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Old 10-31-2012, 07:06 PM
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Riot Riot is offline
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Originally Posted by dalakhani View Post
I think that is likely to happen. If Obama can't carry Ohio, I don't think its likely that he carries the other states. I thnk he carries Ohio and wins the election but if he can't, he is toast in my opinion.

In what scenario do you see obama losing ohio and winning?
As of today, Obama is ahead in all the swing states but North Carolina. Look at Rupert's anonymous data, it even agrees - but unlike Nate Silver, it colors North Carolina as going blue for Obama. That means Obama would sweep all the swings, and the Ipsos/Reuters Obama electoral landslide would happen.

Obama only has to win 2 out of 3 of Ohio, Florida, Colorado to win. Romney could take all the rest of the swings, but Obama would still win.

Romney has to win all three of OH, FL, and Colorado, plus nearly run the table on the rest (the other 5)

Here is Nate Silvers aggregate of national and state polling as of midnight, tonight (including todays polling)

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