Will this be the pace?

[Indian Charlie]

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch

His natural cruising speed - if 100%- will keep him within a few lengths. If he is 8 back, I'd be really worried.

His natural cruising speed can be anything. For instance, he ran pretty easily in the Timely Writer, and if he runs anywhere near that pace again, he'll be a lot further back than 7-8.

Basically, if CTTT, Soldat and Shackleford set a real hot pace, I think JV will be content to let UM sit comfortably off the pace.

My expectation is for UM to go maybe around a 48 or so for the first half mile.