11/25-26 (CD): Falls City H. (G2); Clark H. (G1)

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by JJP

He easily could've done that. The horse sitting 4th in the Haw Gold Cup was 13 lengths out after 6f...and he was an early speed horse. With a perfect pace setup, Giant Oak was a non-threatening 4 1/2 lengths behind RC at the 1/8th pole (the 1 1/8 mile point) of the Hawthorne Gold Cup. Giant Oak was a huge underlay in the Marathon due to bettors thinking he was flying. He wasn't. RC was just getting tired after setting too fast a pace.

You can't just project what happens in one race onto another and say this is going to happen because it happened in another race. Don't you think riders ride a 9 furlong race a bit differently than a 10 furlong race? Closers are asked at different times, etc.