Hey DrugS...

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

I hand-timed this race three times and here are the times I got: 1:04.03, 1:04.08 and 1:04.01. That's about 1.30 seconds off from what the track had--he got a 100 Beyer based on the incorrect time. The time was 6.5L off, which is 18 Beyer points at 5 1/2 furlongs. So he really ran an 82 if you keep the variant the same. . . assuming my math isn't off somewhere, which is entirely impossible. If they don't change it, that could be a pretty nice piece of info when he's 3-5 next out.

If you were right about the 1.3 seconds it was about 8 lengths, or 22 points at 5 1/2 furlongs....not that it matters, but since you were dumping on yourself already.....

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

If you were right about the 1.3 seconds it was about 8 lengths, or 22 points at 5 1/2 furlongs....not that it matters, but since you were dumping on yourself already.....

Isn't a length 1/5 of a second? Or is it .16? As you can see, I've never bothered to learn how to really make figures beyond the absolute basics--and I've never once even contemplated run-ups. I pretty much just trust the Beyers and spend my time on other places where I can find an edge. I'm barely aware of what a naked time for a given distance should be.

[Calzone Lord]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Isn't a length 1/5 of a second? Or is it .16?

The old rule of thumb is that a length equals 1/5th of a second .... but to steal a line from Steve Davidowitz's book...."mathmatically speaking, a length should equal 1/5th of a second only when a horse travels a furlong in 15 seconds. The only horses who go that slow charge 10 cents a ride."