paid $192.75 <$200 P6 Play: 5: 3-5-(8/SCR)-12 6: 1-8 7: 3-6-8 8: 6 9: 7-10 10: 6-7 1x2x5x1x5x2 = 100 x $2 = $200 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-6-8-9 8: 1-2-6 9: 2-7-9-10 10: 6-7-8 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-24-2009 at 04:26 PM. 
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#2
11-24-2009, 01:01 PM
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CD P6 SCR/CHG'S:
http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...rogram-changes Main Track: FAST Turf Course: FIRM (Lane 2, 15 feet off the hedge) RACE 5 - PICK SIX BEGINS / FIVE-DAY CARRYOVER $42,351 SCRATCH #2 Eagle Putt Jockey Change #5 Lady of the Manor - Fabio Arguello Jr. SCRATCH AE #13 Santana Woman SCRATCH AE #14 Stringalong AE #15 Ice Mist will run SCRATCH AE #16 Silver Dowery RACE 6 Overweight #3 Emerald Gal +1 Jockey Change #9 Jo Bananas - E.T. Baird SCRATCH #10 Wild Bushrose Overweight #11 Miss Amplified +2 RACE 7 - LATE PICK 4 BEGINS (50-CENT MINIMUM WAGER) Jockey Change #6 Why Tonto - Chris DeCarlo SCRATCH #7 Jamaludin RACE 8 SCRATCH AE #13 Classic Wager SCRATCH AE #14 Protectorofallevil SCRATCH AE #15 Celaya RACE 9 SCRATCH #6 Cover Story Jockey Change #7 Cruisin 'nthebridle - Shaun Bridgmohan AE #11 Mimi's Special Six will run SCRATCH AE #12 Passion Du Coeur SCRATCH AE #13 P.S. I Love You SCRATCH AE #14 Zister SCRATCH AE #15 Middlemarch (main track only) RACE 10 - SUPER HI-5/ NO CARRYOVER SCRATCH AE #2B Smiling Doc (part of entry, #2 Great Catch will run)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
11-24-2009, 04:00 PM
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kinda like the 1 yore in the last..
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#4
11-24-2009, 04:04 PM
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6,7,8,10,11 covered in the Pick 6.
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#5
11-24-2009, 04:09 PM
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Quote:
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#6
11-24-2009, 04:09 PM
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Quote:
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#7
11-24-2009, 04:11 PM
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Quote:
If only they could have Cisco Torres wear a mask into the winner's circle, he is the most frightening looking man I've ever seen. NT
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#8
11-24-2009, 04:16 PM
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thanks study hard tonite..
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