Derby Trail Next Start-Likely/Possible

[justindew]

Originally Posted by NTamm1215

The fact that Mine That Bird had an incredible Triple Crown run, which he did, doesn't change the fact that he had HORRIBLE credentials for the Derby. Only in a fluky year where the earnings basement was so low was he even able to get into the field.

Basing Mine That Bird being deserving of entry into the Derby on his 2YO form in Canada is idiotic. Are you seriously comparing him to a horse like Twinspired who has hit the board in two prep races (albeit on synthetics)? To steal a line from someone who lurks here, Twinspired is Alydar at this point compared to Mine That Bird.

I'm not even sure why MTB came up in this discussion. His Derby candidacy and the race that he ran to win it should forever be considered the exception. Am I glad he got into the Derby that year? Sure, but that three race stretch he put together was nothing short of shocking.

Blatantly false. Only 20 horses entered the Derby that year. He would have gotten in with $0 in earnings. In fact, the 20th ranked horse by earnings, Nowhere to Hide, was a late addition to the field. They almost drew with 19 horses.