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Old 10-02-2006, 01:20 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Wow, you're so spot on. Going against Silver Train at a mile off an eight-week break IS the same as facing Henny Hughes, Commentator, War Front, Pomeroy, Siren Lure and Too Much Bling at six furlongs off five weeks! It's also the same as going against Bernardini, Invasor, Lava Man and Sun King at ten furlongs off five weeks! Thanks for pointing that out!
First, I've never said he should run in the Sprint. I've said that I DO NOT THINK he is fast enough to win the Sprint. So that shouldn't even be a part of this conversation.

Second, look at the four horses u mentioned for the Classic. Sun King has never won a grade one race either and never won at 10f so he's in the same boat at Discreet Cat. Lava Man is still completely unproven outside of California. Even his trainer has voiced some concern over how we'll he'll do. He's already BEATEN Invasor and that horse will be coming in off of a 13-week layoff. The only one that should be a real concern is Bernardini.

I said the Mile or the Classic, preferrably the Mile. I didn't say the Sprint.
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Old 10-02-2006, 01:22 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Sorry.

Facing Silver Train off eight weeks at a mile on dirt is the same as facing George Washington, Araafa, Aragorn, Ashkal Way, Gorella, Showing Up, and Librettist off five weeks on a surface he's never tried before.

Thanks for correcting me. The Mile would be much easier than the Sprint.
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Old 10-02-2006, 01:30 AM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Sorry.

Facing Silver Train off eight weeks at a mile on dirt is the same as facing George Washington, Araafa, Aragorn, Ashkal Way, Gorella, Showing Up, and Librettist off five weeks on a surface he's never tried before.

Thanks for correcting me. The Mile would be much easier than the Sprint.
George Washington, Araafa, Aragorn, and Showing Up. All really good horses. No hall of famers in the bunch that would scare me off though. Gorella is still looking at the F/M Turf so she might not be there. Ashkal Way has been all out to beat lesser in his last couple and Librettist came out of his last work lame. Also, Ashkal Way and Librettist are both Godolphin horses so they likely wouldn't be there if Discreet Cat was.

Either way, the depth of the fields faced is not even important. He'd have to run hard to beat Aragorn in the Mile. Or to beat Araafa. Or George Washington. Just like he'd have to run hard to beat Silver Train. In fact, he might even have to run HARDER to beat Silver Train than he would have had to run in the Mile.
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Old 10-02-2006, 01:36 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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He'd have to beat all of them. Usually beating five or six very good horses is a wee bit tougher than beating one, especially considering five weeks to eight, turf to dirt..

Man, what's the use..
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