Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 06-29-2010, 12:15 PM
fantini33's Avatar
fantini33 fantini33 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Boston
Posts: 1,861
Default

I like to try and load up a Pick 3 where I can go AGAINST an odds on favorite with an alternative single. Something like a 1-2-3 for $10, $60 total, or even a 1-2-2 for $15, also a $60 total.

Lots of value finding a 5-2 single in a six horse field where the may be an even money shot.

Doesn't happen tons, but when it does, you get payed like a Pick 4. $120 pick 3 X 5 = $600 sounds good to me.

Good luck!
__________________
Good Luck......and may a Derby Trailer lead the way to the window!

Ed
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 06-29-2010, 12:17 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fantini33 View Post
I like to try and load up a Pick 3 where I can go AGAINST an odds on favorite with an alternative single. Something like a 1-2-3 for $10, $60 total, or even a 1-2-2 for $15, also a $60 total.

Lots of value finding a 5-2 single in a six horse field where the may be an even money shot.

Doesn't happen tons, but when it does, you get payed like a Pick 4. $120 pick 3 X 5 = $600 sounds good to me.

Good luck!
I used to only play pick 4's and was hitting only about 1/15.... I have not played pick 4's on a regular basis in a while, I found the pick 3 to be a better wager and did REALLY WELL AT GULFSTREAM.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 06-29-2010, 01:29 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,674
Default

I try really hard to get a single in one race and depending on the other two races I try to limit them to 3 horses/race. That keeps me to 1X3X3. Very seldom do I go 2X3X3. Only if I really see some good value. I prefer pick 3's over pick 4's.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 06-29-2010, 01:39 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
I try really hard to get a single in one race and depending on the other two races I try to limit them to 3 horses/race. That keeps me to 1X3X3. Very seldom do I go 2X3X3. Only if I really see some good value. I prefer pick 3's over pick 4's.
So you try hard to have a single, but its not a stone cold rule that you will follow? Im wondering if I should make rules and follow them or not.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 06-29-2010, 02:12 PM
knickslions2's Avatar
knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
Longchamps
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Ohio
Posts: 13,674
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
So you try hard to have a single, but its not a stone cold rule that you will follow? Im wondering if I should make rules and follow them or not.

Its not a rule but I try to do it at least 90% of the time. I figure if I can't find one winner out of three races then I may pass on the pick 3. Like I said earlier I will deviate if I see value in picking 2X3X3. I'm all for having a strict plan but sometimes you have to be able to be slightly flexible while maintaining a budget and maximizing cash reward.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 06-29-2010, 07:19 PM
AlreadyHome's Avatar
AlreadyHome AlreadyHome is offline
Louisiana Downs
 
Join Date: May 2010
Location: New York
Posts: 316
Default pick3

check out these options on pick3 under 30.00


1,2 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3,4,5 = $30

2 horses - 3 horses - 5 horses



1,2,3 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3 = $27

3 horses - 3 horses - 3 horses



1,2 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3,4 = $24

2 horses - 3 horses - 4 horses



1,2 / 1,2 / 1,2,3,4,5 = $20

2 horses - 2 horses - 5 horses



1,2 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3 = $18

2 horses - 3 horses - 3 horses



1 / 1,2,3,4 / 1,2,3,4 = $16

1 horse - 4 horses - 4 horses



1,2 / 1,2 / 1,2,3 = $12

2 horses - 2 horses - 3 horses



1 / 1,2,3 / 1,2,3 = $9

1 horse - 3 horses - 3 horses



1,2 / 1,2 / 1,2 = $8

2 horses - 2 horses - 2 horses



1 / 1,2 / 1,2 = $4

1 horse - 2 horses - 2 horses



1 / 1 / 1,2 = $2

1 horse - 1 horse - 2 horses
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 06-29-2010, 08:26 PM
3kings's Avatar
3kings 3kings is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,495
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 View Post
So you try hard to have a single, but its not a stone cold rule that you will follow? Im wondering if I should make rules and follow them or not.
I don't think you can have any set rules other than a $$$ amount you want to spend on a sequence. For conversation sake lets say $36. I try to find a race that I have a strong opinion on a short priced favorite I like and a horse I think can win under the right situation. Depending on he other races I might go 4x3x2 for $1. Than I will back up my original ticket with a larger ticket for $2-$5 often singling the short priced favorite. If my opinion is correct I cash the bigger ticket and if my 2nd choice beats the short priced horse it often pays very well.

I have found what races I do better on are main track races that don't have a ton of 1st time starters. I try to find sequences that have at least 2 of these races. That is why I started a thread earlier this week looking for a few good resources for pedigree help because I really struggle with 1sters
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 06-29-2010, 08:47 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by 3kings View Post
I don't think you can have any set rules other than a $$$ amount you want to spend on a sequence. For conversation sake lets say $36. I try to find a race that I have a strong opinion on a short priced favorite I like and a horse I think can win under the right situation. Depending on he other races I might go 4x3x2 for $1. Than I will back up my original ticket with a larger ticket for $2-$5 often singling the short priced favorite. If my opinion is correct I cash the bigger ticket and if my 2nd choice beats the short priced horse it often pays very well.

I have found what races I do better on are main track races that don't have a ton of 1st time starters. I try to find sequences that have at least 2 of these races. That is why I started a thread earlier this week looking for a few good resources for pedigree help because I really struggle with 1sters
Formulator, click the dams name....
Thats really all I use, Im sure there is much better though
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 12:42 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.