Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
Figs for the race are a crapshoot. The only other route is suspect at best, and they never run the 10f distance at Haw except for this race. The chances that 105 are legit after the pace he set are slim and none in my opinion.
Given the above, I have nothing to base this on but common sense. If I used the same variant as Beyer, his numbers for me would be pace of 148 (6f call) and final figure of 106. I am giving him a 142/100, and that comes out to a combined 111 the way I do things, basically matching his career best. It fits pretty well with Giant Oak and give the 3rd place horse a new top by a few points. Am I right? Hell if I know, but it is what I'm putting down on paper.
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Thanks.
What's your take on the Hollywood Park route Beyer's for Saturday's card? Do you also think they're about 5 points fast?
10-04-2010, 06:20 PM
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