The Elusive Triple Crown

[RollerDoc]

Originally Posted by dean smith

Respectfully, don't you think this kind of thinking might just be a knee-jerk reaction to the disappointment of another Triple Crown try-less Belmont? I mean, in the less than ten years that I've been following the sport, there have been, what, four TC chances? Three of them were competitive in the third leg (Smarty Jones was a real close call), and the fourth (Big Brown) was a mortal lock in the eyes of many people with recognized opinions. Maybe I'm too green to know any better, but I don't see how it's not going to happen eventually -- and probably sooner rather than later.

I don't know, maybe you're right. I just feel there is more of a reason as to why it won't happen as opposed to anytime it will. Here's just a few.

1. A bad post position (Lookin At Lucky @KD)
2. A horse that just isn't feeling right on race day (since horses can't talk...)
3. A quarter crack (Big Brown)
4. A horse more bred for distance like a Birdstone (Birdstone)
5. Weather conditions (Super Saver)
6. A rested and fresh horse (Rags To Riches, maybe this year Ice Box)