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  #1  
Old 11-30-2008, 10:38 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Default 11/30: AQU/HOL (Late P4's)

Though P4 plays remained elusive, broke through with several nice scores on the big Saturday raceday. Three superfectas at Churchill were punctuated with the weekend making 11th that yielded a $71 exacta, $245 tri and $1,315 super. It was a great afternoon highlighted by the thrilling Hill 'n' Dale Cigar Mile where either Tale of Ekati or the DQ'd Harlem Rocker made deserving winners. And considering the verbal beating the sophomores have taken all year, it was a very good showing for the the Class of '08.

And while Old Fashioned garnered a lot of the oohing and ahhing Saturday, the most impressive baby race run at New York or Kentucky came from Jimmy Jerkens' Quality Road in the Big A 4th. Ned Evans' Elusive Quality (VA) son out of a Strawberry Road mare blew apart a MSW event that was supposed to feature several other notable neophytes.

Hope you did well yesterday! AQU and HOL P4's to fool around with...


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW

Most Likely: #6 Mia's First 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pleasant Ballerina 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Marascino Red 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Dattts Stormy 15-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X

Most Likely: #3 Seventh Street 1-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Jet Setting 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Let's Fly Away 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Salt Water Reign 9-2 2nd


8th: Montauk-NYB

Best Value: #2 Morning Gallop 5-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Borrowing Base 4-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Point Me to It 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 My Dinah 5-2 3rd


9th: NYB-MSW
CANCELLED
Most Likely: #11 Cat On a Quest 6-1
Best Value: #5 Taxadame 8-1
Next Best: #7 Dixie Time Thief 9-2
Exotics Use: #6 Icy Silver 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6
7: 3-4-7
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 5-7-11

2x3x4x3 = $72



HOLLYWOOD


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: 27th Matriarch (Gr. I)

Most Likely: #3 Precious Kitten 2-1 2ND
Best Value: #8 Roshani 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Cocoa Beach 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Visit 5-2 3RD


8th: MSW

Most Likely: #4 Cut the Check 7-2 WON
Next Best: #10 Mr. Hot Stuff 3-1 10th
Best Value: #1a New Bay 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Acclimation 8-1 7th


9th: 67th Hollywood Derby (Gr. I)

Most Likely: #2 Court Vision 4-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Sailor's Cap 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Gio Ponti 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Albahri 8-1 6th


10th: Cal-MDN CLM

Most Likely: #10 Catsalot 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jeann D' Arc 20-1
Next Best: #4 Plaza Queen 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Shelbydell 6-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-7-8-9
8: 4-10
9: 2-7-8
10: 1-4-10

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 11-30-2008 at 07:28 PM.
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  #2  
Old 11-30-2008, 10:54 AM
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Default

AQUEDUCT CHANGES:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #3  
Old 11-30-2008, 01:20 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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HOLLYWOOD:


Scratches

Race 1 #9 No Place Like Home

Race 3 #9 Kneeling's Pride

Race 4 #1 Kruger Park

Race 6 #9 Fast Lane's Bounty

Race 7 #1 Black Mamba (NZ)

Race 8 #1 Position A (POE), #9 Infernal
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 11-30-2008, 03:40 PM
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Anyone have any thoughts on the big return of El Gato Malo? 20 MTP...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 11-30-2008, 03:47 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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What happened today at NYRA? Lost track of time? Didn't bother venturing outside?
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  #6  
Old 11-30-2008, 03:52 PM
Jax Cajun Jax Cajun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Anyone have any thoughts on the big return of El Gato Malo? 20 MTP...
Good for a single in a small pick 3. I like Kris Silver in the 5th:

3/3/ALL
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  #7  
Old 11-30-2008, 04:33 PM
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dean smith dean smith is offline
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[quote=Jax Cajun]Good for a single in a small pick 3. I like Kris Silver in the 5th:

I'm not trying to be a smart ass, I'm just trying to learn more about turf handicapping, but what is it you see in Kris Silver that warrants singling him over say, Maroon, Railroad, or Lockford (among others)?

Like I said, I'm not here to call anyone out, I'm just trying to learn from one of the truly great masters of Derbytrail.com.

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Old 11-30-2008, 03:53 PM
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Default From the peanut gallery...

I'm going to try and beat him with Talkin To Mom Roo. El Gato Malo is a terminator, but I'm not feeling 3/2 right now. I really don't understand the public's infatuation with Gayego. Is it name recognition (from being in the Triple Crown races)? He's been a dog since the Arkansas Derby....a million years ago.

Ah, but what do I know? Maybe I just like the name: Talkin To Mom Roo.
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  #9  
Old 11-30-2008, 03:54 PM
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dean smith dean smith is offline
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Default Quick question

Why does it say Sam Houston under my name?
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  #10  
Old 11-30-2008, 04:35 PM
Coach Pants
 
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I like Kris Silver a little in this wide open race.

$20 win
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  #11  
Old 11-30-2008, 04:39 PM
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OK. Kris Silver it is!

$4 to win!
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  #12  
Old 11-30-2008, 04:47 PM
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dean smith dean smith is offline
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Genius pick. I wish you'd tell me how you pulled Kris Silver out of those PPs, but I guess I should thank you for the twenty bucks.
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  #13  
Old 11-30-2008, 04:52 PM
Coach Pants
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dean smith
Genius pick. I wish you'd tell me how you pulled Kris Silver out of those PPs, but I guess I should thank you for the twenty bucks.
Railroad was a suspect horse and was the only other viable speed. Figured Kris would be on the lead and that's a good place to be on that course.
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  #14  
Old 11-30-2008, 05:09 PM
Jax Cajun Jax Cajun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Railroad was a suspect horse and was the only other viable speed. Figured Kris would be on the lead and that's a good place to be on that course.
The works plus Tyler Baze did it for me.
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  #15  
Old 11-30-2008, 04:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I like Kris Silver a little in this wide open race.

$20 win
Nice Coach.
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  #16  
Old 11-30-2008, 07:06 PM
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sdjcom sdjcom is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
HOLLYWOOD


10th: Cal-MDN CLM

Most Likely: #10 Catsalot 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jeann D' Arc 20-1
Next Best: #4 Plaza Queen 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Shelbydell 6-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-7-8-9
8: 4-10
9: 2-7-8
10: 1-4-10

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
rooting for the one, nice payoff Steve for you

Last edited by Kasept : 11-30-2008 at 07:27 PM.
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  #17  
Old 11-30-2008, 07:07 PM
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nice hell... that,s a monster hope you win
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  #18  
Old 11-30-2008, 07:11 PM
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Steve Byk
 
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Thx boys.. The one was interesting to me because of the show of speed last out. That always gets my money...

It's a GREAT betting race... Lots of nice numbers on that board..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #19  
Old 11-30-2008, 07:17 PM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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Good luck..Didn't handicap the race. The only other 2 that have strong J/T combos are the 2nd n' 3rd favs.
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  #20  
Old 11-30-2008, 07:19 PM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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Lit de Justice is my favorite horse. Hope his baby girl upsets for ya.
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